FC Luzern vs FC Thun Prognose
FT
swissporarena, Luzern
KI-Tipp
FC Luzern oder Unentschieden
49%
26%
25%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
FC Luzern vs. FC Thun Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Luzern eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 49%, für FC Thun 25% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Jul 2026, 20:25.
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- Unter 3,5 Tore 73%
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Timeline
Stefan Knežević
assist: Oscar Kabwit
2'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
8'
Nico Maier
assist: Marc Gutbub
HT 1–1
Pius Dorn
Yellow Card
50'
▮
⚽
1–2
51'
Marc Gutbub
assist: Nicolas Bürgy
⇄
60'
Nassim Zoukit
⇄ Justin Roth
⇄
60'
Ashvin Balaruban
⇄ Michael Heule
⇄
61'
Nico Maier
⇄ Valmir Matoshi
Lucas Silva
⇄ Aurelio Oehlers
64'
⇄
▮
72'
Nicolas Bürgy
Yellow Card
⇄
74'
Dorian Derbaci
⇄ Nils Reichmuth
Lars Villiger
74'
⇄
Rúben Dantas
⇄ Andrejs Cigaņiks
74'
⇄
⇄
80'
Layton Stewart
⇄ Brighton Labeau
Andrejs Cigaņiks
Yellow Card
83'
▮
⚽
1–3
84'
Nicolas Bürgy
assist: Lucien Dähler
Tyron Owusu
⇄ Sascha Meyer
85'
⇄
Matteo Di Giusto
85'
⇄
Yellow Card
89'
▮
FT 1–3
FC Luzern
Match Stats
FC Thun
54%
Ball Possession
46%
2.45
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
19
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
7
10
Shots off Goal
9
5
Blocked Shots
4
16
Shots insidebox
14
3
Shots outsidebox
6
10
Corner Kicks
6
Offsides
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
381
Total passes
332
290
Passes accurate
260
76%
Passes %
78%
0.32
goals_prevented
0.32
FC Luzern
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Lars Villiger F | 7.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | 1 |
| 10 Lucas Silva M | 7.0 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 18 (10%) | 4 |
| 7 Aurelio Oehlers F | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 11 Matteo Di Giusto M | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 29 (23%) | – |
| 5 Stefan Knežević D | 6.9 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| 21 Loïc Lüthi D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | 1 |
| 22 Rúben Dantas D | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 38 (27%) | 1 |
| 17 Sandro Wyss F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 6 Leonardo Bertone M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 37 (28%) | – |
| 24 Tyron Owusu M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 71 Sascha Meyer F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 80 Mio Zimmermann M | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 14 Andrejs Cigaņiks D | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | – |
| 1 Simon Simoni G | 5.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | – |
| 20 Pius Dorn D | 5.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 31 (23%) | 1 |
| 16 Oscar Kabwit F | 5.2 | 94' | – | 1 | 3 | 13 (6%) | – |
FC Thun
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nicolas Bürgy D | 8.5 | 94' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46 (40%) | 1 |
| 30 Nico Maier M | 8.2 | 61' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 13 Nassim Zoukit M | 7.5 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 41 (33%) | 1 |
| 37 Lucien Dähler D | 7.5 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 19 Jan Bamert D | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 49 (40%) | 1 |
| 33 Marc Gutbub F | 7.0 | 94' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 1 Niklas Steffen G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 96 Brighton Labeau F | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 17 Ashvin Balaruban D | 6.9 | 60' | – | – | – | 19 (12%) | 1 |
| 8 Fabio Saiz M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 16 Justin Roth M | 6.7 | 34' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 70 Nils Reichmuth M | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 78 Valmir Matoshi M | 6.5 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 27 Michael Heule D | 6.3 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 21 Dorian Derbaci M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 21 (16%) | – |
| 11 Layton Stewart F | 5.9 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 8 (5%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
FC Luzern oder Unentschieden
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FC Luzern
WLDWD
FC Thun
WLLLD
Last 3 meetings
FC Luzern · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the upcoming Super League match, FC Luzern will face FC Thun. Luzern has shown a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Thun has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Luzern having a slight edge in recent form. However, Thun's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks could pose a threat if Luzern's defense is vulnerable. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they look to secure vital points in the league standings.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
49%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Luzern
D. Mikołajewski
4 gls
FC Thun
B. Labeau
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Luzern vs FC Thun
0
FC Luzern Wins
0
Draws
3
FC Thun Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | FC Thun | 2 - 1 | FC Luzern |
| 06 Dec 2025 | FC Thun | 4 - 1 | FC Luzern |
| 09 Aug 2025 | FC Luzern | 1 - 2 | FC Thun |
FC Luzern — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Grasshoppers | W | 5 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H FC Basel 1893 | L | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | A BSC Young Boys | D | 3 - 3 |
| 02 Sep | H FC Vaduz | W | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Servette FC | D | 1 - 1 |
FC Thun — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A FC Vaduz | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | H Servette FC | L | 2 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Grasshoppers | L | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A FC Sion | L | 3 - 2 |
| 02 Sep | H Lausanne | D | 0 - 0 |
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |
BSC Young Boys
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |
FC Sion
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 |
FC ST. Gallen
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |
FC Luzern
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |
FC Zurich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Servette FC
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |
FC Thun
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grasshoppers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 11 |
FC Vaduz
|
9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lausanne
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
FC Luzern
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Jorg Portmann
1
Simoni
22
Dantas
21
Lüthi
5
Knežević
20
Dorn
11
Giusto
6
Bertone
24
Owusu
10
Silva
27
Villiger
16
Kabwit
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Simoni | G |
| 20 | Pius Dorn | D |
| 5 | Stefan Knežević | D |
| 21 | Loïc Lüthi | D |
| 22 | Rúben Dantas | D |
| 10 | Lucas Silva | M |
| 24 | Tyron Owusu | M |
| 6 | Leonardo Bertone | M |
| 11 | Matteo Di Giusto | M |
| 16 | Oscar Kabwit | F |
| 27 | Lars Villiger | F |
Substitutes
| 63 | Raphael Radtke | G |
| 13 | Bung Hua Freimann | D |
| 3 | Jesper Lofgren | D |
| 14 | Andrejs Cigaņiks | D |
| 80 | Mio Zimmermann | M |
| 7 | Aurelio Oehlers | F |
| 28 | Ronaldo Dantas Fernandes | M |
| 17 | Sandro Wyss | F |
| 71 | Sascha Meyer | F |
FC Thun
Formation: 4-2-2-2
Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
1
Steffen
17
Balaruban
19
Bamert
5
Bürgy
37
Dähler
8
Saiz
13
Zoukit
21
Derbaci
30
Maier
11
Stewart
33
Gutbub
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niklas Steffen | G |
| 37 | Lucien Dähler | D |
| 5 | Nicolas Bürgy | D |
| 19 | Jan Bamert | D |
| 17 | Ashvin Balaruban | D |
| 13 | Nassim Zoukit | M |
| 8 | Fabio Saiz | M |
| 30 | Nico Maier | M |
| 21 | Dorian Derbaci | M |
| 33 | Marc Gutbub | F |
| 11 | Layton Stewart | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Tim Spycher | G |
| 47 | Fabio Fehr | D |
| 27 | Michael Heule | D |
| 54 | Louis Passavant | D |
| 70 | Nils Reichmuth | M |
| 16 | Justin Roth | M |
| 78 | Valmir Matoshi | M |
| 96 | Brighton Labeau | F |
| 80 | Simon Lengen | F |