Germany vs Curaçao Prognose

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Curaçao

Away

KI-Tipp Germany gewinnt

82%

15%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Germany vs. Curaçao Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Germany eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 82%, für Curaçao 4% und für ein Unentschieden 15%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Germany delivered a commanding 7-1 victory over Curaçao in their World Cup group stage opener, with the result never in doubt after a dominant first-half display. Felix Nmecha opened the scoring in the 6th minute before Livano Comenencia briefly leveled for Curaçao in the 21st minute. However, Germany quickly reasserted control through Nico Schlotterbeck's 38th-minute strike and Kai Havertz's penalty deep into first-half stoppage time, taking a 3-1 lead into the break.

The second half saw Germany pull away decisively with four additional goals. Jamal Musiala scored just two minutes after the restart, followed by strikes from Nathaniel Brown (68'), Deniz Undav (78'), and a second goal from Havertz in the 88th minute. Our pre-match AI model rated "Germany win" most likely at 82% — that call was correct.

Germany's statistical dominance was overwhelming, controlling 65% of possession and registering 26 shots compared to Curaçao's eight. The expected goals metric of 3.90 to 0.40 reflected Germany's superiority, though they exceeded even those lofty expectations with their clinical finishing throughout the match.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Felix Nmecha assist: Florian Wirtz

6' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 21'

Livano Comenencia

Nico Schlotterbeck assist: Nathaniel Brown

38' ⚽ 2–1

Kai Havertz Penalty

45+5' ⚽ 3–1

HT 3–1

⇄ 46'

Sontje Hansen ⇄ Jeremy Antonisse

Jamal Musiala assist: Joshua Kimmich

47' ⚽ 4–1

Jamal Musiala ⇄ Deniz Undav

64' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Jürgen Locadia ⇄ Jearl Margaritha

Nathaniel Brown assist: Deniz Undav

68' ⚽ 5–1

Jonathan Tah ⇄ Antonio Rüdiger

73' ⇄

Felix Nmecha ⇄ Leon Goretzka

73' ⇄

Nathaniel Brown ⇄ David Raum

73' ⇄

Deniz Undav assist: Joshua Kimmich

78' ⚽ 6–1

⇄ 83'

Tahith Chong ⇄ Gervane Kastaneer

Joshua Kimmich ⇄ Waldemar Anton

83' ⇄

Kai Havertz assist: Deniz Undav

88' ⚽ 7–1

FT 7–1

Germany

Match Stats

Curaçao

65% Ball Possession 35%

3.90 Expected Goals (xG) 0.40

26 Total Shots 8

12 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 6

8 Blocked Shots 0

21 Shots insidebox 4

5 Shots outsidebox 4

8 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 1

18 Fouls 10

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

630 Total passes 336

548 Passes accurate 276

87% Passes % 82%

-2.47 goals_prevented -2.47

Germany

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Deniz Undav F	8.9	30'	1	2	1	11 (8%)	–
23 Felix Nmecha M	8.6	73'	1	–	4	40 (38%)	3
6 Joshua Kimmich D	8.2	83'	–	2	–	73 (65%)	–
15 Nico Schlotterbeck D	8.2	94'	1	–	2	85 (73%)	2
10 Jamal Musiala M	8.2	64'	1	–	1	26 (13%)	3
7 Kai Havertz F	8.2	94'	2	–	2	40 (37%)	–
18 Nathaniel Brown D	8.0	73'	1	1	1	36 (32%)	2
5 Aleksandar Pavlović M	7.9	94'	–	–	2	73 (68%)	3
17 Florian Wirtz M	7.7	94'	–	1	1	64 (54%)	2
8 Leon Goretzka M	7.0	21'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
4 Jonathan Tah D	6.9	73'	–	–	–	71 (69%)	–
3 Waldemar Anton D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	2
19 Leroy Sané M	6.5	94'	–	–	3	50 (40%)	2
22 David Raum D	6.5	21'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	–
1 Manuel Neuer G	6.3	94'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	–
2 Antonio Rüdiger D	6.3	21'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–

Curaçao

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Livano Comenencia M	7.3	94'	1	–	2	26 (21%)	–
10 Leandro Bacuna M	7.0	94'	–	–	2	53 (46%)	4
12 Sontje Hansen F	6.7	45'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	1
9 Jürgen Locadia F	6.7	65'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
7 Juninho Bacuna M	6.6	94'	–	–	1	32 (27%)	3
19 Gervane Kastaneer F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
21 Tahith Chong M	6.3	83'	–	–	1	19 (13%)	–
11 Jeremy Antonisse F	6.3	49'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–
16 Jearl Margaritha F	6.2	29'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
18 Armando Obispo D	5.9	94'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	2
5 Sherel Constancio Floranus D	5.3	94'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	3
23 Riechedly Bazoer D	5.2	94'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	1
24 Deveron Fonville D	5.0	94'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	1
1 Eloy Room G	4.6	94'	–	–	–	28 (14%)	–

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Confidence High (82%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Germany gewinnt

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.3%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Germany

DDLWW

Curaçao

LDLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 14, 2026, Germany faces Curaçao, with a stark contrast in football pedigree. Germany, historically a powerhouse with four World Cup titles, boasts a robust squad featuring key players from top European leagues. In contrast, Curaçao, making its mark on the international stage, has shown improvement but lacks the depth and experience of a top-tier team.

Statistically, Germany should dominate possession and create numerous goal-scoring opportunities, given their average of 60% possession in recent qualifiers. Curaçao will likely adopt a defensive strategy, aiming to counterattack effectively. While upsets can occur, Germany's tactical prowess and individual talent make them strong favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Curaçao goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	2
1	13	7	1
2	17	7	2
3	15	6	1
4	9	4	1
5	5	2

↑ Germany goals · most likely 2–0 (17.3%)

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Players in form

Germany

D. Undav 3 gls

Curaçao

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

82% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	12.9%	6.6%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.3%	7.5%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	14.7%	6.3%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
4	9.3%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Germany	Draw	Curaçao
Germany	58.4%	1.6%	0.2%
Draw	22.8%	9.6%	1.7%
Curaçao	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

27%

23%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Germany vs Curaçao

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Germany — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	A Netherlands	D	1 - 1
29 Jun	H Paraguay	D	1 - 1
25 Jun	A Ecuador	L	2 - 1
20 Jun	H Ivory Coast	W	2 - 1
14 Jun	H Curaçao	W	7 - 1

Curaçao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jun	H Ivory Coast	L	0 - 2
21 Jun	A Ecuador	D	0 - 0
14 Jun	A Germany	L	7 - 1
07 Jun	H Aruba	W	3 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Germany

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Julian Nagelsmann

1 Neuer

18 Brown

15 Schlotterbeck

4 Tah

6 Kimmich

5 Pavlović

23 Nmecha

17 Wirtz

10 Musiala

19 Sané

7 Havertz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Manuel Neuer	G
6	Joshua Kimmich	D
4	Jonathan Tah	D
15	Nico Schlotterbeck	D
18	Nathaniel Brown	D
23	Felix Nmecha	M
5	Aleksandar Pavlović	M
19	Leroy Sané	M
10	Jamal Musiala	M
17	Florian Wirtz	M
7	Kai Havertz	F

Substitutes

26	Deniz Undav	F
21	Alexander Nübel	G
12	Oliver Baumann	G
22	David Raum	D
3	Waldemar Anton	D
2	Antonio Rüdiger	D
24	Malick Thiaw	D
9	Jamie Leweling	F
8	Leon Goretzka	M
25	Assan Ouédraogo	M
20	Nadiem Amiri	M
16	Angelo Stiller	M
13	Pascal Groß	M
11	Nick Woltemade	F
14	Maximilian Beier	F

Curaçao

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: D. Advocaat

1 Room

24 Fonville

18 Obispo

23 Bazoer

5 Floranus

7 Bacuna

10 Bacuna

8 Comenencia

21 Chong

12 Hansen

9 Locadia

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Eloy Room	G
5	Sherel Constancio Floranus	D
23	Riechedly Bazoer	D
18	Armando Obispo	D
24	Deveron Fonville	D
8	Livano Comenencia	M
10	Leandro Bacuna	M
7	Juninho Bacuna	M
21	Tahith Chong	M
9	Jürgen Locadia	F
12	Sontje Hansen	F

Substitutes

11	Jeremy Antonisse	F
16	Jearl Margaritha	F
26	Trevor Iriving Doornbusch	G
25	Tyrick Bodak	G
3	Jurien Gaari	D
20	Joshua Brenet	D
2	Shurandy Sambo	D
4	Roshon van Eijma	D
15	Ar'Jany Martha	M
14	Kenji Gorré	F
22	Kevin Felida	M
13	Tyrese Noslin	M
6	Godfried Roemeratoe	M
19	Gervane Kastaneer	F
17	Brandley Kuwas	F