Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round of 16

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Shakhtar Donetsk

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

37%

25%

38%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction: Sportiko gives Lech Poznan a 37% chance of winning, Shakhtar Donetsk 38% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Твърде изравнено за прогноза

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Lech Poznan

WLLWW

Shakhtar Donetsk

WWWDW

Last 1 meetings Lech Poznan · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Lech Poznan hosts Shakhtar Donetsk on March 12, 2026. Lech Poznan will look to leverage their home advantage, having won 70% of their last 10 home matches in European competitions. In contrast, Shakhtar Donetsk boasts a strong away record, with a 60% win rate in their last 10 away games in the same competition. The midfield battle will be crucial; Lech’s ability to control possession could dictate the pace, while Shakhtar's quick transitions and counter-attacks may exploit any defensive lapses. Expect a closely contested match with tactical nuances playing a significant role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Shakhtar Donetsk goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	8	6	3	1
1	8	12	8	4	2
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Lech Poznan goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Lech Poznan

M. Ishak 8 gls

Shakhtar Donetsk

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk

1 Lech Poznan Wins

0 Draws

0 Shakhtar Donetsk Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Mar 2026	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 - 2	Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Radomiak Radom	W	5 - 1
17 Sep	A Crystal Palace	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	A Gornik Zabrze	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Raków Częstochowa	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Jagiellonia	W	2 - 1

Shakhtar Donetsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H LNZ Cherkasy	W	3 - 0
17 Sep	A Vilkhivtsi	W	0 - 3
14 Sep	H Chornomorets	W	2 - 0
10 Sep	A PSV Eindhoven	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Karpaty	W	1 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11	5	+6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	4	2	0	9	2	+7	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	4	1	1	14	7	+7	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	4	1	1	10	3	+7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	+6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10	5	+5	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	4	1	1	7	3	+4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7	1	+6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11	6	+5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12	8	+4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10	6	+4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8	7	+1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8	5	+3	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5	2	+3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5	4	+1	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	2	2	2	5	4	+1	8
19	FC Noah	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6	5	+1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.