Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic Prognose

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Alloa Athletic

Away

Somerset Park, Ayr

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ayr Utd

58%

26%

16%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Ayr Utd vs. Alloa Athletic Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Ayr Utd eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 58%, für Alloa Athletic 16% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 15:50.

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Timeline

15' ⚽ 1–0

Penalty

18' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 34'

Yellow Card

38' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

46' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 60'

✗ 65'

Missed Penalty

⇄ 68'

68' ⇄

69' ⇄

⇄ 78'

78' ⇄

85' ⚽ 4–1

87' ⇄

FT 4–1

Ayr Utd

Match Stats

Alloa Athletic

56% Ball Possession 44%

12 Total Shots 4

6 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 1

1 Blocked Shots 0

6 Shots insidebox 1

6 Shots outsidebox 2

5 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Free Kicks 12

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Ayr Utd

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Ayr Utd

WLLDL

Alloa Athletic

WLLDD

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup clash, Ayr Utd faces Alloa Athletic, with both teams looking to secure an early advantage in the tournament. Ayr Utd has shown a solid performance in recent fixtures, boasting a strong home record, while Alloa Athletic has been inconsistent, particularly in away matches. Key players to watch include Ayr's attacking threats, which could exploit defensive gaps in Alloa's setup. The outcome may hinge on Ayr's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity against Alloa's counter-attacks. Overall, this matchup is poised to be competitive, with tactical discipline likely playing a crucial role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Alloa Athletic goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	15	5	2
2	10	8	4	1
3	4	4	2
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ayr Utd goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

26%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	8.3%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
1	13.5%	14.6%	5.5%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.9%	8.4%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.3%	3.6%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.4%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ayr Utd	Draw	Alloa Athletic
Ayr Utd	27.1%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	17.7%	21.9%	9.8%
Alloa Athletic	1.8%	4.0%	12.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ayr Utd — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Queen's Park	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Inverness CT	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Partick	L	1 - 0
29 Aug	H Morton	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Raith Rovers	L	2 - 0

Alloa Athletic — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	H Hibernian U21	W	4 - 1
19 Sep	H East Kilbride	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Airdrie United	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Clydebank	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Cove Rangers	D	1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Ayr Utd

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

1 Stone

6 Lyon

22 McKenzie

3 Dick

5 Holt

7 Stirton

10 Shanks

16 Summers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	H. Stone	G
5	K. Holt	D
3	L. Dick	D
22	M. McKenzie	M
6	R. Lyon	M
16	B. Summers	M
10	K. Shanks	F
7	O. Stirton	F

Substitutes

26	M. Warbrick	M
8	L. King	D
18	J. Hislop	M
15	J. Murphy	M
38	L. Russell	G
11	R. Taylor	M
21	E. Walker	F
4	S. Want	D

Alloa Athletic

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
2	S. Taggart	D
20	C. O'Donnell	D
4	S. Hetherington	M
12	S. Scougall	M
11	C. Gallagher	F

Substitutes

31	L. Green	G
14	F. McCafferty	M
18	Arran Pettifer	M
10	L. Rankin	F
15	J. Walker	F
19	S. Buchanan	M