Celje vs Maribor Prognose

1. SNL · Regular Season - 3

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Maribor

Away

KI-Tipp Maribor oder Unentschieden

27%

26%

47%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Celje vs. Maribor Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Celje eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 27%, für Maribor 47% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 1 Aug 2026, 20:14.

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Heim oder Auswärts 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

Ivan Ćalušić ⇄ Mario Kvesić

46' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Rudi Požeg Vancaš ⇄ Yaya Dukuly

59' ⇄

⇄ Andrej Kotnik

59' ⇄

⇄ 67'

⇄ Veton Tusha

73' ⇄

Darko Hrka assist: Mario Kvesić

79' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 80'

⇄ 81'

Veton Tusha Goal Disallowed - offside

83' 🖵

▮ 88'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Maribor oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Celje

DLLLW

Maribor

DWDWW

Match summary

In the upcoming 1. SNL clash, Celje will face off against Maribor on August 1, 2026. Celje has shown a solid home record, with a strong performance in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. However, Maribor remains a formidable opponent, boasting a solid away record and a robust defensive unit that has conceded only 0.9 goals per match this season. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams seeking crucial points to bolster their league standings. Key players to watch will be Celje's top scorer, who is pivotal in their attacking plays, and Maribor's experienced defense, which will aim to contain the home side's threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Maribor goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	16	15	9	4	1
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	2	3	2	1	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Celje goals · most likely 0–1 (16.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Home Win

27%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	16.3%	15.3%	9.0%	3.9%
1	4.3%	11.1%	8.6%	5.0%	2.2%
2	1.6%	2.8%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celje	Draw	Maribor
Celje	5.3%	2.7%	1.8%
Draw	4.9%	17.5%	22.2%
Maribor	0.6%	3.0%	42.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

57%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celje vs Maribor

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Celje — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Mura	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Bravo	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Koper	L	0 - 1
02 Sep	A Aluminij	W	0 - 2

Maribor — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Aluminij	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Radomlje	W	0 - 3
06 Sep	H Mura	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Nafta	W	2 - 3
23 Aug	H Bravo	W	3 - 1

1. SNL Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	+11	20
2	Koper	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	+2	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	+2	14
5	Aluminij	10	3	4	3	16	11	+5	13
6	Nafta	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
7	Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	0	12
8	Brinje-Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	-11	9
10	Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9	18	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.