Manchester United vs Brentford Prediction
Manchester United vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester United a 62% chance of winning, Brentford 17% and the draw 21%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Manchester United secured a hard-fought 2–1 home victory over Brentford in Premier League matchday 34, with the decisive work done before the interval. Casemiro broke the deadlock in the 11th minute, and Benjamin Šeško doubled the advantage just before half-time to send United in comfortably at 2–0. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester United win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that ultimately proved correct.
Brentford dominated possession at 55% and matched United for total shots across the 90 minutes, but struggled to convert that pressure into clear-cut chances, with expected goals figures finishing close at 1.36 to 1.17 in United's favour. The visitors made a triple substitution around the 73rd minute in search of a response, and Mathias Jensen pulled one back in the 87th minute to set up a nervy finish.
United held on despite the late scare, though the closing stages were feisty — five yellow cards were distributed across the match, including bookings for Joshua Zirkzee and Nathan Collins deep into stoppage time. Šeško was withdrawn moments after Jensen's goal, having played a key role in securing the three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Manchester United
Match Stats
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Casemiro M | 9.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 51 (43%) | 10 |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 8.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 38 (34%) | 2 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes M | 7.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 47 (40%) | 1 |
| 37 Kobbie Mainoo M | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 4 |
| 30 Benjamin Šeško F | 7.7 | 88' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (11%) | – |
| 31 Senne Lammens G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | – |
| 23 Luke Shaw D | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 27 (23%) | 4 |
| 26 Ayden Heaven D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo M | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 3 Noussair Mazraoui D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 2 Diogo Dalot D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 3 |
| 16 Amad Diallo M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | 3 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 11 Joshua Zirkzee F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 15 Leny Yoro D | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Brentford
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mathias Jensen M | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 94 (79%) | – |
| 24 Mikkel Damsgaard M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 78 (68%) | – |
| 1 Caoimhin Kelleher G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 4 Sepp van den Berg D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | – |
| 18 Yehor Yarmolyuk M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (63%) | 4 |
| 11 Reiss Nelson F | 6.7 | 17' | – | 1 | – | 16 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Nathan Collins D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 33 Michael Kayode D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 19 Dango Ouattara M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 7 Kevin Schade M | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 9 Igor Thiago F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 23 Keane Lewis-Potter D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Bruno Fernandes
3 gls
K. Schade
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Manchester United vs Brentford
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Brentford | 3 - 1 | Manchester United |
| 04 May 2025 | Brentford | 4 - 3 | Manchester United |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Manchester United | 2 - 1 | Brentford |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Brighton | L | 2 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | H Manchester City | L | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | H Sabah FA | W | 4 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Everton | D | 2 - 2 |
Brentford — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Chelsea | W | 3 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | A Reading | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Bournemouth | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Sunderland | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Leeds | D | 1 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Michael Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | S. Lammens | G |
| 2 | D. Dalot | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 26 | A. Heaven | D |
| 23 | L. Shaw | D |
| 18 | Casemiro | M |
| 37 | K. Mainoo | M |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | M |
| 8 | B. Fernandes | M |
| 16 | A. Diallo | M |
| 30 | B. Sesko | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | A. Bayindir | G |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
| 13 | P. Dorgu | D |
| 12 | T. Malacia | D |
| 25 | M. Ugarte | M |
| 15 | L. Yoro | D |
| 61 | S. Lacey | F |
Brentford
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Keith Andrews
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Kelleher | G |
| 33 | M. Kayode | D |
| 4 | S. van den Berg | D |
| 22 | N. Collins | D |
| 23 | K. Lewis-Potter | D |
| 18 | Y. Yarmolyuk | M |
| 8 | M. Jensen | M |
| 19 | D. Ouattara | M |
| 24 | M. Damsgaard | M |
| 7 | K. Schade | M |
| 9 | I. Thiago | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | H. R. Valdimarsson | G |
| 20 | K. Ajer | D |
| 5 | E. Pinnock | D |
| 10 | J. Dasilva | M |
| 11 | R. Nelson | F |
| 2 | A. Hickey | D |
| 47 | K. Furo | F |
| 45 | R. Donovan | M |
| 49 | O. Shield | D |