Belgium vs Iran Prognose

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Post on X

Iran

Away

KI-Tipp Belgium oder Unentschieden

44%

33%

23%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Belgium vs. Iran Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Belgium eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 44%, für Iran 23% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Timeline

Romelu Lukaku Yellow Card

3' ▮

🖵 27'

Mehdi Taremi Goal cancelled

▮ 33'

Saeid Ezatolahi Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Saleh Hardani ⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh

Nicolas Raskin ⇄ Hans Vanaken

58' ⇄

Thomas Meunier ⇄ Timothy Castagne

58' ⇄

Alexis Saelemaekers ⇄ Dodi Lukebakio

58' ⇄

Nathan Ngoy Red Card

66' ▮

⇄ 66'

Mohammad Mohebi ⇄ Mahdi Torabi

⇄ 66'

Ehsan Hajsafi ⇄ Milad Mohammadi

Romelu Lukaku ⇄ Arthur Theate

73' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Saman Ghoddos ⇄ Shahriar Moghanlou

⇄ 85'

Saeid Ezatolahi ⇄ Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh

Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Matías Fernández-Pardo

87' ⇄

FT 0–0

Belgium

Match Stats

Iran

70% Ball Possession 30%

1.79 Expected Goals (xG) 0.62

23 Total Shots 7

7 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 3

6 Blocked Shots 1

20 Shots insidebox 6

3 Shots outsidebox 1

4 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 4

7 Fouls 9

1 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

621 Total passes 270

533 Passes accurate 198

86% Passes % 73%

1.49 goals_prevented 1.49

Belgium

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Leandro Trossard M	8.2	90'	–	–	–	56 (50%)	2
1 Thibaut Courtois G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	22 (11%)	–
8 Youri Tielemans M	7.3	90'	–	–	2	53 (47%)	2
5 Maxim De Cuyper D	7.3	90'	–	–	4	56 (48%)	–
4 Brandon Mechele D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	88 (77%)	–
7 Kevin De Bruyne M	7.2	87'	–	–	3	51 (41%)	1
23 Nicolas Raskin M	7.2	58'	–	–	–	67 (60%)	1
21 Timothy Castagne D	7.0	32'	–	–	–	26 (24%)	–
15 Thomas Meunier D	6.9	58'	–	–	–	40 (32%)	2
25 Nathan Ngoy D	6.9	66'	–	–	1	77 (73%)	2
3 Arthur Theate D	6.9	17'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
14 Dodi Lukebakio F	6.9	32'	–	–	2	9 (9%)	1
20 Hans Vanaken M	6.9	32'	–	–	2	26 (24%)	–
26 Matías Fernández-Pardo F	6.7	9'	–	–	1	4 (2%)	–
22 Alexis Saelemaekers M	6.6	58'	–	–	1	22 (16%)	1
9 Romelu Lukaku F	5.9	73'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	–

Iran

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Alireza Beiranvand G	9.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (20%)	–
4 Shoja Khalilzadeh D	8.5	90'	–	–	1	34 (33%)	3
13 Hossein Kanaani D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	1
23 Ramin Rezaeian M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	21 (13%)	–
19 Ali Nemati D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (22%)	–
5 Milad Mohammadi D	6.9	24'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	1
14 Saman Ghoddos M	6.9	79'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	3
6 Saeid Ezatolahi M	6.9	85'	–	–	2	24 (18%)	3
3 Ehsan Hajsafi D	6.7	66'	–	–	–	10 (3%)	1
2 Saleh Hardani D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	5 (2%)	–
20 Shahriar Moghanlou F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
16 Mahdi Torabi M	6.6	24'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	2
18 Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	1
9 Mehdi Taremi F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	1
8 Mohammad Mohebi M	6.3	66'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
7 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F	6.3	45'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	1

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Belgium oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Belgium

LWWWD

Iran

DDDLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Belgium faces Iran on June 21, 2026. Belgium, currently ranked among the top teams globally, boasts a strong attacking lineup featuring stars like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne, who have consistently performed at elite levels. In contrast, Iran, while competitive in Asian qualifiers, has historically struggled against top-tier European teams, evident from their recent international outings. Belgium's possession-based style and tactical flexibility will likely exploit Iran's defensive vulnerabilities, making the Red Devils favorites to secure a victory. If Belgium can maintain their form, expect a decisive win, potentially impacting their momentum in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Iran goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	4	1
1	14	15	5	2
2	10	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Belgium goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

33%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

33%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.0%	8.6%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	13.8%	14.7%	5.5%	1.5%	0.3%
2	9.7%	8.2%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.1%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Belgium	Draw	Iran
Belgium	26.6%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	17.3%	22.4%	10.0%
Iran	1.7%	4.0%	13.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Belgium vs Iran

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Belgium — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
10 Jul	A Spain	L	2 - 1
07 Jul	A USA	W	1 - 4
01 Jul	H Senegal	W	3 - 2
27 Jun	A New Zealand	W	1 - 5
21 Jun	H Iran	D	0 - 0

Iran — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	A Egypt	D	1 - 1
21 Jun	A Belgium	D	0 - 0
16 Jun	H New Zealand	D	2 - 2
07 Feb	H Qatar	L	2 - 3
03 Feb	H Japan	W	2 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Belgium

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rudi Garcia

1 Courtois

5 Cuyper

4 Mechele

25 Ngoy

15 Meunier

8 Tielemans

23 Raskin

10 Trossard

7 Bruyne

22 Saelemaekers

9 Lukaku

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	T. Courtois	G
15	T. Meunier	D
25	N. Ngoy	D
4	B. Mechele	D
5	M. De Cuyper	D
23	N. Raskin	M
8	Y. Tielemans	M
22	A. Saelemaekers	M
7	K. De Bruyne	M
10	L. Trossard	M
9	R. Lukaku	F

Substitutes

12	S. Lammens	G
13	M. Penders	G
6	A. Witsel	M
20	H. Vanaken	M
3	A. Theate	D
24	A. Onana	M
26	M. Fernandez-Pardo	F
19	D. Moreira	F
21	T. Castagne	D
14	D. Lukebakio	F
17	C. De Ketelaere	F
16	K. De Winter	D
18	J. Seys	D

Iran

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Amir Ghalenoei

1 Beiranvand

3 Hajsafi

19 Nemati

4 Khalilzadeh

13 Kanaani

2 Hardani

8 Mohebi

6 Ezatolahi

14 Ghoddos

23 Rezaeian

9 Taremi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Beiranvand	G
2	S. Hardani	D
13	H. Kanaani	D
4	S. Khalilzadeh	D
19	A. Nemati	-
3	E. Hajsafi	D
23	R. Rezaeian	M
14	S. Ghoddos	M
6	S. Ezatolahi	M
8	M. Mohebi	M
9	M. Taremi	F

Substitutes

22	H. Hosseini	G
12	P. Niazmand	G
16	M. Torabi	M
24	D. Eckert	F
10	M. Ghaedi	F
20	S. Moghanlou	F
18	A. Hosseinzadeh	F
26	A. Razzaghinia	M
21	M. Ghorbani	M
7	A. Jahanbakhsh	F
11	A. Alipour	F
5	M. Mohammadi	D
15	R. Cheshmi	M
17	A. Yousefi	D
25	D. Eiri	-