Manchester City vs Real Madrid Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Round of 16

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Manchester City

Home

1 : 2

HT 1 - 1

1st leg 0-3 · Aggregate 1-5

Real Madrid

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

36%

25%

40%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Manchester City vs Real Madrid prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester City a 36% chance of winning, Real Madrid 40% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Твърде изравнено за прогноза

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Manchester City

WWWWW

Real Madrid

LWWWL

Last 3 meetings Manchester City · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this highly anticipated UEFA Champions League clash, Manchester City hosts Real Madrid at the Etihad Stadium. City, known for their dominant possession style and high pressing, will rely on their attacking prowess, particularly with Erling Haaland's goal-scoring form. On the other hand, Real Madrid, with their rich Champions League history, will look to leverage their experience and counter-attacking ability, spearheaded by Vinícius Júnior and Karim Benzema. Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with tactical discipline likely to play a crucial role. Expect a tactical battle, with set pieces and individual brilliance potentially deciding the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

36%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	8	6	3	1
1	8	12	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Manchester City goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Manchester City

E. Haaland 8 gls

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 15 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Manchester City vs Real Madrid

1 Manchester City Wins

0 Draws

2 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Mar 2026	Real Madrid	3 - 0	Manchester City
10 Dec 2025	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Manchester City
19 Feb 2025	Real Madrid	3 - 1	Manchester City

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	+19	24
2	Bayern München	8	7	0	1	22	8	+14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20	8	+12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17	7	+10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22	14	+8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17	10	+7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17	11	+6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15	9	+6	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	+9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15	7	+8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	4	2	2	21	11	+10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17	7	+10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14	10	+4	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	+2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19	17	+2	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8
29	Athletic Club	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.