Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Wellington Phoenix

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI прогноза Wellington Phoenix или равен

33%

29%

38%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne City a 33% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 38% and the draw 29%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Wellington Phoenix или равен

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Melbourne City

LWDLW

Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Last 1 meetings Melbourne City · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Melbourne City host Wellington Phoenix, with both teams eyeing crucial points. Melbourne City, known for their strong home advantage, have a solid record at AAMI Park, winning 70% of their last ten home matches. They boast a potent attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game this season, led by standout striker Jamie Maclaren. On the other hand, Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, winning only 30% of their away fixtures this season. Their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. This match may hinge on Melbourne City's ability to exploit Wellington's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their home form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Wellington Phoenix goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	13	7	3	1
1	12	13	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2
3	2	2	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Melbourne City goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Melbourne City

M. Caputo 8 gls

M. Younis 7 gls

Wellington Phoenix

I. Eze 9 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix

0 Melbourne City Wins

1 Draws

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jan 2026	Wellington Phoenix	2 - 2	Melbourne City

Melbourne City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Palermo	L	0 - 2
26 Jul	A Weston Bears	W	0 - 3
02 May	A Auckland	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	H Adelaide United	L	1 - 2
18 Apr	A Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 3

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.