Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle prediction: Sportiko gives Nottingham Forest a 32% chance of winning, Newcastle 42% and the draw 25%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Nottingham Forest and Newcastle played out a goalless first half at the City Ground, with both sides showing little to separate them despite Forest enjoying the majority of possession. The game came to life in the second period following a flurry of substitutions from both managers, with yellow cards for Igor Jesus and Ryan Yates adding some early tension to the contest.
Newcastle took the lead through Harvey Barnes on 74 minutes, capitalising on the openings created after the tactical reshuffles. Forest, however, refused to settle and equalised through Elliot Anderson in the 88th minute, denying the visitors what would have been a valuable three points in the title race. The xG figures — 1.48 for Forest and 1.10 for Newcastle — reflected a reasonably even contest in terms of clear-cut chances, with both teams registering six shots on target across 90 minutes.
The draw means neither side can be entirely satisfied, though Newcastle's pre-match status as the most likely winners — a call our AI model had rated at 42% — was broadly reflected in how the game unfolded before Anderson's late leveller.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Nottingham Forest
Match Stats
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Elliot Anderson M | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 74 (62%) | 1 |
| 25 Luca Netz M | 7.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 21 (21%) | 4 |
| 21 Omari Hutchinson F | 7.0 | 26' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 26 Matz Sels G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (14%) | – |
| 3 Neco Williams M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (32%) | 3 |
| 4 Morato D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 1 |
| 24 James McAtee M | 6.9 | 15' | – | 1 | 1 | 3 (1%) | – |
| 29 Dilane Bakwa F | 6.9 | 64' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | – |
| 31 Nikola Milenković D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (37%) | 1 |
| 16 Nicolás Domínguez M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 22 Ryan Yates M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 23 Jair D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 3 |
| 19 Igor Jesus F | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Taiwo Awoniyi F | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 20 Lorenzo Lucca F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 11 Chris Wood F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sven Botman D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (51%) | 1 |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | 4 | 70 (58%) | 2 |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 7.3 | 29' | 1 | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (59%) | 2 |
| 41 Jacob Ramsey M | 7.0 | 29' | – | 1 | – | 13 (13%) | 1 |
| 8 Sandro Tonali M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (58%) | 1 |
| 7 Joelinton M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 50 (42%) | 4 |
| 27 Nick Woltemade M | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 9 Yoane Wissa F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 1 Nick Pope G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | – |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 2 |
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 6.2 | 61' | – | – | – | 21 (14%) | – |
| 18 William Osula F | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 2 Kieran Trippier D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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J. Willock
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 2 - 0 | Nottingham Forest |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Newcastle | 4 - 3 | Nottingham Forest |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 3 | Newcastle |
Nottingham Forest — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Coventry | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Aston Villa | W | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Tottenham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Liverpool | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Aug | H Leeds | L | 0 - 2 |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Hull City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Leeds | L | 4 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | A Millwall | W | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Tottenham | W | 0 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eddie Howe
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 8 | S. Tonali | M |
| 39 | Bruno Guimaraes | M |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 27 | N. Woltemade | M |
| 7 | Joelinton | M |
| 18 | W. Osula | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | A. Ramsdale | G |
| 2 | K. Trippier | D |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | F |
| 10 | A. Gordon | F |
| 41 | J. Ramsey | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 20 | A. Elanga | F |
| 37 | A. Murphy | D |
Nottingham Forest
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Vitor Pereira
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Sels | G |
| 31 | N. Milenkovic | D |
| 23 | Cunha | D |
| 4 | Morato | D |
| 3 | N. Williams | M |
| 16 | N. Dominguez | M |
| 8 | E. Anderson | M |
| 25 | L. Netz | M |
| 29 | D. Bakwa | F |
| 19 | Igor Jesus | F |
| 9 | T. Awoniyi | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | S. Ortega | G |
| 11 | C. Wood | F |
| 22 | R. Yates | M |
| 24 | J. McAtee | M |
| 17 | E. da Silva Moreira | F |
| 20 | L. Lucca | F |
| 21 | O. Hutchinson | F |
| 51 | A. Whitehall | M |
| 61 | J. Sinclair | M |