Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22

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Toronto FC

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 1

New York City FC

Away

AI прогноза Toronto FC или равен

39%

29%

33%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Toronto FC vs New York City FC prediction: Sportiko gives Toronto FC a 39% chance of winning, New York City FC 33% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 01:37.

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1st Half Home or Draw 73%

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Timeline

Benjamin Kuscevic Yellow Card

18' ▮

⚽ 0–1 29'

Nicolás Fernández assist: Agustin Ojeda

▮ 40'

Nicolás Fernández Yellow Card

HT 0–1

▮ 54'

Andrés Perea Yellow Card

Derrick Etienne ⇄ Dániel Sallói

55' ⇄

Kobe Franklin ⇄ Matheus Pereira

55' ⇄

Đorđe Mihailović Yellow Card

59' ▮

⇄ 63'

Bénie Traoré ⇄ Raul Gustavo

⇄ 63'

Nico Cavallo ⇄ Kevin O'Toole

Matheus Pereira Yellow Card

64' ▮

Dániel Sallói assist: Theo Corbeanu

70' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 75'

Thiago Martins ⇄ Malachi Jones

⇄ 77'

Keaton Parks ⇄ Jonathan Shore

▮ 90+1'

Jonathan Shore Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Toronto FC

Match Stats

New York City FC

41% Ball Possession 59%

0.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.30

13 Total Shots 4

6 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 3

3 Blocked Shots 0

8 Shots insidebox 3

5 Shots outsidebox 1

6 Corner Kicks 2

2 Offsides 3

10 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

349 Total passes 525

301 Passes accurate 468

86% Passes % 89%

-0.12 goals_prevented -0.12

Toronto FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Dániel Sallói F	7.7	36'	1	–	1	10 (9%)	–
25 Walker Zimmerman D	7.5	91'	–	–	2	48 (45%)	3
7 Theo Corbeanu M	7.2	91'	–	1	1	21 (16%)	1
14 Alonso Coello M	7.0	91'	–	–	2	49 (43%)	1
22 Richie Laryea D	6.9	91'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	1
9 Josh Sargent F	6.9	91'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	–
1 Luka Gavran G	6.7	91'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	–
3 Matheus Pereira D	6.7	36'	–	–	1	12 (12%)	–
11 Derrick Etienne M	6.3	55'	–	–	–	12 (7%)	–
19 Kobe Franklin D	6.3	55'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
13 Benjamin Kuscevic D	6.3	91'	–	–	1	55 (51%)	–
10 Đorđe Mihailović M	6.3	91'	–	–	2	21 (16%)	–
71 Markus Cimermancic M	6.3	91'	–	–	–	33 (30%)	–

New York City FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Nicolás Fernández M	8.0	91'	1	–	1	50 (41%)	1
2 Nico Cavallo D	7.0	63'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	4
49 Matthew Freese G	6.9	91'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	–
13 Thiago Martins D	6.9	75'	–	–	–	81 (76%)	2
9 Bénie Traoré F	6.9	63'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	1
35 Mitja Ilenič D	6.7	91'	–	–	–	46 (44%)	1
26 Agustin Ojeda F	6.6	91'	–	1	–	20 (17%)	–
55 Keaton Parks M	6.6	77'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	–
8 Andrés Perea M	6.5	91'	–	–	1	48 (39%)	1
34 Raul Gustavo D	6.5	28'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
6 James Sands D	6.3	91'	–	–	–	89 (80%)	1
32 Jonathan Shore M	6.3	14'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
88 Malachi Jones F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
20 Luighi Hanri F	6.2	91'	–	–	2	13 (12%)	1
22 Kevin O'Toole D	6.2	28'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Toronto FC или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Toronto FC

LLLWD

New York City FC

DLWLD

Last 1 meetings Toronto FC · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

New York City FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	9	6	2
1	12	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Toronto FC goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Toronto FC

No scorer data.

New York City FC

N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Away Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	9.5%	5.6%	1.9%	0.5%
1	11.6%	15.1%	6.7%	2.2%	0.6%
2	7.9%	7.9%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%
3	3.2%	3.2%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toronto FC	Draw	New York City FC
Toronto FC	19.1%	3.0%	0.9%
Draw	18.0%	21.7%	10.2%
New York City FC	2.6%	5.6%	19.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toronto FC vs New York City FC

0 Toronto FC Wins

1 Draws

0 New York City FC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jul 2026	New York City FC	1 - 1	Toronto FC

Toronto FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Nashville SC	L	2 - 0
20 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	3 - 0
09 Sep	H Nashville SC	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Chicago Fire	D	4 - 4

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2
18 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
9	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Toronto FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: R. Fraser

1 Gavran

22 Laryea

13 Kuscevic

25 Zimmerman

19 Franklin

14 Coello

71 Cimermancic

11 Etienne

10 Mihailović

7 Corbeanu

9 Sargent

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Luka Gavran	G
19	Kobe Franklin	D
25	Walker Zimmerman	D
13	Benjamin Kuscevic	D
22	Richie Laryea	D
71	Markus Cimermancic	M
14	Alonso Coello	M
7	Theo Corbeanu	M
10	Đorđe Mihailović	M
11	Derrick Etienne	M
9	Josh Sargent	F

Substitutes

23	William Yarbrough	G
38	Jackson Gilman	D
15	Nickseon Gomis	D
12	Zane Monlouis	D
44	Raheem Edwards	D
20	Dániel Sallói	F
3	Matheus Pereira	D
17	Emilio Aristizábal	F
99	Jules-Anthony Vilsaint	F

New York City FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Pascal Jansen

49 Freese

2 Cavallo

6 Sands

13 Martins

35 Ilenič

8 Perea

7 Fernández

55 Parks

9 Traoré

20 Hanri

26 Ojeda

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
49	Matthew Freese	G
35	Mitja Ilenič	D
13	Thiago Martins	D
6	James Sands	D
2	Nico Cavallo	D
55	Keaton Parks	M
7	Nicolás Fernández	M
8	Andrés Perea	M
26	Agustin Ojeda	F
20	Luighi Hanri	F
9	Bénie Traoré	F

Substitutes

30	Tomás Romero	G
18	Gregory Ranjitsingh	G
24	Tayvon Gray	D
23	Max Murray	D
34	Raul Gustavo	D
22	Kevin O'Toole	D
32	Jonathan Shore	M
27	Cooper Flax	M
88	Malachi Jones	F