Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction

1 : 2
HT 0 - 2
1st leg 3-1 · Aggregate 4-3
AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Shakhtar Donetsk
62%
20%
18%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan prediction: Sportiko gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 62% chance of winning, Lech Poznan 18% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Shakhtar Donetsk
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Shakhtar Donetsk
WWWDW
Lech Poznan
WLLWW
Last 1 meetings Shakhtar Donetsk · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Shakhtar Donetsk will host Lech Poznan on March 19, 2026. Shakhtar has a strong home advantage, historically performing well in front of their fans, with a home win rate of 67% in European competitions. Conversely, Lech Poznan has shown resilience, advancing from the group stage with an average possession rate of 54%, indicating their ability to control the game. However, Shakhtar's attacking prowess, evidenced by an average of 2.1 goals per match in the group stages, could prove decisive. This matchup promises to be tightly contested, with tactical discipline from both sides crucial for success.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
62%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Shakhtar Donetsk

No scorer data.

Lech Poznan
M. Ishak 8 gls

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Head to Head: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan

1 Shakhtar Donetsk Wins
0 Draws
0 Lech Poznan Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Mar 2026 Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H LNZ Cherkasy W 3 - 0
17 Sep A Vilkhivtsi W 0 - 3
14 Sep H Chornomorets W 2 - 0
10 Sep A PSV Eindhoven D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Karpaty W 1 - 2

Lech Poznan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Radomiak Radom W 5 - 1
17 Sep A Crystal Palace L 4 - 0
12 Sep A Gornik Zabrze L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Raków Częstochowa W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Jagiellonia W 2 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Strasbourg
6 5 1 0 +6 16
2
Raków Częstochowa
6 4 2 0 +7 14
3
AEK Athens FC
6 4 1 1 +7 13
4
Sparta Praha
6 4 1 1 +7 13
5
Rayo Vallecano
6 4 1 1 +6 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 1 1 +5 13
7
FSV Mainz 05
6 4 1 1 +4 13
8
AEK Larnaca
6 3 3 0 +6 12
9
Lausanne
6 3 2 1 +3 11
10
Crystal Palace
6 3 1 2 +5 10
11
Lech Poznan
6 3 1 2 +4 10
12
Samsunspor
6 3 1 2 +4 10
13
Celje
6 3 1 2 +1 10
14
AZ Alkmaar
6 3 1 2 0 10
15
Fiorentina
6 3 0 3 +3 9
16
HNK Rijeka
6 2 3 1 +3 9
17
Jagiellonia
6 2 3 1 +1 9
18
Omonia Nicosia
6 2 2 2 +1 8
19
FC Noah
6 2 2 2 -1 8
20
Drita
6 2 2 2 -4 8
21
KuPS
6 1 4 1 +1 7
22
Shkendija
6 2 1 3 -1 7
23
Zrinjski
6 2 1 3 -2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc
6 2 1 3 -2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova
6 2 1 3 -2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 1 3 -8 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 0 4 0 6
28
Legia Warszawa
6 2 0 4 0 6
29
Slovan Bratislava
6 2 0 4 -4 6
30
Breidablik
6 1 2 3 -5 5
31
Shamrock Rovers
6 1 1 4 -6 4
32
BK Hacken
6 0 3 3 -3 3
33
Hamrun Spartans
6 1 0 5 -7 3
34
Shelbourne
6 0 2 4 -7 2
35
Aberdeen
6 0 2 4 -11 2
36
Rapid Vienna
6 0 1 5 -11 1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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