Rīgas FS vs Glentoran Prognose

UEFA Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Rīgas FS

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

Hinspiel 2-1 · Gesamt 4-1

Glentoran

Away

KI-Tipp Rīgas FS gewinnt oder unentschieden

68%

21%

11%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Rīgas FS vs. Glentoran Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Rīgas FS eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für Glentoran 11% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Rīgas FS made a dominant start to their UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie against Glentoran, breaking the deadlock as early as the fifth minute to set the tone at home. The Latvian side controlled the opening half comfortably, and a yellow card for Glentoran's Zeno Ibsen Rossi in the 22nd minute added to the visitors' difficulties as they went into the break trailing 1–0.

The second half followed a similar pattern, with Rīgas FS doubling their advantage through a 61st-minute goal to effectively end the contest. Glentoran struggled to respond and the closing stages were marked by a flurry of substitutions and bookings from both sides, with five yellow cards shown across the 90 minutes reflecting a competitive if one-sided affair.

The result gives Rīgas FS a commanding first-leg lead heading into the second leg. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rīgas FS win as the most likely outcome at 68%, a call that proved accurate as the Latvian side delivered a controlled and professional performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

5' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 11'

▮ 22'

Zeno Ibsen Rossi Yellow Card

Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 57'

61' ⚽ 2–0

62' ⇄

▮ 63'

Yellow Card

68' ⇄

⇄ 72'

▮ 77'

Yellow Card

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

81' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Rīgas FS gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

2:0 · 13%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Rīgas FS

DWDLW

Glentoran

WLDLL

Last 1 meetings Rīgas FS · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match between Rīgas FS and Glentoran, both teams will aim to secure vital points in the group stage. Rīgas FS has shown strong defensive capabilities in recent matches, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 fixtures, while Glentoran's attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 outings. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Rīgas FS's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Glentoran's forward line. Key players to watch include Rīgas FS's goalkeeper, who has a high save percentage, and Glentoran's leading scorer, who will need to find form to challenge the opposition's defense. Expect a closely contested match with both teams seeking to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Glentoran goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	2
1	11	10	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Rīgas FS goals · most likely 2–0 (13.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	3.0%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	10.8%	10.2%	3.4%	0.8%	0.2%
2	13.0%	9.8%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.4%	7.1%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%
4	5.1%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rīgas FS	Draw	Glentoran
Rīgas FS	46.1%	3.0%	0.7%
Draw	21.1%	13.1%	4.5%
Glentoran	2.6%	3.1%	5.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rīgas FS vs Glentoran

1 Rīgas FS Wins

0 Draws

0 Glentoran Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Glentoran	1 - 2	Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auda	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A BFC Daugavpils	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H FK Liepaja	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	H Riga	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Ogre United	W	0 - 3

Glentoran — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Cliftonville FC	W	1 - 2
15 Sep	H Coleraine FC	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Bangor	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Larne	L	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Crusaders FC	L	1 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rīgas FS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Viktors Morozs

16 Ņerugals

99 Kumater

43 Lipušček

23 Prenga

6 Filipović

26 Panić

66 Saidy

18 Zelenkovs

10 Ikaunieks

8 Odisharia

15 Ndjiki

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Jevgēņijs Ņerugals	G
6	Aleksandar Filipović	D
23	Herdi Prenga	D
43	Žiga Lipušček	D
99	Shina Kumater	D
66	Modou Saidy	M
26	Stefan Panić	M
8	Lasha Odisharia	M
10	Jānis Ikaunieks	M
18	Dmitrijs Zelenkovs	M
15	Rostand Ndjiki	F

Substitutes

1	Rihards Matrevics	G
4	Roberts Veips	D
5	Niks Sliede	D
11	Roberts Savaļnieks	D
49	Mārtiņš Ķigurs	M
77	Gauthier Mankenda	M
81	Strahinja Rakić	M
22	Darko Lemajić	F

Glentoran

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Declan Devine

31 Crellin

2 Cooney

27 Singleton

4 Rossi

20 Larmour

10 Stewart

7 Clarke

8 McEneff

29 Malone

6 Thomson

9 Hoban

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	William Crellin	G
20	Daniel Larmour	D
4	Zeno Ibsen Rossi	D
27	James Singleton	M
2	Ryan Cooney	D
8	Aaron McEneff	M
7	Ross Clarke	M
10	Jordan Stewart	M
9	Pat Hoban	F
6	Joe Thomson	M
29	Jack Malone	M

Substitutes

3	Marcus Kane	D
1	Andrew Mills	G
33	Lorcan Donnelly	G
5	Joshua Kelly	M
11	Josh Daniels	M
12	Gregory Sloggett	M
21	Charlie Lindsay	M
44	James Douglas	M
19	Ben Gallagher	F
23	Rhys Walsh	F
30	Jordan Jenkins	F
35	Cal Weatherup	F