Mariehamn vs Inter Turku Prognose

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 13

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Inter Turku

Away

KI-Tipp Inter Turku gewinnt

17%

80%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Mariehamn vs. Inter Turku Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Mariehamn eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 3%, für Inter Turku 80% und für ein Unentschieden 17%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline

Samson Ngulube Yellow Card

20' ▮

▮ 31'

Yellow Card

E. Patut Yellow Card

45' ▮

⚽ 0–1 45'

HT 0–1

J. Nissinen ⇄ A. Soiniemi

46' ⇄

⇄ J. van der Heyden

47' ⇄

▮ 55'

Jussi Niska Yellow Card

A. Stroud ⇄ A. Larsson

57' ⇄

⇄ Luke Pearce

57' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Jasse Tuominen

⇄ 66'

Bismark Ampofo ⇄ Iiro Järvinen

⇄ 81'

⇄ Henri Salomaa

⇄ 81'

⇄ Vincent Ulundu

A. Huttunen ⇄ L. Andersson

85' ⇄

⇄ 88'

⇄ Julius Tauriainen

⚽ 0–2 90'

FT 0–2

Mariehamn

Match Stats

Inter Turku

38% Ball Possession 62%

1 Total Shots 3

0 Shots on Goal 1

1 Shots off Goal 2

1 Offsides 0

1 Fouls 1

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

1 Free Kicks 1

Mariehamn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
32 M. Riikonen G	6.9	18'	–	–	–	7 (2%)	–
38 Y. Amankwah D	6.8	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
16 A. Huttunen F	6.7	18'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
2 N. Nurmi D	6.6	18'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
6 N. Dosis M	6.6	18'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
28 J. Nissinen D	6.5	18'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	–
64 M. Hyvönen F	6.5	18'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
18 A. Stroud F	6.4	18'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
10 S. Dahlström M	6.3	18'	–	–	1	11 (7%)	–
20 E. Patut M	6.1	18'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–

Inter Turku

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Eetu Huuhtanen G	6.8	18'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
9 Jasse Tuominen M	6.7	18'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	–
18 Seth Saarinen D	6.6	18'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
2 Jussi Niska D	6.6	18'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
22 Luka Kuittinen D	6.5	18'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	–
17 Bismark Ampofo M	6.5	18'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–
23 Antoin Loic Essomba F	6.4	18'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
14 Janne-Pekka Laine M	6.2	18'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–

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At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Inter Turku gewinnt

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Mariehamn

LWLWW

Inter Turku

WWLWW

Match summary

Mariehamn faces Inter Turku in a crucial Veikkausliiga clash. Mariehamn has shown resilience at home, but their overall season performance has been inconsistent, with a record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in the last 11 matches. Inter Turku, on the other hand, has a solid away record with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 11 games. Key players to watch include Mariehamn's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Inter Turku's robust defense, which has conceded only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of league positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter Turku goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	18	20	15	8	3
1	2	6	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Mariehamn goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

Inter Turku

H. Sjögrell 6 gls

J. Yli-Kokko 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

80%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

80%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	18.2%	20.4%	14.7%	7.9%
1	1.9%	6.4%	6.1%	4.4%	2.4%
2	0.4%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mariehamn	Draw	Inter Turku
Mariehamn	1.9%	1.5%	1.3%
Draw	1.7%	12.6%	24.5%
Inter Turku	0.1%	1.4%	55.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Away Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs Inter Turku

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

Inter Turku — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	0 - 1
14 Sep	H VPS	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	A HJK Helsinki	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H KuPS	W	1 - 0

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Coach: Jimmy Wargh

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
32	M. Riikonen	G
28	J. Nissinen	D
38	Y. Amankwah	D
2	N. Nurmi	D
10	S. Dahlstrom	M
6	N. Dosis	M
20	E. Patut	M
64	M. Hyvonen	F
18	A. Stroud	F
16	A. Huttunen	F
31	S. Ngulube	-

Substitutes

1	K. Lund	G
8	J. Heyden	M
43	L. Andersson	F
7	A. Larsson	F
11	L. Pearce	-
4	P. Lindgren	D
5	T. Koivisto	D
3	A. Soiniemi	D
9	W. Nunez	F

Inter Turku

Coach: Vesa-Pekka Vasara

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Huuhtanen	G
18	S. Saarinen	D
22	L. Kuittinen	D
2	J. Niska	D
14	J. Laine	M
9	J. Tuominen	M
17	B. Ampofo	M
21	I. Kangasniemi	-
23	L. Essomba	-
10	A. Conteh	-
16	C. Jephta	-

Substitutes

12	E. Vuorjoki	G
8	J. Yli-Kokko	M
25	H. Salomaa	-
11	J. Botue	F
26	V. Huovila	F
19	I. Jarvinen	M
24	J. Tauriainen	D
27	V. Ulundu	M
20	A. Sandler	-