Toluca vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Clausura - 17
FT
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AI прогноза Toluca печели
80%
15%
5%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Toluca vs Leon prediction: Sportiko gives Toluca a 80% chance of winning, Leon 5% and the draw 15%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 15:46.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Toluca печели
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Toluca
LWWWW
Leon
DWLWL
Last 2 meetings Toluca · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash on April 25, 2026, Toluca will host León at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca has shown a robust home record, winning 60% of their matches this season, while León has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of points away. Both teams possess strong attacking lineups, with Toluca averaging 1.8 goals per game at home and León scoring 1.4 goals per game overall. However, Toluca’s defensive solidity, with a home defensive record of only 0.9 goals conceded per match, may prove pivotal. Expect a tightly contested match, but Toluca's home advantage could give them the edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Toluca
Paulinho 21 gls
Helinho 9 gls
Leon
I. Díaz 10 gls

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Head to Head: Toluca vs Leon

2 Toluca Wins
0 Draws
0 Leon Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Sep 2026 Toluca 2 - 0 Leon
04 Oct 2025 Leon 2 - 4 Toluca

Toluca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep H Santos Laguna L 2 - 3
16 Sep A Puebla W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Atlas W 5 - 2
07 Sep H Monterrey W 2 - 0
03 Sep H Leon W 2 - 0

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
21 Sep A Club Queretaro D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Atletico San Luis W 2 - 0
11 Sep A U.N.A.M. - Pumas L 3 - 1
06 Sep H Club America W 1 - 0
03 Sep A Toluca L 2 - 0

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 +17 36
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 +16 36
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 +13 33
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 +6 31
5
Toluca
17 8 6 3 +12 30
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 -2 26
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 +10 25
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 +3 25
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 +2 23
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 -10 22
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 -4 20
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 -6 19
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 -2 18
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 -3 18
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 -6 18
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 -15 15
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 -13 13
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 -18 12

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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