Famalicao vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

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Nacional

Away

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão

AI прогноза Famalicao to win or draw

72%

22%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Famalicao vs Nacional prediction: Sportiko gives Famalicao a 72% chance of winning, Nacional 7% and the draw 22%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Famalicao to win or draw

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Famalicao

WDDDL

Nacional

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Famalicao · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Famalicão hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga clash on March 21, 2026. Famalicão has shown solid form at home, boasting a 60% win rate in their last five matches, while Nacional struggles away, with only one win in their last five road games. Key players to watch include Famalicão's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Nacional's goalkeeper, who averages 4 saves per match. Given Famalicão's home advantage and Nacional's defensive vulnerabilities, Famalicão is favored to secure a vital three points in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

72%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nacional goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	4	1
1	22	7	1
2	19	6	1
3	11	4	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Famalicao goals · most likely 1–0 (22.4%)

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Players in form

Famalicao

No scorer data.

Nacional

C. Ramírez 18 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Famalicao vs Nacional

2 Famalicao Wins

0 Draws

1 Nacional Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Nacional	0 - 4	Famalicao
01 Nov 2025	Nacional	0 - 1	Famalicao
01 Mar 2025	Nacional	2 - 1	Famalicao

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Famalicao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nacional	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Sporting CP	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Estrela	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H GIL Vicente	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Santa Clara	L	1 - 0

Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.