Derry City vs Drogheda United Prognose

Premier Division Premier Division · Regular Season - 22
FT
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KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Derry City
64%
29%
7%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Derry City vs. Drogheda United Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Derry City eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 64%, für Drogheda United 7% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Timeline

▮ 26'
Leo Burney Yellow Card
Cameron Dummigan
28' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
▮ 54'
Ryan Brennan Yellow Card
⇄ 60'
Ryan Brennan ⇄ Ethan O'Brien
⇄ 65'
Thomas Oluwa ⇄ Jago Godden
James McClean ⇄ Darragh Markey
69' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Leo Burney ⇄ James Bolger
⇄ 72'
Brandon Kavanagh ⇄ Dare Kareem
⇄ R. Slevin
82' ⇄
▮ 88'
James Bolger Yellow Card
Adam O'Reilly assist: Michael Duffy
90' ⚽ 2–0
Adam O'Reilly Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 2–0
Derry City

Match Stats

Drogheda United
57% Ball Possession 43%
1.45 Expected Goals (xG) 0.41
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 0
4 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
478 Total passes 352
388 Passes accurate 257
81% Passes % 73%
-0.16 goals_prevented -0.16
Derry City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Cameron Dummigan M 8.2 90' 1 – 2 50 (40%) 4
8 Adam O'Reilly M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 41 (35%) 1
2 Barry Cotter D 7.9 90' – – – 47 (36%) 3
22 Conor Barr D 7.7 90' – – – 61 (53%) 2
3 Patrick McClean D 7.6 90' – – – 82 (71%) 3
28 James Olayinka M 7.5 90' – – 2 26 (21%) 2
19 Brandon Fleming D 7.2 90' – – – 37 (31%) 1
27 Liam Boyce F 7.0 90' – – 1 26 (21%) 1
7 Michael Duffy M 6.9 90' – 1 3 36 (27%) 1
16 James McClean M 6.7 69' – – – 26 (24%) –
10 Darragh Markey M 6.6 13' – – – 4 (3%) –
6 R. Slevin D 6.6 8' – – – 1 (1%) –
13 Eddie Beach G 6.5 90' – – – 41 (25%) –
Drogheda United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Luke Dennison G 6.9 90' – – – 32 (19%) –
8 Ethan O'Brien M 6.7 30' – – – 16 (16%) 1
15 Dare Kareem F 6.5 18' – – – 3 (2%) –
2 Edwin Agbaje D 6.3 90' – – – 37 (30%) 1
19 Ryan Brennan M 6.3 60' – – – 29 (23%) –
17 Shane Farell M 6.3 90' – – – 32 (22%) –
7 Jason Bucknor M 6.3 90' – – – 26 (17%) 1
18 James Bolger D 6.3 19' – – – 8 (6%) –
3 Conor Kane D 6.3 90' – – – 35 (29%) 1
22 Conor Keeley D 6.2 90' – – 1 43 (28%) 1
5 Leo Burney D 6.2 71' – – – 34 (27%) –
10 Brandon Kavanagh M 6.2 72' – – 1 22 (15%) –
6 Jago Godden F 6.2 25' – – – 8 (6%) 1
11 Thomas Oluwa M 6.2 65' – – 1 11 (6%) 1
14 Mark Doyle F 5.9 90' – – 1 16 (11%) 1
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Derry City
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Derry City
WDWWD
Drogheda United
LWWLL
Last 1 meetings Derry City · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Derry City currently holds a strong position in the Premier Division, showcasing an effective attacking lineup averaging 1.8 goals per match. Meanwhile, Drogheda United has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. Historically, Derry City has performed well against Drogheda, winning 60% of their last five encounters. Given the current form and statistical trends, Derry City will likely seek to exploit Drogheda's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
7%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Derry City
M. Duffy 10 gls
J. Clarke 6 gls
Drogheda United
M. Doyle 8 gls

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Head to Head: Derry City vs Drogheda United

0 Derry City Wins
1 Draws
0 Drogheda United Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Mar 2026 Derry City 2 - 2 Drogheda United

Derry City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Galway United W 1 - 0
14 Sep A Waterford D 2 - 2
11 Sep A Shelbourne W 0 - 1
06 Sep H Dundalk W 4 - 2
30 Aug H Shamrock Rovers D 3 - 3

Drogheda United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bohemians L 2 - 1
14 Sep A Shelbourne W 1 - 2
11 Sep H Sligo Rovers W 2 - 0
04 Sep H Galway United L 1 - 2
28 Aug H Dundalk L 2 - 3

Premier Division Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
St Patrick's Athl.
32 17 8 7 +27 59
2
Shamrock Rovers
31 17 8 6 +18 59
3
Bohemians
31 16 8 7 +18 56
4
Derry City
32 9 14 9 +3 41
5
Dundalk
32 10 11 11 -4 41
6
Shelbourne
31 9 12 10 -3 39
7
Galway United
31 9 10 12 -6 37
8
Waterford
32 7 13 12 -10 34
9
Drogheda United
32 8 10 14 -13 34
10
Sligo Rovers
32 5 8 19 -30 23

Derry City

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Tiernan Lynch
13 Beach
19 Fleming
3 McClean
22 Barr
2 Cotter
23 Dummigan
16 McClean
28 Olayinka
8 O'Reilly
7 Duffy
27 Boyce

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 E. Beach G
2 B. Cotter D
22 C. Barr D
3 P. McClean D
19 B. Fleming D
23 C. Dummigan M
7 M. Duffy M
8 A. O'Reilly M
28 J. Olayinka M
16 J. McClean M
27 L. Boyce F

Substitutes

1 B. Maher G
6 R. Slevin D
31 C. Downey M
10 D. Markey M
21 K. Santos M
35 L. Kelly M
32 T. Doherty F
34 J. O'Donnell F
33 O. O'Brien D

Drogheda United

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Kevin Doherty
1 Dennison
3 Kane
5 Burney
22 Keeley
2 Agbaje
19 Brennan
17 Farrell
11 Oluwa
10 Kavanagh
7 Bucknor
14 Doyle

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Dennison G
2 E. Agbaje D
22 C. Keeley D
5 L. Burney D
3 C. Kane D
17 S. Farrell M
19 R. Brennan M
7 J. Bucknor M
10 B. Kavanagh M
11 T. Oluwa M
14 M. Doyle F

Substitutes

44 F. Talley G
32 D. Mare F
6 J. Godden F
25 B. Bosakani F
8 E. O'Brien M
18 J. Bolger D
28 S. Brady M
15 D. Kareem F
29 J. Brennan M

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