San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

Post on X

San Jose Earthquakes

Home

2 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Los Angeles FC

Away

AI прогноза Los Angeles FC или равен

32%

26%

43%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC prediction: Sportiko gives San Jose Earthquakes a 32% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC 43% and the draw 26%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 01:40.

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1st Half Draw or Away 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 34'

Son Heung-min assist: Mark Delgado

▮ 37'

Aaron Long Red Card

HT 0–1

Daniel Munie ⇄ Vitor Costa

46' ⇄

Jamar Ricketts ⇄ Preston Judd

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Armindo Sieb ⇄ Nkosi Tafari

⚽ 0–2 53'

Denis Bouanga assist: Son Heung-min

Ousseni Bouda ⇄ Timo Werner

62' ⇄

Benjamin Kikanović ⇄ Paul Marie

62' ⇄

Preston Judd Yellow Card

66' ▮

Preston Judd

70' ⚽ 1–2

🖵 73'

Son Heung-min Goal Disallowed - Foul

▮ 75'

Sergi Palencia Yellow Card

Ronaldo Vieira ⇄ Jack Skahan

78' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Mathieu Choinière ⇄ Tyler Boyd

⇄ 86'

Denis Bouanga ⇄ Jacob Shaffelburg

⇄ 90+2'

Son Heung-min ⇄ Jeremy Ebobisse

Niko Tsakiris Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

Reid Roberts assist: Beau Leroux

90+8' ⚽ 2–2

FT 2–2

San Jose Earthquakes

Match Stats

Los Angeles FC

69% Ball Possession 31%

1.08 Expected Goals (xG) 0.36

20 Total Shots 3

8 Shots on Goal 2

4 Shots off Goal 0

8 Blocked Shots 1

10 Shots insidebox 1

10 Shots outsidebox 2

15 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 7

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 7

633 Total passes 291

553 Passes accurate 221

87% Passes % 76%

0.92 goals_prevented 0.92

San Jose Earthquakes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Eduard Löwen M	7.7	94'	–	–	2	90 (77%)	2
11 Timo Werner F	7.5	32'	–	1	2	20 (17%)	1
34 Beau Leroux F	7.3	94'	–	–	–	39 (28%)	–
10 Niko Tsakiris F	7.3	94'	–	–	1	69 (58%)	1
18 Reid Roberts D	7.2	94'	–	–	1	83 (76%)	1
19 Preston Judd F	7.2	49'	1	–	3	2 (2%)	–
4 Dave Romney D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	73 (68%)	2
7 Ousseni Bouda F	7.0	62'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
87 Vitor Costa D	6.9	49'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	1
5 Daniel Munie D	6.7	45'	–	–	–	38 (34%)	1
14 Ronaldo Vieira M	6.6	78'	–	–	1	72 (64%)	2
2 Jamar Ricketts M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	1
16 Jack Skahan M	6.5	16'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
28 Benjamin Kikanović M	6.3	62'	–	–	1	41 (34%)	–
3 Paul Marie D	6.3	32'	–	–	1	9 (5%)	–
1 Angus Gunn G	6.0	94'	–	–	–	19 (18%)	–

Los Angeles FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Hugo Lloris G	9.0	94'	–	–	–	24 (8%)	–
7 Son Heung-min F	7.9	92'	1	1	1	22 (16%)	–
99 Denis Bouanga F	7.3	86'	1	–	1	18 (12%)	–
5 Ryan Porteous D	7.2	94'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	2
23 Yevhen Cheberko D	7.0	94'	–	–	–	39 (29%)	3
8 Mark Delgado M	7.0	94'	–	1	–	35 (31%)	2
4 Eddie Segura M	6.7	94'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	–
91 Nkosi Tafari D	6.6	49'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
14 Sergi Palencia D	6.6	94'	–	–	–	25 (19%)	3
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F	6.5	8'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
66 Mathieu Choinière M	6.3	79'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	1
19 Tyler Boyd F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
9 Armindo Sieb F	6.0	45'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
33 Aaron Long D	5.2	36'	–	–	–	27 (27%)	–
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Los Angeles FC или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

67%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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San Jose Earthquakes

DWWDD

Los Angeles FC

DLWDD

Last 1 meetings San Jose Earthquakes · 1W 0D 0L

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Los Angeles FC leads 1-2. Win probability: 90%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Los Angeles FC leads 1-3. Win probability: 97.8%. Comeback chance: 2.2%.

73' Goal 85% sure

Los Angeles FC now leads 1-3 with 97.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 41.5%.

72' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. Los Angeles FC win: 79.7%. BTTS: 100%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Los Angeles FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	6	4	2	1
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	4	8	7	4	2	1
3	2	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ San Jose Earthquakes goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Players in form

San Jose Earthquakes

P. Judd 13 gls

Los Angeles FC

D. Bouanga 14 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

36%

2.5

64%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS Yes 33% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.9%	5.2%	5.9%	3.6%	1.6%
1	4.2%	11.3%	9.0%	5.4%	2.5%
2	4.2%	7.6%	6.9%	4.2%	1.9%
3	2.2%	3.9%	3.5%	2.1%	1.0%
4	0.8%	1.5%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes	19.1%	4.6%	2.7%
Draw	10.8%	14.2%	13.6%
Los Angeles FC	2.4%	4.9%	27.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC

1 San Jose Earthquakes Wins

0 Draws

0 Los Angeles FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Los Angeles FC	1 - 4	San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Houston Dynamo	W	1 - 0
10 Sep	A San Diego	W	2 - 3
06 Sep	A Austin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Houston Dynamo	D	0 - 0

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	L	3 - 1
10 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A DC United	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Los Angeles FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Marc Dos Santos

1 Lloris

23 Cheberko

33 Long

5 Porteous

14 Palencia

8 Delgado

4 Segura

66 Choinière

99 Bouanga

7 Heung-min

9 Sieb

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hugo Lloris	G
14	Sergi Palencia	D
5	Ryan Porteous	D
33	Aaron Long	D
23	Yevhen Cheberko	D
66	Mathieu Choinière	M
4	Eddie Segura	M
8	Mark Delgado	M
9	Armindo Sieb	F
7	Son Heung-min	F
99	Denis Bouanga	F

Substitutes

31	Cabral Carter	G
91	Nkosi Tafari	D
24	Ryan Hollingshead	D
22	Jude Terry	M
21	Leo Walta	M
17	Jeremy Ebobisse	F
19	Tyler Boyd	F
18	Jacob Shaffelburg	F

San Jose Earthquakes

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Bruce Arena

1 Gunn

18 Roberts

4 Romney

5 Munie

2 Ricketts

23 Löwen

14 Vieira

28 Kikanović

34 Leroux

10 Tsakiris

7 Bouda

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Angus Gunn	G
5	Daniel Munie	D
4	Dave Romney	D
18	Reid Roberts	D
28	Benjamin Kikanović	M
14	Ronaldo Vieira	M
23	Eduard Löwen	M
2	Jamar Ricketts	M
10	Niko Tsakiris	F
34	Beau Leroux	F
7	Ousseni Bouda	F

Substitutes

36	Earl Edwards Jr	G
17	Jack Jasinski	D
6	Ian Harkes	M
20	Nick Fernandez	M
87	Vitor Costa	D
16	Jack Skahan	M
11	Timo Werner	F
3	Paul Marie	D
19	Preston Judd	F