Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18
FT
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AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Philadelphia Union
56%
25%
18%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Philadelphia Union a 56% chance of winning, Atlanta United FC 18% and the draw 25%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 01:43.

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Timeline

▮ 26'
Enea Mihaj Red Card
Milan Iloski Yellow Card
28' ▮
⚽ 0–1 30'
Miguel Almirón
HT 0–1
Nathan Harriel Yellow Card
53' ▮
Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan
56' ⇄
Jovan Lukić ⇄ Jesus Bueno
57' ⇄
▮ 59'
Lucas Hoyos Yellow Card
⚽ 0–2 66'
Tristan Muyumba assist: Aleksey Miranchuk
Bruno Damiani Yellow Card
68' ▮
Nathan Harriel ⇄ Agustin Anello
71' ⇄
Bruno Damiani ⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh
71' ⇄
Milan Iloski
73' ⚽ 1–2
⇄ 78'
Fafà Picault ⇄ Luke Brennan
⇄ 78'
Aleksey Miranchuk ⇄ Stian Gregersen
⇄ 84'
Miguel Almirón ⇄ Arif Kovac
⇄ 88'
Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Ronald Hernández
▮ 90+2'
Elías Báez Yellow Card
Neil Pierre assist: Kai Wagner
90+6' ⚽ 2–2
Ezekiel Alladoh assist: Kai Wagner
90+7' ⚽ 3–2
Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya
90+9' ⇄
FT 3–2
Philadelphia Union

Match Stats

Atlanta United FC
72% Ball Possession 28%
2.81 Expected Goals (xG) 0.53
30 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Goal 2
16 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 0
25 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 1
12 Corner Kicks 2
3 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
523 Total passes 220
440 Passes accurate 140
84% Passes % 64%
0.97 goals_prevented 0.97
Philadelphia Union
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Milan Iloski F 7.9 97' 1 – 4 14 (10%) –
44 Neil Pierre D 7.9 97' 1 – 5 46 (36%) 3
27 Kai Wagner D 7.6 97' – 2 – 76 (60%) 1
23 Ezekiel Alladoh F 7.6 26' 1 – 1 5 (5%) –
21 Danley Jean Jacques M 7.3 97' – – 2 48 (45%) 2
8 Jesus Bueno M 7.2 40' – – 1 40 (36%) 1
39 Frankie Westfield D 6.9 97' – – 3 62 (49%) –
6 Cavan Sullivan M 6.7 97' – – 3 47 (40%) –
28 Agustin Anello F 6.7 26' – – – 14 (13%) 1
33 Quinn Sullivan M 6.6 41' – – 1 34 (25%) –
4 Jovan Lukić M 6.5 57' – – – 45 (38%) 2
9 Bruno Damiani F 6.5 71' – – 1 14 (10%) –
26 Nathan Harriel D 6.3 71' – – 1 43 (42%) –
19 Indiana Vassilev M 6.2 56' – – – 19 (18%) –
18 Andre Blake G 6.0 97' – – – 16 (13%) –
Atlanta United FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Tristan Muyumba M 8.5 88' 1 – 1 14 (13%) 4
10 Miguel Almirón F 8.2 84' 1 – 1 16 (13%) 2
22 Fafà Picault F 6.9 78' – – 1 16 (12%) 2
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F 6.6 78' – 1 – 16 (10%) –
6 Junior Alonso D 6.5 97' – – – 31 (17%) –
55 Tomás Jacob D 6.5 97' – – – 24 (13%) 2
39 Arif Kovac F 6.5 13' – – – 2 (1%) –
47 Matthew Edwards M 6.3 97' – – – 9 (7%) 2
20 Luke Brennan M 6.3 19' – – – 2 2
5 Stian Gregersen D 6.3 19' – – 1 1 (1%) –
3 Elías Báez M 6.2 97' – – – 23 (16%) 2
2 Ronald Hernández D 6.2 9' – – – – –
28 William Reilly M 6.0 97' – – – 13 (8%) 1
1 Lucas Hoyos G 5.9 97' – – – 37 (13%) –
4 Enea Mihaj D 5.2 26' – – – 16 (16%) 1
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Philadelphia Union
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Philadelphia Union
WWWWW
Atlanta United FC
DWDLD
Last 1 meetings Philadelphia Union · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC, both teams will look to capitalize on their strong attacking capabilities. Philadelphia has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Atlanta boasts a potent offense, with an average of 2.1 goals per game. Defensively, Philadelphia has been slightly more resilient, conceding an average of 1.2 goals, compared to Atlanta's 1.5. Key players to watch include Philadelphia's leading scorer and Atlanta's playmaker, who can influence the game's tempo. This matchup is likely to be closely contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in the playoff race.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski 16 gls
Atlanta United FC

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC

0 Philadelphia Union Wins
0 Draws
1 Atlanta United FC Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Mar 2026 Atlanta United FC 3 - 1 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
26 Sep H Orlando City SC W 4 - 2
20 Sep A Sporting Kansas City W 3 - 4
14 Sep A San Diego W 0 - 5
09 Sep H FC Cincinnati W 5 - 0
05 Sep H CF Montreal W 2 - 0

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
26 Sep H New York City FC D 2 - 2
20 Sep A Portland Timbers W 0 - 1
12 Sep A DC United D 0 - 0
09 Sep H Orlando City SC L 2 - 3
05 Sep A Inter Miami D 2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
27 18 6 3 +34 60
2
New England Revolution
27 14 4 9 +9 46
3
Inter Miami
27 12 10 5 +14 46
4
Charlotte
27 12 7 8 +9 43
5
Chicago Fire
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Philadelphia Union
27 11 6 10 +10 39
7
Orlando City SC
27 10 4 13 -16 34
8
New York Red Bulls
27 9 6 12 -17 33
9
New York City FC
27 8 9 10 +5 33
10
FC Cincinnati
26 8 9 9 -9 33
11
DC United
26 6 12 8 -8 30
12
Columbus Crew
27 8 5 14 -4 29
13
Toronto FC
27 6 11 10 -12 29
14
Atlanta United FC
27 7 6 14 -13 27
15
CF Montreal
27 6 6 15 -20 24

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
26 15 5 6 +33 50
2
St. Louis City
27 13 8 6 +12 47
3
FC Dallas
27 13 8 6 +8 47
4
San Jose Earthquakes
27 13 6 8 +10 45
5
Houston Dynamo
27 13 5 9 +2 44
6
Los Angeles FC
28 11 8 9 +13 41
7
Colorado Rapids
27 11 3 13 0 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
28 9 9 10 -7 36
9
Seattle Sounders
26 9 8 9 -1 35
10
Portland Timbers
27 9 5 13 -3 32
11
Real Salt Lake
27 9 5 13 -4 32
12
San Diego
27 8 8 11 0 32
13
Austin
27 7 10 10 -12 31
14
Minnesota United FC
27 7 8 12 -9 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
26 6 3 17 -32 21

Philadelphia Union

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ryan Richter
18 Blake
27 Wagner
26 Harriel
44 Pierre
39 Westfield
19 Vassilev
21 Jacques
4 Lukić
6 Sullivan
9 Damiani
10 Iloski

Starting XI

# Player Pos
18 Andre Blake G
39 Frankie Westfield D
44 Neil Pierre D
26 Nathan Harriel D
27 Kai Wagner D
6 Cavan Sullivan M
4 Jovan Lukić M
21 Danley Jean Jacques M
19 Indiana Vassilev M
10 Milan Iloski F
9 Bruno Damiani F

Substitutes

76 Andrew Rick G
5 Japhet Sery Larsen D
2 Geiner Martínez D
8 Jesus Bueno M
11 Alejandro Bedoya M
28 Agustin Anello F
33 Quinn Sullivan M
16 Ben Bender M
23 Ezekiel Alladoh F

Atlanta United FC

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: G. Martino
1 Hoyos
6 Alonso
4 Mihaj
55 Jacob
3 Báez
8 Muyumba
28 Reilly
47 Edwards
10 Almirón
22 Picault
59 Miranchuk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Hoyos G
55 Tomás Jacob D
4 Enea Mihaj D
6 Junior Alonso D
47 Matthew Edwards M
28 William Reilly M
8 Tristan Muyumba M
3 Elías Báez M
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F
22 Fafà Picault F
10 Miguel Almirón F

Substitutes

42 Jayden Hibbert G
2 Ronald Hernández D
5 Stian Gregersen D
41 Toto Majub D
23 Adyn Torres M
20 Luke Brennan M
16 Adrian Gill M
30 Cayman Togashi F
39 Arif Kovac F

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