Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF Prediction

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 11

Post on X

Malmo FF

Away

Stora Valla, Degerfors

AI прогноза Malmo FF или равен

19%

34%

47%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF prediction: Sportiko gives Degerfors IF a 19% chance of winning, Malmo FF 47% and the draw 34%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Под 2.5 гола 71%

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Timeline

▮ 22'

Yellow Card

▮ 40'

Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 52'

55' ⇄

Yellow Card

56' ▮

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

76' ⇄

⇄ 79'

⇄ 86'

FT 0–1

Degerfors IF

Match Stats

Malmo FF

38% Ball Possession 62%

0.93 Expected Goals (xG) 3.81

7 Total Shots 15

0 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 7

5 Blocked Shots 5

5 Shots insidebox 14

2 Shots outsidebox 1

7 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

346 Total passes 583

278 Passes accurate 516

80% Passes % 89%

goals_prevented

Degerfors IF

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Elias Barsoum M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	39 (35%)	4
38 Matvei Igonen G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
8 Bilal Hussein M	7.2	70'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	3
16 Sebastian Ohlsson D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	2
22 Nahom Girmai M	7.0	55'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	3
24 Olle Leonardsson F	7.0	35'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	2
6 Daniel Sundgren D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	41 (31%)	2
12 Erik Lindell D	6.9	14'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
14 Ludvig Fritzson F	6.7	90'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
4 Kazper Karlsson M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	1
17 Arman Taranis F	6.5	70'	–	–	1	7 (4%)	1
11 Dijan Vukojevic F	6.5	20'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	–
7 Sebastian Ohlsson D	6.3	76'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	3
19 Alexander Lindgren M	6.3	20'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
18 Samba Diatara D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	–

Malmo FF

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Andrej Đurić D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	83 (76%)	1
7 Otto Rosengren D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	91 (83%)	3
44 Malte Palsson D	7.2	79'	–	–	–	87 (81%)	2
17 Jens Stryger Larsen M	7.2	86'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	1
23 Noah Åstrand John M	7.2	79'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	1
20 Erik Botheim F	7.2	90'	1	–	2	18 (16%)	–
4 Bleon Kurtulus D	7.0	11'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
1 Robin Olsen G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (28%)	–
40 Kenan Busuladžić M	6.7	70'	–	1	1	38 (29%)	3
24 Oscar Sjostrand F	6.7	86'	–	–	2	29 (23%)	4
2 Johan Karlsson D	6.7	10'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
47 Theodor Lundbergh M	6.6	20'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
11 Emmanuel Ekong M	6.6	10'	–	–	2	4 (4%)	–
37 Adrian Skogmar M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	2
29 Sead Hakšabanović F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	46 (40%)	1
45 Anton Höög M	6.5	11'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Malmo FF или равен

Most likely score

0:0 · 17.1%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

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Degerfors IF

LLWLL

Malmo FF

LWDWW

Last 3 meetings Degerfors IF · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Degerfors IF will host Malmo FF in an Allsvenskan clash on July 5, 2026. Historically, Malmo has dominated this fixture, boasting a higher win percentage and superior squad depth. Degerfors, however, has shown resilience at home, often leveraging their fan support to secure points against top teams. Malmo's attacking prowess, led by their dynamic forwards, will put significant pressure on Degerfors' defense, which has struggled against high-caliber opponents. Expect a tactical battle with Malmo likely to control possession while Degerfors aims to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

19%

10%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malmo FF goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	17	17	11	4	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	3	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Degerfors IF goals · most likely 0–0 (17.1%)

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Players in form

Degerfors IF

No scorer data.

Malmo FF

E. Botheim 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

34%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

34%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 34% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	17.1%	16.9%	11.1%	4.5%	1.3%
1	8.7%	14.0%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	3.5%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
3	0.8%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Degerfors IF	Draw	Malmo FF
Degerfors IF	10.4%	3.5%	1.4%
Draw	8.8%	24.7%	18.8%
Malmo FF	0.8%	3.5%	28.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

51%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Degerfors IF vs Malmo FF

1 Degerfors IF Wins

1 Draws

1 Malmo FF Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Aug 2026	Malmo FF	1 - 2	Degerfors IF
31 Aug 2025	Malmo FF	1 - 1	Degerfors IF
11 May 2025	Degerfors IF	1 - 4	Malmo FF

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Degerfors IF — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Hammarby FF	L	0 - 1
14 Sep	A Sirius	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Halmstad	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A IF Elfsborg	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	A IF Brommapojkarna	L	2 - 0

Malmo FF — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Vasteras SK FK	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Orgryte IS	W	4 - 1
07 Sep	H AIK Stockholm	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Sirius	W	0 - 1
27 Aug	A Lindo FF	W	1 - 5

Allsvenskan Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52	28	+24	51
2	Hammarby FF	22	13	4	5	49	20	+29	43
3	Djurgardens IF	22	13	2	7	47	21	+26	41
4	IF Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	+9	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	+9	36
6	Vasteras SK FK	22	10	5	7	34	35	-1	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	+4	33
8	AIK Stockholm	22	9	6	7	31	34	-3	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	9	5	8	31	41	-10	32
10	Gais	22	8	6	8	28	20	+8	30
11	IF Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	30	36	-6	27
12	Mjallby AIF	22	5	7	10	27	38	-11	22
13	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	-15	19
14	Degerfors IF	22	5	4	13	19	34	-15	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	-24	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	-24	14