Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21

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Atlanta United FC

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2 : 1

HT 2 - 0

Sporting Kansas City

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Atlanta United FC

56%

25%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: Sportiko gives Atlanta United FC a 56% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City 19% and the draw 25%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 01:10.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Tomás Jacob assist: Miguel Almirón

13' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 22'

Emir Karić Yellow Card

Fafà Picault assist: Elías Báez

24' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 45+2'

Jacob Davis ⇄ Justin Reynolds

HT 2–0

⇄ 62'

Emir Karić ⇄ Jayden Reid

⇄ 62'

Taylor Calheira ⇄ Stephen Afrifa

Fafà Picault ⇄ William Reilly

62' ⇄

Adrian Gill ⇄ Luke Brennan

62' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 70'

Stephen Afrifa

Luke Brennan Yellow Card

72' ▮

Paulo Díaz ⇄ Stian Gregersen

73' ⇄

Elías Báez Yellow Card

76' ▮

Cooper Sanchez ⇄ Steven Alzate

77' ⇄

Luke Brennan ⇄ Matthew Edwards

77' ⇄

⇄ 87'

Capita ⇄ Jacob Bartlett

FT 2–1

Atlanta United FC

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas City

49% Ball Possession 51%

1.89 Expected Goals (xG) 0.47

8 Total Shots 6

3 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 1

7 Shots insidebox 3

1 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

507 Total passes 501

441 Passes accurate 446

87% Passes % 89%

0.08 goals_prevented 0.08

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Miguel Almirón F	7.9	91'	–	1	2	31 (24%)	1
22 Fafà Picault F	7.5	62'	1	–	1	27 (22%)	1
55 Tomás Jacob D	7.3	91'	1	–	1	35 (28%)	2
27 Paulo Díaz D	7.3	73'	–	–	–	64 (58%)	–
6 Junior Alonso D	7.2	91'	–	–	–	75 (73%)	2
48 Cooper Sanchez M	7.0	77'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	–
47 Matthew Edwards D	6.7	13'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.7	91'	–	–	–	47 (46%)	2
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F	6.7	91'	–	–	1	30 (21%)	–
16 Adrian Gill M	6.7	62'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	–
7 Steven Alzate M	6.7	14'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
1 Lucas Hoyos G	6.6	91'	–	–	–	43 (32%)	–
28 William Reilly M	6.6	29'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	1
3 Elías Báez D	6.3	91'	–	1	2	51 (44%)	2
5 Stian Gregersen D	6.3	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
20 Luke Brennan M	6.2	16'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	6.9	91'	–	–	–	82 (79%)	1
93 Shapi Suleymanov F	6.7	91'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	1
13 Justin Reynolds D	6.7	44'	–	–	–	36 (34%)	–
30 Stefan Cleveland G	6.6	91'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–
99 Jayden Reid D	6.6	29'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	1
22 Zorhan Bassong M	6.6	91'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	2
28 Wyatt Meyer D	6.5	91'	–	–	–	57 (52%)	1
19 Taylor Calheira F	6.5	62'	–	–	2	7 (7%)	–
11 Calvin Harris M	6.3	91'	–	–	1	30 (24%)	–
18 Emir Karić D	6.3	62'	–	–	–	48 (43%)	1
8 Jacob Davis D	6.3	47'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	1
17 Stephen Afrifa F	6.3	29'	1	–	1	2 (1%)	–
3 Moises Mosquera D	6.3	91'	–	–	–	72 (67%)	2
7 Capita M	6.0	87'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	1
16 Jacob Bartlett D	—	4'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Atlanta United FC

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Atlanta United FC

DWDLD

Sporting Kansas City

LWLWL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

56%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sporting Kansas City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	6	3	1
1	14	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	5	2
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Atlanta United FC goals · most likely 1–0 (14.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	6.1%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
1	14.5%	13.2%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.3%	9.0%	3.3%	0.8%	0.2%
3	6.3%	4.6%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.4%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlanta United FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
Atlanta United FC	32.4%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	21.7%	19.7%	7.2%
Sporting Kansas City	2.2%	3.8%	8.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H New York City FC	D	2 - 2
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Oct	A Seattle Sounders	L	2 - 1
27 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	W	0 - 2
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
9	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Atlanta United FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: G. Martino

1 Hoyos

3 Báez

6 Alonso

27 Díaz

55 Jacob

16 Gill

48 Sanchez

10 Almirón

8 Muyumba

59 Miranchuk

22 Picault

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Hoyos	G
55	Tomás Jacob	D
27	Paulo Díaz	D
6	Junior Alonso	D
3	Elías Báez	D
48	Cooper Sanchez	M
16	Adrian Gill	M
59	Aleksey Miranchuk	M
8	Tristan Muyumba	M
10	Miguel Almirón	M
22	Fafà Picault	F

Substitutes

42	Jayden Hibbert	G
5	Stian Gregersen	D
2	Ronald Hernández	D
4	Enea Mihaj	D
47	Matthew Edwards	D
7	Steven Alzate	M
28	William Reilly	M
20	Luke Brennan	M
19	Sergio Santos	F

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Raphael Wicky

30 Cleveland

18 Karić

28 Meyer

3 Mosquera

8 Davis

11 Harris

22 Bassong

4 Johnsen

7 Capita

19 Calheira

93 Suleymanov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Stefan Cleveland	G
8	Jacob Davis	D
3	Moises Mosquera	D
28	Wyatt Meyer	D
18	Emir Karić	D
7	Capita	M
4	Lasse Berg Johnsen	M
22	Zorhan Bassong	M
11	Calvin Harris	M
93	Shapi Suleymanov	F
19	Taylor Calheira	F

Substitutes

1	John Pulskamp	G
13	Justin Reynolds	D
15	Jansen Miller	D
99	Jayden Reid	D
2	Ian James	D
57	Diego Borges	D
16	Jacob Bartlett	D
20	Kwaku Agyabeng	M
17	Stephen Afrifa	F