Lahti vs HJK Helsinki Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 15

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HJK Helsinki

Away

Lahden Stadion, Lahti

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für HJK Helsinki

14%

27%

60%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lahti vs. HJK Helsinki Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lahti eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 14%, für HJK Helsinki 60% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

16' ▮

FT 2–0

Lahti

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
31 O. Maukonen G	7.0	19'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
3 R. Sans D	6.7	19'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
18 Y. Cassubie M	6.6	19'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
27 R. Yapi D	6.5	19'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
Neemias Barbosa	6.4	19'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
10 O. Koskinen M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
77 M. Sarr F	6.2	19'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
Nícolas	6.0	19'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–

HJK Helsinki

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 T. Cissokho D	6.9	19'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
1 J. Öst G	6.8	19'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
29 S. Haarala F	6.7	19'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	1
7 Alfie Cicale M	6.7	19'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	1
L. Möller	6.6	19'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
9 M. Borchers F	6.5	19'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
28 M. Ylitolva D	6.5	19'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
2 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster D	6.4	19'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	–
15 J. Kallinen M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
10 L. Lingman M	6.2	19'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	1
14 L. Montano D	6.1	19'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für HJK Helsinki

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Lahti

DLWWW

HJK Helsinki

DDWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Lahti will face HJK Helsinki. Lahti has shown a mixed performance this season, currently sitting mid-table with a goal difference of -4, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, HJK Helsinki is a strong contender, leading the league with a solid attack, boasting 28 goals scored in 17 matches. Their away form has been consistent, with 5 wins out of 8 away fixtures. This matchup will be crucial for Lahti to improve their standings, while HJK aims to solidify their position at the top.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

14%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

60%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

HJK Helsinki goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	13	7	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lahti goals · most likely 0–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Lahti

Martim Ferreira 4 gls

HJK Helsinki

M. Borchers 4 gls

T. Pukki 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

27%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

27%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

81% Away (No Draw) 19% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	14.4%	13.3%	7.4%	3.1%
1	5.1%	12.3%	9.2%	5.1%	2.2%
2	2.2%	3.8%	3.2%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.5%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lahti	Draw	HJK Helsinki
Lahti	7.5%	3.3%	2.0%
Draw	6.1%	18.1%	20.8%
HJK Helsinki	0.7%	3.4%	38.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lahti vs HJK Helsinki

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Lahti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ilves	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
21 Aug	A SJK	W	1 - 2

HJK Helsinki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A KuPS	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Inter Turku	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Ilves	W	1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

HJK Helsinki

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Joonas Rantanen

1 Öst

14 Montano

3 Cissokho

2 Lyons-Foster

28 Ylitolva

10 Lingman

7 Cicale

15 Kallinen

22 Möller

29 Haarala

9 Borchers

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jesse Öst	G
28	Miska Ylitolva	D
2	Brooklyn Lyons-Foster	D
3	Till Cissokho	D
14	Leonel Montano	D
10	Lucas Lingman	M
29	Santeri Haarala	F
22	Liam Möller	M
15	Jere Kallinen	M
7	Alfie Cicale	M
9	Mads Borchers	F

Substitutes

12	Mitja Haapanen	G
13	Kaius Simojoki	D
31	Mihailo Bogićević	D
8	Pyry Mentu	M
17	Martin Kirilov	M
26	Lassi Lappalainen	M
32	Mouhamed Gueye	M
4	Alexander Ring	M
20	Teemu Pukki	F

Lahti

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Goncalo Pereira

31 Maukonen

3 Sans

4 Müller

5 Dantas

27 Yapi

10 Koskinen

18 Cassubie

8 Montiel

11 Ferreira

19 Barbosa

77 Sarr

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Osku Maukonen	G
27	Romaric Yapi	D
5	Nicolas Gianini Dantas	D
4	José Müller	D
3	Romain Sans	D
8	Tòfol Montiel	M
18	Yohan Cassubie	M
10	Otso Koskinen	M
77	Momodou Sarr	F
19	Neemias Barbosa	F
11	Martim Ferreira	F

Substitutes

12	Aatu Hakala	G
2	Joel Lehtonen	D
6	Väinö Vehkonen	D
7	Daniel Heikkinen	M
14	Erik Andersson	M
20	Justus Ojanen	M
28	Armend Kabashi	M
9	Aaron Lindholm	F
17	Amir Belabid	F