Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Hamrun Spartans

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Hinspiel 1-1 · Gesamt 2-3

NSI Runavik

Away

KI-Tipp Hamrun Spartans oder Unentschieden

38%

33%

29%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hamrun Spartans vs. NSI Runavik Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamrun Spartans eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 38%, für NSI Runavik 29% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Hamrun Spartans fell to a 2–1 home defeat against NSI Runavik in the first qualifying round of the UEFA Europa Conference League, with the Faroese visitors proving the sharper side across the 90 minutes. NSI took the lead just before the break, scoring on 43 minutes to head into half-time with a slender advantage. Both teams made changes at the interval as Hamrun looked to respond.

The Maltese side's task grew considerably harder when NSI doubled their lead eight minutes into the second half, and despite a triple substitution from Hamrun in the 79th minute, they were unable to find a way back into the contest through normal play. The match grew increasingly fractious in the closing stages, with five yellow cards and a red card shown in the final minutes.

Hamrun did pull a goal back from the penalty spot deep into stoppage time, but it proved too little too late. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Hamrun win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that ultimately did not come to pass as NSI Runavik advance to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 43'

HT 0–1

46' ⇄

53' ⚽ 1–1

Yellow Card

59' ▮

▮ 73'

Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

80' ⇄

Yellow Card

89' ▮

Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

⚽ 1–2 90+4'

Penalty

Red Card

90+6' ▮

90+6' ⇄

Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

Yellow Card

90+8' ▮

FT 1–2

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Hamrun Spartans oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Hamrun Spartans

WWWDD

NSI Runavik

WDWDW

Last 1 meetings Hamrun Spartans · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Hamrun Spartans will face NSI Runavik. Hamrun Spartans have shown a solid defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 1 goal in their last 4 fixtures. Meanwhile, NSI Runavik has struggled away, with a 25% win rate in their recent travels. Key players to watch include Hamrun's forward line, known for their quick transitions, and Runavik's midfield, which will need to control possession to create goal-scoring opportunities. Overall, this match could hinge on Hamrun's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a vulnerable Runavik defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NSI Runavik goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Hamrun Spartans goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

33%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

33%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	9.6%	5.7%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.5%	15.1%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	7.8%	7.9%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.1%	3.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamrun Spartans	Draw	NSI Runavik
Hamrun Spartans	22.4%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	15.1%	22.0%	12.3%
NSI Runavik	1.7%	4.2%	16.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik

0 Hamrun Spartans Wins

1 Draws

0 NSI Runavik Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	NSI Runavik	1 - 1	Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Marsaxlokk	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Birzebbuga	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Zabbar St. Patrick	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Floriana	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Birkirkara	D	0 - 0

NSI Runavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A B36 Torshavn	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Vikingur Gota	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H AB	W	3 - 1
23 Aug	A KI Klaksvik	D	2 - 2
16 Aug	H EB / Streymur	W	4 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Hamrun Spartans

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Giacomo Modica

98 Célio

13 Polito

91 Emerson

15 Scicluna

2 Compri

8 Grech

88 Ćorić

6 Guillaumier

3 Björnstad

9 Céter

18 Ipalibo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
98	Célio	G
2	Rafael Compri	D
15	Kean Scicluna	D
91	Emerson	M
13	Vincenzo Polito	D
6	Matthew Guillaumier	M
88	Ante Ćorić	M
8	Jake Grech	M
18	Jack Ipalibo	M
9	Damir Céter	F
3	Tobias Björnstad	D

Substitutes

23	Matthias Debono	G
5	Sven Xerri	D
20	Messie Biatoumoussoka	D
94	Ryan Camenzuli	D
17	Kleri Serber	M
24	Scott Camilleri	M
27	Ognjen Bjeličić	M
47	Gonzalo Nicolas Virano	M
7	Shaisen Attard	F
10	Lucas Villela	F
25	Ederson	F
99	Emmanuel Ernest	F

NSI Runavik

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson

13 Amos

12 Drinic

3 Davidsen

6 Nolsøe

4 Obbekjær

17 Benjaminsen

33 Przybylski

2 Skytte

29 Joensen

11 Lindh

16 Knudsen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Tom Amos	G
17	Jann Benjaminsen	D
4	Daniel Obbekjær	D
6	Beinir Nolsøe	M
3	Viljormur Davidsen	D
12	Filip Drinic	D
11	Marius Lindh	M
29	Emil Joensen	M
2	Sammy Skytte	M
33	Michał Przybylski	M
16	Petur Knudsen	M

Substitutes

1	Kristian Joensen	G
30	Dánial Danielsen	G
5	Alex Freyr Elísson	D
22	Jóel Tróndargjógv	D
7	Aron Knudsen	M
9	Tobias Hestad	F
10	Klæmint Olsen	F
28	Markus Danielsen	F