Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

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Mirassol

Home

2 : 0

HT 2 - 0

Botafogo

Away

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo

AI прогноза Mirassol или равен

42%

28%

30%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Mirassol vs Botafogo prediction: Sportiko gives Mirassol a 42% chance of winning, Botafogo 30% and the draw 28%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 21:57.

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Timeline

Eduardo assist: Igor Formiga

16' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 35'

Huguinho Yellow Card

⇄ 45'

Álvaro Montoro ⇄ Edenilson

⇄ 45'

Danilo ⇄ H. Ziyech

⇄ 45'

Huguinho ⇄ Júnior Santos

Eduardo

45+2' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 61'

Arthur Cabral ⇄ Lucas Villalba

Eduardo ⇄ Shaylon

67' ⇄

Edson Carioca ⇄ Carlos Eduardo

76' ⇄

Denilson ⇄ Wallisson Luiz

76' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Cristian Medina ⇄ Kauan Toledo

Bruno Santos ⇄ Zé Roberto

89' ⇄

Igor Formiga ⇄ Daniel Borges

90' ⇄

FT 2–0

Mirassol

Match Stats

Botafogo

48% Ball Possession 52%

12 Total Shots 12

7 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 3

7 Shots insidebox 11

5 Shots outsidebox 1

3 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 1

8 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

580 Total passes 556

526 Passes accurate 500

7 Free Kicks 8

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Eduardo M	9.1	67'	2	–	2	31 (26%)	–
34 João Victor D	8.0	90'	–	–	–	67 (64%)	–
3 Willian Machado D	8.0	90'	–	–	1	87 (82%)	2
32 Igor Formiga D	7.8	90'	–	1	3	52 (40%)	3
22 Walter G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	–
6 Reinaldo D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	44 (37%)	1
10 Chico M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	60 (56%)	3
25 Neto Moura M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	60 (58%)	2
27 Denilson M	7.1	76'	–	–	–	57 (55%)	1
7 Shaylon M	7.0	23'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	1
80 Wallisson Luiz M	6.8	14'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	–
96 Carlos Eduardo F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
99 Zé Roberto F	6.7	1'	–	–	1	–	–
95 Edson Carioca M	6.4	76'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	1
30 Bruno Santos F	6.2	89'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	1

Botafogo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Gabriel Batista G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
33 Lucas Monzón D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	78 (72%)	2
13 Alex Telles D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	1
10 Álvaro Montoro M	6.8	46'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	–
5 Nahuel Ferraresi D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	87 (86%)	3
22 H. Ziyech M	6.7	44'	–	–	2	32 (27%)	–
2 Vitinho D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	55 (50%)	1
77 Lucas Villalba F	6.6	29'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
8 Danilo Santos M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	61 (52%)	1
19 Arthur Cabral F	6.5	61'	–	–	4	9 (9%)	–
75 Huguinho M	6.4	46'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	–
6 Cristian Medina M	6.3	77'	–	–	3	34 (26%)	2
90 Danilo F	6.3	46'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
7 Júnior Santos F	6.2	44'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
59 Kauan Toledo M	5.9	13'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	1
88 Edenilson M	5.9	44'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	–

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Mirassol или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Mirassol

WDWLD

Botafogo

LWDDL

Last 3 meetings Mirassol · 0W 2D 1L

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Mirassol leads 2-0. Win probability: 98.4%. Comeback chance: 1.6%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Mirassol now leads 2-0 with 92.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Mirassol leads. Win probability: 92.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.5%.

17' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Mirassol win: 71.3%. BTTS: 64.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

42%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Botafogo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Mirassol goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Mirassol

No scorer data.

Botafogo

Danilo Santos 9 gls

Arthur Cabral 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

30%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.9%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.5%	13.2%	7.5%	3.2%	1.1%
2	7.1%	9.2%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.7%	4.8%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mirassol	Draw	Botafogo
Mirassol	25.7%	4.7%	2.1%
Draw	15.3%	16.8%	11.8%
Botafogo	2.4%	4.4%	16.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mirassol vs Botafogo

0 Mirassol Wins

2 Draws

1 Botafogo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Apr 2026	Botafogo	3 - 2	Mirassol
01 Nov 2025	Mirassol	0 - 0	Botafogo
17 Sep 2025	Botafogo	3 - 3	Mirassol

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Botafogo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Mirassol	L	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Gremio	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H RB Bragantino	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Flamengo	L	3 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Botafogo

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Tite

12 Batista

13 Telles

33 Monzón

5 Ferraresi

2 Vitinho

10 Montoro

8 Santos

75 Huguinho

6 Medina

19 Cabral

90 Danilo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Gabriel Batista	G
2	Vitinho	D
5	N. Ferraresi	D
33	L. Monzón	D
13	Alex Telles	D
6	C. Medina	M
75	Huguinho	M
8	Danilo Santos	M
10	Álvaro Montoro	M
90	Danilo	F
19	Arthur Cabral	F

Substitutes

22	H. Ziyech	M
3	Arthur Chaves	D
17	Warleson	G
77	L. Villalba	F
9	Tiquinho Soares	F
21	Marçal	D
59	Kauan Toledo	M
42	Kadu Santos	D
34	G. Justino	D
7	Júnior Santos	F
88	Edenílson	M
25	Allan	M

Mirassol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rafael Guanaes

22 Walter

6 Reinaldo

3 Machado

34 Victor

32 Formiga

25 Moura

27 Denilson

10 Chico

33 Eduardo

95 Edson

30 Santos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Walter	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
34	João Victor	D
3	Willian Machado	D
6	Reinaldo	D
27	Denilson	M
25	Neto Moura	M
95	Edson	M
33	Eduardo	M
10	Chico	M
30	Bruno Santos	F

Substitutes

9	André Luís	F
20	Daniel Borges	D
17	Fernandinho	F
44	Gabriel	D
19	Gustavo Silva	M
5	Japa	M
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
7	Shaylon	M
90	Thomazella	G
80	Wallisson	M
99	Zé Roberto	F
96	Carlos Eduardo	F