Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Brentford a 40% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Brentford and Crystal Palace shared the spoils in a lively 2–2 draw at the Gtech Community Stadium. Palace made an early impact when a VAR-confirmed penalty was converted by Ismaïla Sarr in the sixth minute, giving the visitors a quick advantage. Brentford levelled before half-time through Dango Ouattara's 40th-minute strike, ensuring the teams went in level at the break.
Crystal Palace restored their lead shortly after the restart, with Adam Wharton finding the net on 52 minutes. Brentford pushed for an equaliser and were rewarded late on when Ouattara struck again in the 88th minute to earn his side a point. The expected goals figures were remarkably even at 1.72 to 1.71, reflecting how closely contested the encounter was throughout, despite Palace enjoying 58% of possession and earning nine corner kicks to Brentford's four.
A flurry of late yellow cards — shown to Chris Richards, Jefferson Lerma, Michael Kayode, and Dean Henderson — added tension to the closing stages. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brentford win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that ultimately fell just short as neither side managed to claim all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Brentford
Match Stats
Brentford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dango Ouattara M | 8.3 | 90' | 2 | – | 5 | 15 (9%) | – |
| 4 Sepp van den Berg D | 8.0 | 8' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 24 Mikkel Damsgaard M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (30%) | 1 |
| 18 Yehor Yarmolyuk M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 72 (63%) | 2 |
| 22 Nathan Collins D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (47%) | – |
| 6 Jordan Henderson M | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 27 Vitaly Janelt M | 6.6 | 63' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | – |
| 7 Kevin Schade M | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 33 Michael Kayode D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | – |
| 10 Josh Dasilva M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 9 Igor Thiago F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (10%) | – |
| 20 Kristoffer Ajer D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 48 (42%) | 1 |
| 23 Keane Lewis-Potter D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (28%) | – |
| 8 Mathias Jensen M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 30 (21%) | – |
| 1 Caoimhin Kelleher G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Adam Wharton M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 3 Tyrick Mitchell M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | 4 |
| 2 Daniel Muñoz M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 28 (24%) | 3 |
| 10 Yéremy Pino F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 5 Maxence Lacroix D | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 7 Ismaïla Sarr F | 6.9 | 89' | 1 | – | 2 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 8 Jefferson Lerma M | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 18 Daichi Kamada M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 4 |
| 23 Jaydee Canvot D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 29 Evann Guessand F | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F | 6.5 | 29' | – | – | – | 4 | – |
| 1 Dean Henderson G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (9%) | – |
| 11 Brennan Johnson F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 26 Chris Richards D | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 34 Chadi Riad D | 5.9 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 27 (17%) | – |
| 22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F | 5.9 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 19 (11%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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K. Schade
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Brentford vs Crystal Palace
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2 - 0 | Brentford |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1 - 2 | Brentford |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Brentford | 2 - 1 | Crystal Palace |
Brentford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Chelsea | W | 3 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | A Reading | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Sunderland | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
Crystal Palace — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Leeds | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Lech Poznan | W | 4 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Ipswich | L | 2 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | H Middlesbrough | W | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Fulham | W | 2 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Crystal Palace
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Glasner
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Henderson | G |
| 23 | J. Canvot | D |
| 5 | M. Lacroix | D |
| 34 | C. Riad | D |
| 2 | D. Munoz | M |
| 20 | A. Wharton | M |
| 18 | D. Kamada | M |
| 3 | T. Mitchell | M |
| 7 | I. Sarr | F |
| 10 | Y. Pino | F |
| 22 | J. S. Larsen | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | W. Benitez | G |
| 17 | N. Clyne | D |
| 19 | W. Hughes | M |
| 11 | B. Johnson | F |
| 8 | J. Lerma | M |
| 14 | J. Mateta | F |
| 29 | E. Guessand | F |
| 26 | C. Richards | D |
| 55 | J. Devenny | M |
Brentford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Keith Andrews
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Kelleher | G |
| 33 | M. Kayode | D |
| 20 | K. Ajer | D |
| 22 | N. Collins | D |
| 23 | K. Lewis-Potter | D |
| 18 | Y. Yarmolyuk | M |
| 27 | V. Janelt | M |
| 19 | D. Ouattara | M |
| 8 | M. Jensen | M |
| 24 | M. Damsgaard | M |
| 9 | I. Thiago | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | H. R. Valdimarsson | G |
| 6 | J. Henderson | M |
| 5 | E. Pinnock | D |
| 10 | J. Dasilva | M |
| 7 | K. Schade | M |
| 11 | R. Nelson | F |
| 4 | S. van den Berg | D |
| 2 | A. Hickey | D |
| 47 | K. Furo | F |