FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24
FT
Post on X
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
AI прогноза FC Porto to win or draw
68%
20%
13%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC Porto vs Arouca prediction: Sportiko gives FC Porto a 68% chance of winning, Arouca 13% and the draw 20%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
FC Porto to win or draw
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FC Porto
WWLWW
Arouca
DLDWL
Last 3 meetings FC Porto · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on February 27, 2026, FC Porto hosts Arouca at Estádio do Dragão. FC Porto, traditionally a powerhouse, will look to leverage their home advantage, having secured an impressive home record in recent seasons. The team boasts a strong attacking lineup, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Arouca has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match on the road. Arouca will need to focus on a disciplined defensive strategy to contain Porto’s offensive threats. Historically, Porto has dominated this fixture, which could weigh heavily on Arouca’s confidence. Expect Porto to take the initiative early and capitalize on any defensive lapses from the visitors.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
68%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
13%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Porto
Samu 12 gls
William 8 gls
Arouca
A. Trezza 9 gls
Barbero 8 gls
Lee Hyun-Ju 7 gls

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Head to Head: FC Porto vs Arouca

3 FC Porto Wins
0 Draws
0 Arouca Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Aug 2026 FC Porto 2 - 0 Arouca
29 Sep 2025 Arouca 0 - 4 FC Porto
01 Mar 2025 Arouca 0 - 2 FC Porto
See all 10 meetings — Premium

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Benfica W 3 - 1
12 Sep A Casa Pia W 1 - 4
08 Sep H Manchester City L 0 - 2
04 Sep H Moreirense W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Academico Viseu W 0 - 3

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sporting CP D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Santa Clara L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Estoril D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Maritimo W 2 - 1
23 Aug A FC Porto L 2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
34 28 4 2 +48 88
2
Sporting CP
34 25 7 2 +65 82
3
Benfica
34 23 11 0 +49 80
4
SC Braga
34 16 11 7 +28 59
5
Famalicao
34 15 11 8 +13 56
6
GIL Vicente
34 13 11 10 +9 50
7
Moreirense
34 12 7 15 -12 43
8
Arouca
34 12 6 16 -17 42
9
Vitória SC
34 12 6 16 -12 42
10
Estoril
34 10 9 15 -3 39
11
Alverca
34 10 9 15 -17 39
12
Rio Ave
34 8 12 14 -22 36
13
Santa Clara
34 9 9 16 -9 36
14
Nacional
34 9 7 18 -8 34
15
Estrela
34 6 12 16 -18 30
16
Casa Pia
34 6 12 16 -26 30
17
Tondela
34 6 10 18 -28 28
18
AVS
34 3 12 19 -40 21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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