Turku PS vs Mariehamn Prognose

Veikkausliiga Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18
FT
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KI-Tipp Turku PS gewinnt oder unentschieden
68%
20%
12%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Turku PS vs. Mariehamn Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Turku PS eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für Mariehamn 12% und für ein Unentschieden 20%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 1 Aug 2026, 13:54.

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Timeline

K. Visser assist: N. Talo
20' ⚽ 1–0
Yellow Card
40' ▮
42' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
46' ⇄
⇄ 46'
J. Nissinen ⇄ Ludvig Richtnér
⇄ 46'
⇄ Arvid Bergvik
⇄ 46'
T. Koivisto ⇄ N. Nurmi
⇄ 46'
A. Stroud ⇄ W. Nuñez
▮ 49'
A. Soiniemi Yellow Card
K. Visser
55' ⚽ 3–0
▮ 64'
Yellow Card
L. Ikonen ⇄ T. Vakiparta
65' ⇄
K. Visser ⇄ N. Veinbergs
65' ⇄
▮ 73'
E. Patut Yellow Card
⇄ M. Kauppila
76' ⇄
⇄ 81'
J. van der Heyden
⇄ A. Coulibaly
84' ⇄
FT 3–0
Turku PS

Match Stats

Mariehamn
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 0
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Corner Kicks 3
0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
396 Total passes 309
334 Passes accurate 251
13 Free Kicks 9
Turku PS
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 K. Visser F 8.7 65' 2 – 2 15 (8%) –
41 S. Anini M 8.0 46' 1 – 2 13 (10%) 1
24 N. Talo D 7.8 77' – 1 – 32 (24%) 2
2 O. Häggström D 7.7 77' – – 1 36 (31%) 5
15 C. Azongnitode D 7.6 77' – – 1 42 (38%) 1
14 M. Hrádecký D 7.4 77' – – – 54 (50%) 1
26 L. Ikonen M 7.2 65' – – – 45 (41%) 4
28 T. Vakiparta M 6.9 12' – – – 2 (2%) 1
20 M. Kauppila F 6.5 1' – – – – –
1 E. Henriksson G 6.5 77' – – – 31 (24%) –
44 N. Veinbergs F 6.4 12' – – – 2 (1%) –
Mariehamn
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 J. van der Heyden M 7.2 77' – – 1 52 (47%) 2
7 A. Larsson F 6.7 77' – – 1 9 (7%) –
2 N. Nurmi D 6.4 31' – – – 23 (22%) 1
22 Rui Monteiro M 6.4 77' – – 1 20 (17%) 1
9 W. Nuñez F 6.3 31' – – – 3 (3%) 1
20 E. Patut M 6.2 77' – – 1 42 (36%) 3
15 T. Jakobsen F 6.1 46' – – 2 5 1
19 F. Gyamfi D 6.1 77' – – 1 40 (32%) 5
5 T. Koivisto D 6.0 46' – – – 15 (12%) –
4 Ludvig Richtnér M 5.9 31' – – – 17 (13%) 1
18 A. Stroud M 5.8 46' – – – 6 (4%) –
14 Arvid Bergvik M 5.8 31' – – 1 8 (7%) 1
1 K. Lund G 5.7 77' – – – 25 (18%) –
3 A. Soiniemi D 5.5 77' – – 2 27 (22%) 1
28 J. Nissinen D 5.4 46' – – – 12 (6%) –
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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Turku PS gewinnt oder unentschieden
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Turku PS
LLDDD
Mariehamn
LWLWW
Last 1 meetings Turku PS · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the Veikkausliiga clash on August 1, 2026, Turku PS will face Mariehamn. Turku PS has historically shown strong home form, with a solid record of scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Mariehamn, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. The matchup will likely hinge on Turku PS's ability to exploit their attacking prowess against Mariehamn's leaky defense. A key factor will be the set pieces, where Turku PS has been particularly effective.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
68%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
12%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Turku PS
A. Muzaci 3 gls
Mariehamn

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Turku PS vs Mariehamn

0 Turku PS Wins
0 Draws
1 Mariehamn Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Sep 2026 Mariehamn 1 - 0 Turku PS

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Ilves L 0 - 3
12 Sep A Mariehamn L 1 - 0
08 Sep H SJK D 0 - 0
31 Aug A Gnistan D 1 - 1
23 Aug H Inter Turku D 0 - 0

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A SJK L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Turku PS W 1 - 0
08 Sep A Lahti L 2 - 1
31 Aug H FF Jaro W 2 - 0
23 Aug A KuPS W 2 - 4

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
KuPS
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Inter Turku
25 13 9 3 +14 48
3
HJK Helsinki
25 12 6 7 +10 42
4
Gnistan
25 11 8 6 +8 41
5
VPS
25 10 6 9 +5 36
6
AC Oulu
25 10 4 11 -3 34

Relegation Play-Off

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lahti
25 10 6 9 +6 36
2
Ilves
25 10 4 11 +4 34
3
Turku PS
25 8 8 9 +1 32
4
SJK
25 5 9 11 -7 24
5
Mariehamn
25 4 5 16 -27 17
6
FF Jaro
25 3 8 14 -28 17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: David Pagou
1 Lund
3 Soiniemi
19 Gyamfi
5 Koivisto
28 Nissinen
18 Stroud
20 Patut
8 Heyden
22 Monteiro
7 Larsson
15 Jakobsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 K. Lund G
28 J. Nissinen D
5 T. Koivisto D
19 F. Gyamfi D
3 A. Soiniemi D
22 Rui Monteiro M
8 J. van der Heyden M
20 E. Patut M
18 A. Stroud M
15 T. Jakobsen F
7 A. Larsson F

Substitutes

16 A. Huttunen M
14 Arvid Bergvik M
2 N. Nurmi D
32 M. Riikonen G
9 W. Nuñez F
43 L. Andersson F
4 L. Richtnér M

Turku PS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
1 Henriksson
24 Talo
14 Hrádecký
15 Azongnitode
2 Häggström
41 Anini
26 Ikonen
99 Visser

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Henriksson G
2 O. Häggström D
15 C. Azongnitode D
14 M. Hrádecký D
24 N. Talo D
26 L. Ikonen M
41 S. Anini M
99 K. Visser F

Substitutes

4 A. Sairinen D
17 A. Sihvonen D
20 M. Kauppila F
8 A. Coulibaly M
28 T. Vakiparta M
13 T. Tsirigotis F
44 N. Veinbergs F

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