Mariehamn vs Lahti Prognose
FT
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lahti
16%
30%
54%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Mariehamn vs. Lahti Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Mariehamn eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 16%, für Lahti 54% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
21'
Y. Cassubie
assist: R. Sans
⇄ N. Nurmi
30'
⇄
✗
42'
R. Sans
Missed Penalty
HT 0–1
N. Nurmi
Yellow Card
52'
▮
⚽
0–2
55'
assist: Martim Ferreira
A. Huttunen
⇄ Arvid Bergvik
62'
⇄
⇄ W. Nuñez
62'
⇄
J. Nissinen
62'
⇄
⇄
69'
Martim Ferreira
⇄ A. Belabid
⇄
76'
O. Koskinen
⇄ A. Lindholm
⇄
76'
⇄ D. Heikkinen
T. Koivisto
⇄ J. van der Heyden
83'
⇄
J. Svedberg
Yellow Card
84'
▮
⇄
86'
V. Vehkonen
⇄ T. Inkinen
⇄
86'
E. Andersson
⇄ A. Kabashi
FT 0–2
Mariehamn
Match Stats
Lahti
34%
Ball Possession
66%
3
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Goal
9
0
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
3
1
Shots insidebox
12
1
Shots outsidebox
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
4
13
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
262
Total passes
366
200
Passes accurate
310
10
Free Kicks
13
Mariehamn
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 K. Lund G | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 21 (10%) | – |
| 28 J. Nissinen D | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | 4 |
| 5 T. Koivisto D | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 46 (35%) | 2 |
| 20 E. Patut M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 3 A. Soiniemi D | 6.4 | 71' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 16 A. Huttunen M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | – |
| 18 A. Stroud M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 15 T. Jakobsen M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | 1 |
| 9 W. Nuñez F | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| K. Ward | 6.1 | 30' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 14 Arvid Bergvik M | 6.0 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 2 N. Nurmi D | 5.8 | 41' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | – |
| 11 J. Svedberg M | 5.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 41 (27%) | 3 |
Lahti
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias Barbosa | 8.2 | 71' | 1 | – | 2 | 22 (17%) | – |
| 18 Y. Cassubie M | 8.2 | 71' | 1 | – | 5 | 35 (34%) | – |
| 3 R. Sans D | 7.7 | 71' | – | 1 | 1 | 34 (26%) | – |
| 11 Martim Ferreira F | 7.5 | 69' | – | 1 | 2 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 J. Muller D | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 50 (46%) | – |
| 27 R. Yapi D | 7.1 | 71' | – | – | – | 38 (32%) | 2 |
| 6 V. Vehkonen D | 7.1 | 71' | – | – | – | 60 (56%) | – |
| 31 O. Maukonen G | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
| 17 A. Belabid F | 6.7 | 2' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 10 O. Koskinen M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | 2 |
| 14 E. Andersson M | 6.5 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 77 M. Sarr F | 6.4 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Lahti
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Mariehamn
LWLWW
Lahti
DLWWW
Last 2 meetings
Mariehamn · 1W 0D 1L
Match summary
Mariehamn will face Lahti in an upcoming Veikkausliiga clash. Mariehamn has struggled this season, currently sitting near the bottom of the table with a low goal-scoring rate, averaging just 1 goal per match. In contrast, Lahti has been more consistent, showcasing a solid defense and a better points tally. The outcome may hinge on Mariehamn's ability to overcome their scoring woes against Lahti’s organized backline. Expect a tight contest as both teams look to secure crucial points in the league.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
16%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
54%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Mariehamn
No scorer data.
Lahti
Martim Ferreira
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Mariehamn vs Lahti
1
Mariehamn Wins
0
Draws
1
Lahti Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep 2026 | Lahti | 2 - 1 | Mariehamn |
| 05 Mar 2026 | Mariehamn | 4 - 0 | Lahti |
Mariehamn — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A SJK | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Turku PS | W | 1 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Lahti | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H FF Jaro | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A KuPS | W | 2 - 4 |
Lahti — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H FF Jaro | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Ilves | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Mariehamn | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A VPS | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Aug | A SJK | W | 1 - 2 |
Veikkausliiga Standings
Champion Additional
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 24 | +17 | 48 |
| 2 |
Inter Turku
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 18 | +14 | 48 |
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
|
25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 42 |
| 4 |
Gnistan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 32 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |
VPS
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 |
AC Oulu
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 34 |
Relegation Play-Off
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lahti
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 36 |
| 2 |
Ilves
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 38 | +4 | 34 |
| 3 |
Turku PS
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 32 |
| 4 |
SJK
|
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 5 |
Mariehamn
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 17 |
| 6 |
FF Jaro
|
25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 17 |
Mariehamn
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
1
Lund
3
Soiniemi
5
Koivisto
4
Ward
28
Nissinen
23
Widlund
20
Patut
16
Huttunen
11
Svedberg
18
Stroud
15
Jakobsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Lund | G |
| 28 | Jiri Nissinen | D |
| 4 | Karl Ward | D |
| 5 | Tuomas Koivisto | D |
| 3 | Aaro Soiniemi | D |
| 20 | Emmanuel Patut | M |
| 23 | Viktor Widlund | D |
| 18 | Adam Stroud | M |
| 11 | Jonathan Svedberg | M |
| 16 | Anttoni Huttunen | M |
| 15 | Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen | M |
Substitutes
| 2 | Noah Nurmi | D |
| 14 | Arvid Bergvik | M |
| 22 | Rui Monteiro | M |
| 9 | Wille Nuñez | F |
| 32 | Matias Riikonen | G |
| 31 | Samson Ngulube | D |
| 8 | Jelle van der Heyden | M |
| 7 | Adam Larsson | F |
| 43 | Leo Andersson | F |
Lahti
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Goncalo Pereira
31
Maukonen
3
Sans
6
Vehkonen
4
Müller
27
Yapi
10
Koskinen
18
Cassubie
14
Andersson
11
Ferreira
19
Barbosa
77
Sarr
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Osku Maukonen | G |
| 27 | Romaric Yapi | D |
| 4 | José Müller | D |
| 6 | Väinö Vehkonen | D |
| 3 | Romain Sans | D |
| 14 | Erik Andersson | M |
| 18 | Yohan Cassubie | M |
| 10 | Otso Koskinen | M |
| 77 | Momodou Sarr | F |
| 19 | Neemias Barbosa | F |
| 11 | Martim Ferreira | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Aatu Hakala | G |
| 25 | Topias Inkinen | D |
| 7 | Daniel Heikkinen | M |
| 20 | Justus Ojanen | M |
| 28 | Armend Kabashi | M |
| 9 | Aaron Lindholm | F |
| 17 | Amir Belabid | F |