Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Round of 16

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Chelsea

Away

AI прогноза Твърде изравнено за прогноза

40%

25%

35%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 40% chance of winning, Chelsea 35% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Твърде изравнено за прогноза

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Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League clash on March 11, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) will host Chelsea at Parc des Princes. PSG, known for their attacking prowess, has a strong home record, particularly in European competitions, and will look to leverage their star-studded lineup, which includes top scorers and playmakers. Chelsea, however, has shown resilience in knockout stages, with a solid defensive setup that could stifle PSG’s attacks. Historically, matches between these two teams have been tightly contested, with both sides capable of exploiting defensive lapses. Expect a strategic battle, where midfield control will be crucial for both clubs.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	8	5	3	1
1	8	12	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Paris Saint Germain goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain

K. Kvaratskhelia 10 gls

O. Dembélé 8 gls

Vitinha 6 gls

D. Doué 5 gls

Chelsea

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

0 Draws

1 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Mar 2026	Chelsea	0 - 3	Paris Saint Germain
13 Jul 2025	Chelsea	3 - 0	Paris Saint Germain
09 Mar 2016	Chelsea	1 - 2	Paris Saint Germain

See all 8 meetings — Premium

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23	4	+19	24
2	Bayern München	8	7	0	1	22	8	+14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20	8	+12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17	7	+10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22	14	+8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17	10	+7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17	11	+6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15	9	+6	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	+9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15	7	+8	15
11	Paris Saint Germain	8	4	2	2	21	11	+10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17	7	+10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14	10	+4	13
14	Atletico Madrid	8	4	1	3	17	15	+2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10	10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19	17	+2	11
18	Olympiakos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6	10
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3	9
27	Union St. Gilloise	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9	9
28	PSV Eindhoven	8	2	2	4	16	16	0	8
29	Athletic Club	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11	4
34	Slavia Praha	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.