Sao Paulo vs Coritiba Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

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Sao Paulo

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Coritiba

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Sao Paulo

52%

29%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Sao Paulo vs Coritiba prediction: Sportiko gives Sao Paulo a 52% chance of winning, Coritiba 19% and the draw 29%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 01:57.

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Домакинът да вкара 70%
1st Half Draw or Away 72%
Под 2.5 гола 71%

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Timeline

▮ 5'

Tiago Cóser Yellow Card

⇄ 20'

Tinga ⇄ João Pedro Chermont

Pablo Maia Yellow Card

41' ▮

Pablo Maia assist: Victor Sá

43' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⚽ 1–1 57'

Tiago Cóser assist: Breno Lopes

Victor Sá ⇄ Artur

63' ⇄

Newton ⇄ Ferreirinha

63' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Thiago Santos

Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 74'

Sebastian Gomez ⇄ Vini Paulista

⇄ 74'

Pedro Rocha ⇄ Paulo Roberto

⇄ 74'

Fernando Sobral ⇄ Keno

Wendell ⇄ Iago Borduchi

78' ⇄

Luciano ⇄ Ryan Francisco

78' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Sao Paulo

Most likely score

0:0 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

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Sao Paulo

WDLLW

Coritiba

LDLWW

Last 3 meetings Sao Paulo · 2W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Coritiba goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	17	9	3	1
1	17	14	4	1
2	11	8	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Sao Paulo goals · most likely 0–0 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Sao Paulo

Luciano 8 gls

J. Calleri 8 gls

Coritiba

Pedro Rocha 8 gls

Breno Lopes 8 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 34% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.8%	8.7%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
1	16.7%	14.1%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%
2	11.1%	7.5%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%
3	4.5%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

49%

34%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sao Paulo	Draw	Coritiba
Sao Paulo	24.4%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	22.1%	24.7%	9.2%
Coritiba	1.8%	3.8%	10.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sao Paulo vs Coritiba

2 Sao Paulo Wins

1 Draws

0 Coritiba Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Feb 2026	Coritiba	0 - 1	Sao Paulo
27 Sep 2023	Sao Paulo	2 - 1	Coritiba
29 Apr 2023	Coritiba	1 - 1	Sao Paulo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Internacional	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Boca Juniors	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Palmeiras	L	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Boca Juniors	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Vasco DA Gama	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	H Mirassol	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Remo	W	2 - 3
23 Aug	H Corinthians	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.