Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Vasco DA Gama
60%
24%
15%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba prediction: Sportiko gives Vasco DA Gama a 60% chance of winning, Coritiba 15% and the draw 24%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 01:29.

Premium прогнози

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  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
  • Под 3.5 гола 70%
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Timeline

Facundo Colidio
24' 1–0
Bruno Duarte assist: Andrés Gómez
44' 2–0
45'
Fabinho ⇄ Paulo Roberto
45'
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi ⇄ Fabricio Bustos
45'
Thiago Santos ⇄ Nicolas Fonseca
HT 2–0
Alan Lescano Penalty
56' 3–0
61'
Paulo Roberto Yellow Card
Andrés Gómez assist: Alan Saldivia
63' 4–0
Andrés Gómez Yellow Card
64'
65'
Pedro Rocha ⇄ Rodrigo Gelado
Andrés Gómez ⇄ Marino Hinestroza
71'
Alan Lescano ⇄ Ramon Rique
71'
Ramon Rique
73' 5–0
75'
Nicolas Fonseca Yellow Card
Santiago Sosa ⇄ Johan Rojas
76'
Thiago Mendes ⇄ Jair
77'
Facundo Colidio ⇄ David
77'
77'
Joaquín Lavega ⇄ Vini Paulista
FT 5–0
Vasco DA Gama

Match Stats

Coritiba
65% Ball Possession 35%
32 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Goal 1
11 Shots off Goal 1
10 Blocked Shots 2
23 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 1
12 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
588 Total passes 322
514 Passes accurate 244
7 Free Kicks 7
Vasco DA Gama
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Andrés Gómez F 8.5 71' 1 1 3 15 (11%)
9 Facundo Colidio F 8.2 77' 1 8 32 (27%)
66 Cuiabano D 8.0 90' 4 55 (47%) 2
83 Ramon Rique M 7.8 19' 1 1 12 (11%) 1
19 Bruno Duarte F 7.8 90' 1 3 20 (9%) 5
22 Alan Lescano M 7.7 71' 1 2 43 (38%) 3
4 Alan Saldivia D 7.6 90' 1 1 75 (67%) 1
96 Paulo Henrique D 7.5 90' 1 61 (53%) 1
30 Robert Renan D 7.3 90' 1 61 (56%) 1
8 Jair M 7.2 13' 1 26 (26%)
5 Santiago Sosa M 7.1 76' 1 51 (47%) 3
1 Léo Jardim G 7.0 90' 38 (35%)
18 Marino Hinestroza F 7.0 19' 3 15 (13%) 1
7 David F 6.8 13' 9 (8%)
188 Thiago Mendes M 6.7 77' 2 51 (45%)
10 Johan Rojas F 6.7 14' 1 24 (21%) 3
Coritiba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Pedro Morisco G 6.7 90' 33 (18%)
36 Vini Paulista F 6.4 13' 1 4 (4%)
32 Pedro Rocha F 6.3 65' 1 6 (5%) 1
23 Tiago Cóser D 6.2 90' 1 26 (19%)
4 Rodrigo Moledo D 6.0 90' 28 (26%)
10 Josué M 5.9 90' 44 (37%) 1
7 Joaquín Lavega M 5.9 77' 1 15 (11%) 2
28 Fabinho M 5.8 46' 8 (5%) 1
5 Nicolas Fonseca M 5.8 44' 22 (18%) 3
19 Sebastian Gomez M 5.7 90' 25 (19%)
21 Thiago Santos M 5.6 46' 25 (17%) 1
14 Fabricio Bustos D 5.6 44' 17 (12%) 3
18 Paulo Roberto M 5.5 44' 6 (5%) 2
26 Bruno Melo D 5.4 90' 46 (36%)
66 Rodrigo Gelado D 5.3 25' 4 (1%) 1
50 Vitor Gonçalves Tissi D 5.1 46' 13 (11%) 2
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Vasco DA Gama
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Vasco DA Gama
WWWDL
Coritiba
LDLWW
Last 3 meetings Vasco DA Gama · 1W 2D 0L

Live insights

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: Vasco DA Gama leads 5-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

74' Goal 85% sure

Vasco DA Gama now leads 5-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 38.8%.

64' Goal 85% sure

Vasco DA Gama now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 54.7%.

57' Goal 85% sure

Vasco DA Gama now leads 3-0 with 99.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Vasco DA Gama leads. Win probability: 96.9%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
60%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
15%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Vasco DA Gama

No scorer data.

Coritiba
Pedro Rocha 8 gls
Breno Lopes 8 gls

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Head to Head: Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba

1 Vasco DA Gama Wins
2 Draws
0 Coritiba Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Apr 2026 Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
21 Sep 2023 Vasco DA Gama 5 - 1 Coritiba
11 May 2023 Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Vasco DA Gama — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coritiba W 5 - 0
15 Sep H Santa Fe W 2 - 0
12 Sep A Gremio W 1 - 2
08 Sep A Santa Fe D 0 - 0
06 Sep A Fluminense L 1 - 0

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Vasco DA Gama L 5 - 0
12 Sep H Atletico Paranaense D 3 - 3
06 Sep H Mirassol L 1 - 2
31 Aug A Remo W 2 - 3
23 Aug H Corinthians W 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Vasco DA Gama

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Pedro Emanuel
1 Jardim
66 Cuiabano
30 Renan
4 Saldivia
96 Henrique
188 Mendes
5 Sosa
22 Lescano
9 Colidio
19 Duarte
11 Gómez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Léo Jardim G
96 Paulo Henrique D
4 A. Saldivia D
30 Robert Renan D
66 Cuiabano D
22 A. Lescano M
5 S. Sosa M
188 Thiago Mendes M
11 A. Gómez F
19 Bruno Duarte F
9 F. Colidio F

Substitutes

28 Adson F
13 Daniel Fuzato G
7 David F
55 Gabriel Pereira D
18 M. Hinestroza F
8 Jair M
43 Lucas Freitas D
6 Lucas Piton D
83 Ramon Rique M
2 J. Rodríguez D
10 J. Rojas F
77 C. Spinelli F

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Seabra
1 Luccas
26 Melo
4 Moledo
23 Cóser
50 Tissi
19 Gómez
21 Santos
7 Lavega
10 Josué
28 Fabinho
32 Rocha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Pedro Luccas G
50 Tissi D
23 Tiago Cóser D
4 Rodrigo Moledo D
26 Bruno Melo D
21 Thiago Santos M
19 S. Gómez M
28 Fabinho M
10 Josué M
7 J. Lavega M
32 Pedro Rocha F

Substitutes

14 F. Bustos D
36 Vini Paulista F
5 N. Fonseca M
37 L. Crepaldi F
3 Maicon D
18 Paulo Roberto M
22 Pedro Rangel G
78 Renato Marques F
66 Rodrigo Gelado D
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues F
33 D. Alves F
27 Gabriel Ibson Evangelista Da Silva D

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