Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC Prognose

Liga MX · Apertura - 3

Post on X

Atlante FC

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

KI-Tipp Cruz Azul gewinnt oder unentschieden

77%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Cruz Azul eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 77%, für Atlante FC 7% und für ein Unentschieden 16%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 2 Aug 2026, 05:04.

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Timeline

▮ 15'

Luis Calzadilla Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 44'

Luis Puente assist: Walter Portales

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 47'

Luis Calzadilla assist: Jhojan Julio

Gonzalo Piovi ⇄ Carlos Rodríguez

57' ⇄

Andres Montaño ⇄ José Paradela

57' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Luis Puente

Nicolás Ibáñez assist: Carlos Rodríguez

60' ⚽ 1–2

Osinachi Ebere ⇄ Gabriel Fernández

61' ⇄

Luka Romero ⇄ Erik Lira

61' ⇄

Carlos Rodríguez Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 69'

Eugenio Pizzuto ⇄ Leonardo Mejía

Willer Ditta Yellow Card

73' ▮

⚽ 1–3 75'

Jhojan Julio Penalty

⇄ 81'

Walter Portales ⇄ Armando Escobar

⇄ 81'

Luis Calzadilla ⇄ Walter Clar

Nicolás Ibáñez

86' ⇄

Gabriel Fernández Missed Penalty

90+3' ✗

Agustín Palavecino assist: Gabriel Fernández

90+10' ⚽ 2–3

FT 2–3

Cruz Azul

Match Stats

Atlante FC

61% Ball Possession 39%

2.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.89

16 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Goal 7

2 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 4

4 Shots outsidebox 7

7 Corner Kicks 5

4 Offsides 2

9 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

444 Total passes 275

376 Passes accurate 210

85% Passes % 76%

0.97 goals_prevented 0.97

Cruz Azul

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Agustín Palavecino M	7.6	100'	1	–	2	71 (57%)	1
19 Carlos Rodríguez M	7.2	43'	–	1	–	28 (26%)	–
20 José Paradela F	6.9	43'	–	–	1	17 (11%)	–
6 Erik Lira M	6.6	39'	–	–	–	31 (26%)	–
16 Jeremy Márquez D	6.5	100'	–	–	–	57 (48%)	1
5 Jesús Orozco D	6.3	100'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	2
33 Gonzalo Piovi D	6.2	57'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
21 Gabriel Fernández F	5.6	39'	–	–	2	5 (3%)	–
4 Willer Ditta D	5.3	100'	–	–	–	44 (40%)	1

Atlante FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Luis Calzadilla M	8.2	81'	1	–	4	23 (20%)	2
7 Jhojan Julio F	7.7	100'	1	1	3	22 (18%)	3
1 Óscar Jiménez G	7.6	100'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	–
3 Luis Sánchez D	7.2	100'	–	–	–	33 (23%)	4
25 Martín Fernández M	7.2	100'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	2
29 Walter Portales D	6.9	81'	–	1	–	16 (13%)	2
6 Nicolas Carrera D	6.7	100'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	3
4 Eduardo Tercero D	6.6	100'	–	–	–	21 (14%)	2
8 Eugenio Pizzuto M	6.6	69'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
37 Walter Clar D	6.2	19'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	1

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Confidence High (77%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Cruz Azul gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.4%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Atlante FC

DLDDL

Match summary

Cruz Azul enters this Liga MX clash against Atlante FC with a solid home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season. They boast a robust attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Atlante has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have shown inconsistency, but Cruz Azul's offensive capabilities could prove decisive. Key players to watch include Cruz Azul's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Atlante's reliance on set pieces for scoring. Overall, Cruz Azul will aim to capitalize on their advantages to secure a vital win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

77%

45%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlante FC goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3	1
5	6	2

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 2–0 (19.4%)

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Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

Atlante FC

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

65% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

86% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

24%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.1%	5.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.4%	5.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.1%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.4%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

29%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	Atlante FC
Cruz Azul	59.0%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	26.6%	8.5%	1.2%
Atlante FC	1.4%	1.0%	1.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

90%

0.5

10%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Atlante FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Puebla	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H CF Pachuca	L	0 - 3
06 Sep	A Atlas	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Leon	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Tigres UANL	L	2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.