Lahti vs Gnistan Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 14

Post on X

Gnistan

Away

Lahden Stadion, Lahti

KI-Tipp Gnistan gewinnt oder unentschieden

23%

72%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Lahti vs. Gnistan Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Lahti eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 5%, für Gnistan 72% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

assist: R. Yapi

54' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 63'

R. Sans Yellow Card

66' ▮

O. Koskinen ⇄ E. Andersson

67' ⇄

⇄ A. Belabid

67' ⇄

▮ 69'

Yellow Card

⇄ 71'

R. Yapi ⇄ A. Kabashi

85' ⇄

⇄ D. Heikkinen

85' ⇄

⇄ V. Vehkonen

86' ⇄

D. Heikkinen Yellow Card

89' ▮

E. Andersson Missed Penalty

90+2' ✗

FT 1–0

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Confidence High (72%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Gnistan gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

0:1 · 22.1%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Lahti

DLWWW

Gnistan

DWDDW

Last 1 meetings Lahti · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Lahti faces Gnistan, with both teams aiming for crucial points in the league standings. Lahti has shown resilience at home, currently holding an average of 1.5 goals scored per match this season, while their defense concedes around 1 goal per game. Conversely, Gnistan struggles on the road, with a lower goal-scoring rate of just 0.8 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on Lahti's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity against a Gnistan side that may find it challenging to break through. Expect a tactical battle, where Lahti will seek to exploit their offensive strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

72%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	22	20	11	5	2
1	3	8	6	3	1	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Lahti goals · most likely 0–1 (22.1%)

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Players in form

Lahti

Martim Ferreira 4 gls

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

72%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

93% Away (No Draw) 7% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

28%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.3%	22.1%	19.8%	11.4%	4.9%
1	3.1%	7.8%	5.9%	3.4%	1.5%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

36%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lahti	Draw	Gnistan
Lahti	2.8%	1.9%	1.2%
Draw	2.5%	18.1%	25.2%
Gnistan	0.2%	1.7%	46.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lahti vs Gnistan

0 Lahti Wins

0 Draws

1 Gnistan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jun 2026	Gnistan	1 - 0	Lahti

Lahti — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Ilves	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A VPS	W	0 - 1
21 Aug	A SJK	W	1 - 2

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Lahti

Coach: Goncalo Pereira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	O. Maukonen	-
27	R. Yapi	-
5	N. Gianini Dantas	-
4	J. Muller	-
3	R. Sans	-
8	C. Montiel	-
18	Y. Cassubie	-
10	O. Koskinen	-
77	M. Sarr	-
19	Neemias	-
11	Martim Augusto	-

Substitutes

12	A. Hakala	-
14	E. Andersson	-
9	A. Lindholm	-
20	J. Ojanen	-
17	A. Belabid	-
28	A. Kabashi	-
6	V. Vehkonen	-
7	D. Heikkinen	-
25	T. Inkinen	-

Gnistan

Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Craninx	-
24	R. Gnanou	-
67	A. Obileye	-
4	Marcelo Costa	-
27	O. Hannula	-
15	G. Europaeus	-
14	S. Eremenko	-
12	E. Arko-Mensah	-
23	S. Ylatupa	-
11	D. Perez	-
17	A. Akinyemi	-

Substitutes

22	Ramilson	-
26	R. Eremenko	-
40	J. Ojala	-
7	A. Atarah	-
10	J. Latonen	-
2	B. Dahlstrom	-
31	A. Jouhi	-
50	J. Selenge	-