Czechia vs Mexico Prognose

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

Post on X

Mexico

Away

Estadio Azteca, D.F.

KI-Tipp Mexico gewinnt oder unentschieden

24%

68%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Czechia vs. Mexico Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Czechia eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 8%, für Mexico 68% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

Premium-Tipps

Premium

Nicht beide Teams treffen 69%

Premium-Mitglieder hatten diese Tipps vor dem Anpfiff. Premium-Analysen ansehen

Match Report

Mexico secured a comfortable 3–0 victory over Czechia in their final World Cup group stage match, with all the damage done in the second half. A goalless first period offered little indication of what was to come, though the underlying numbers already hinted at Mexican dominance — their expected goals figure of 1.91 dwarfed Czechia's 0.47 by the interval.

The floodgates opened within a minute of the restart as Mateo Chávez broke the deadlock on 55 minutes, and Julián Quiñones doubled the advantage just six minutes later to effectively end the contest. Czechia attempted to respond through a flurry of substitutions, introducing Adam Hložek and Tomáš Holeš shortly after going two down, but they managed only a single shot on target across the entire match. Mexico's single yellow card to Edson Álvarez was a minor blemish on an otherwise controlled display.

Álvaro Fidalgo added a third deep into stoppage time to round off a dominant performance. The result reflected Mexico's clear superiority on the night — a verdict our pre-match AI model had anticipated, rating a Mexican win as the most likely outcome at 68%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 55'

Mateo Chávez assist: Luis Romo

Denis Višinský ⇄ Lukáš Provod

56' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 61'

Julián Quiñones assist: Jorge Sánchez

⇄ 63'

Guillermo Martínez ⇄ Santiago Giménez

⇄ 63'

Luis Romo ⇄ Obed Vargas

▮ 64'

Edson Álvarez Yellow Card

Adam Hložek ⇄ Patrik Schick

64' ⇄

Tomáš Holeš ⇄ Tomáš Souček

64' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Gilberto Mora ⇄ Álvaro Fidalgo

⇄ 78'

Raúl Rangel ⇄ Guillermo Ochoa

⇄ 78'

Mateo Chávez ⇄ Jesús Gallardo

Lukáš Červ ⇄ Tomáš Chorý

87' ⇄

Tomáš Souček ⇄ Alexandr Sojka

87' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 90+4'

Álvaro Fidalgo assist: Roberto Alvarado

FT 0–3

Czechia

Match Stats

Mexico

51% Ball Possession 49%

0.47 Expected Goals (xG) 1.91

13 Total Shots 11

1 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 9

7 Shots outsidebox 2

5 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

388 Total passes 384

325 Passes accurate 329

84% Passes % 86%

0.13 goals_prevented 0.13

Czechia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Adam Hložek F	7.0	64'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	1
18 Michal Sadílek M	6.9	94'	–	–	1	44 (39%)	4
26 Denis Višinský F	6.7	56'	–	–	2	12 (12%)	–
12 Lukáš Červ M	6.7	87'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	3
5 Vladimír Coufal M	6.6	94'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
22 Tomáš Souček M	6.5	23'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
15 Pavel Šulc F	6.5	94'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	–
3 Tomáš Holeš D	6.5	64'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	3
10 Patrik Schick F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
21 David Douděra M	6.3	94'	–	–	4	37 (28%)	–
1 Matěj Kovář G	6.2	94'	–	–	–	31 (21%)	–
17 Lukáš Provod M	6.2	38'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
7 Ladislav Krejčí D	6.0	94'	–	–	–	66 (58%)	1
4 Robin Hranáč D	5.9	94'	–	–	–	48 (46%)	–
24 Alexandr Sojka M	—	7'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
19 Tomáš Chorý F	—	7'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

Mexico

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Mateo Chávez D	7.9	78'	1	–	1	18 (16%)	1
8 Álvaro Fidalgo M	7.7	22'	1	–	1	14 (13%)	–
15 Israel Reyes D	7.2	94'	–	–	1	48 (42%)	–
3 César Montes D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	43 (40%)	1
25 Roberto Alvarado F	7.2	94'	–	1	1	55 (46%)	1
16 Julián Quiñones F	7.2	94'	1	–	3	25 (20%)	2
2 Jorge Sánchez D	7.2	94'	–	1	1	34 (33%)	2
1 Raúl Rangel G	6.9	78'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
23 Jesús Gallardo D	6.7	16'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
18 Obed Vargas M	6.7	31'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
11 Santiago Giménez F	6.7	31'	–	–	1	4 (1%)	–
7 Luis Romo M	6.6	63'	–	1	–	23 (20%)	1
4 Edson Álvarez M	6.6	94'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	3
19 Gilberto Mora M	6.6	72'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
13 Guillermo Ochoa G	6.3	16'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
22 Guillermo Martínez F	6.2	63'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–

Premium

Vollständige KI-Analyse für Czechia vs Mexico freischalten

Alle 70+ Wahrscheinlichkeitsmärkte
KI Deep-Dive Spielbericht
Value Edge — Modell vs. Markt
Von dir gewählte Tipp-Typen

Zu Premium wechseln

Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Mexico gewinnt oder unentschieden

Most likely score

0:1 · 18.4%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Czechia

LDLWL

Mexico

LWWWW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup clash on June 25, 2026, the Czech Republic takes on Mexico. Historically, Mexico has been a strong performer in World Cups, with a solid record in the group stages. The Czech Republic, while less experienced in recent tournaments, boasts a strong defensive lineup, having conceded only 0.8 goals per match in qualifying. Mexico's attacking prowess, highlighted by their average of 2.1 goals per game in qualifiers, will test the Czech defense. This match could hinge on Mexico's ability to break through a disciplined Czech backline while exploiting transitions effectively. Expect a tactical battle with both teams looking to secure vital points early in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

68%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mexico goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	18	17	10	4	2
1	4	10	8	5	2	1
2	1	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Czechia goals · most likely 0–1 (18.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Czechia

No scorer data.

Mexico

J. Quiñones 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Warum diese Auswahl? · Premium KI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	18.4%	17.2%	10.1%	4.4%
1	3.8%	9.9%	7.7%	4.5%	2.0%
2	1.1%	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	0.5%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Czechia	Draw	Mexico
Czechia	4.1%	2.4%	1.6%
Draw	3.8%	17.5%	23.5%
Mexico	0.4%	2.4%	44.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

64%

29%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Czechia vs Mexico

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Czechia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jun	H Mexico	L	0 - 3
18 Jun	H South Africa	D	1 - 1
12 Jun	A South Korea	L	2 - 1
05 Jun	H Guatemala	W	3 - 1
26 Jun	H Türkiye	L	1 - 2

Mexico — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Jul	H England	L	2 - 3
01 Jul	H Ecuador	W	2 - 0
25 Jun	A Czechia	W	0 - 3
19 Jun	H South Korea	W	1 - 0
11 Jun	H South Africa	W	2 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Czechia

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Miroslav Koubek

1 Kovář

7 Krejčí

4 Hranáč

3 Holeš

21 Douděra

18 Sadílek

12 Červ

5 Coufal

26 Višinský

15 Šulc

9 Hložek

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Matěj Kovář	G
3	Tomáš Holeš	D
4	Robin Hranáč	D
7	Ladislav Krejčí	D
5	Vladimír Coufal	M
12	Lukáš Červ	M
18	Michal Sadílek	M
21	David Douděra	M
15	Pavel Šulc	F
26	Denis Višinský	F
9	Adam Hložek	F

Substitutes

17	Lukáš Provod	M
22	Tomáš Souček	M
10	Patrik Schick	F
16	Jindřich Staněk	G
23	Lukáš Horníček	G
6	Štěpán Chaloupek	D
2	David Zima	D
20	Jaroslav Zelený	D
24	Alexandr Sojka	M
25	Hugo Sochurek	M
8	Vladimír Darida	M
11	Jan Kuchta	F
19	Tomáš Chorý	F
13	Mojmír Chytil	F

Mexico

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Javier Aguirre

1 Rangel

20 Chávez

15 Reyes

3 Montes

2 Sánchez

7 Romo

4 Álvarez

19 Mora

16 Quiñones

22 Martínez

25 Alvarado

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Raúl Rangel	G
2	Jorge Sánchez	D
3	César Montes	D
15	Israel Reyes	D
20	Mateo Chávez	D
19	Gilberto Mora	M
4	Edson Álvarez	M
7	Luis Romo	M
25	Roberto Alvarado	F
22	Guillermo Martínez	F
16	Julián Quiñones	F

Substitutes

18	Obed Vargas	M
11	Santiago Giménez	F
12	Carlos Acevedo	G
13	Guillermo Ochoa	G
5	Johan Vásquez	D
23	Jesús Gallardo	D
6	Erik Lira	M
8	Álvaro Fidalgo	M
17	Orbelín Pineda	M
24	Luis Chávez	M
26	Brian Gutiérrez	M
10	Alexis Vega	F
21	César Huerta	M
9	Raúl Jiménez	F
14	Armando González	F