Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 79% chance of winning, Stade Brestois 29 7% and the draw 14%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Paris Saint-Germain secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1, with the decisive moment arriving late in the second half. The first half ended goalless despite PSG's dominance, and Luis Enrique's side made a series of substitutions after the break in search of a breakthrough.
The winning goal came in the 82nd minute, when Désiré Doué broke the deadlock with a composed finish to settle what had been a one-sided but frustratingly tight contest. The statistics underlined PSG's control throughout — 67% possession, 23 total shots, 13 corner kicks, and an expected goals figure of 1.49 compared to Brestois's 0.17 — yet it took until deep in the second half to translate that dominance into a lead. The pre-match AI model had rated a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 79%, a call that proved accurate.
Brestois offered little going forward, managing just three shots in total and rarely threatening the PSG goal. The result keeps PSG's title push firmly on track, while Brest remain under pressure in the lower reaches of the table.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Match Stats
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Senny Mayulu D | 8.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 79 (71%) | 4 |
| 5 Marquinhos D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (80%) | – |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 7.9 | 37' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | – |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 7.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 90 (78%) | 2 |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 7.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 56 (53%) | – |
| 6 Ilya Zabarnyi D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (68%) | – |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 7.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | – |
| 89 Renato Marin G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 4 Lucas Beraldo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (60%) | 2 |
| 27 Dro Fernández M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 61 (51%) | 1 |
| 19 Kang-in Lee F | 6.7 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 30 (27%) | – |
| 10 Ousmane Dembélé F | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
| 29 Bradley Barcola F | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 34 (24%) | 1 |
| 87 João Neves M | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 9 Gonçalo Ramos F | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Grégoire Coudert G | 9.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (26%) | – |
| 71 Raphaël Le Guen D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 10 Romain Del Castillo F | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 2 |
| 4 Michel Diaz D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 1 |
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (29%) | 2 |
| 27 Daouda Guindo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 1 |
| 23 Kamory Doumbia F | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 3 |
| 14 Remy Labeau Lascary F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (24%) | 2 |
| 7 Junior Dina Ebimbe M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (24%) | 2 |
| 33 Hamidou Makalou M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 24 Lucas Tousart D | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 17 Mama Baldé F | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Ferran Torres
4 gls
Marquinhos
3 gls
K. Doumbia
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 | 0 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 - 0 | Stade Brestois 29 |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Marseille | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Stade Brestois 29 | W | 0 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Slovan Bratislava | W | 6 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Monaco | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Lille | D | 2 - 2 |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Toulouse | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 89 | R. Marin | G |
| 24 | S. Mayulu | D |
| 5 | Marquinhos | D |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
| 21 | L. Hernandez | D |
| 27 | D. Fernandez | M |
| 4 | L. Beraldo | M |
| 8 | F. Ruiz | M |
| 19 | Lee Kang-In | F |
| 9 | G. Ramos | F |
| 29 | B. Barcola | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 10 | O. Dembele | F |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 87 | J. Neves | M |
| 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | F |
| 14 | D. Doue | F |
| 49 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 54 | D. Lucea | D |
| 42 | D. Boly | D |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Eric Roy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G. Coudert | G |
| 71 | R. Le Guen | D |
| 24 | L. Tousart | D |
| 4 | J. M. Diaz | D |
| 7 | J. Dina Ebimbe | M |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 27 | D. Guindo | M |
| 10 | R. Del Castillo | F |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
| 23 | K. Doumbia | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | R. Majecki | G |
| 5 | B. Chardonnet | D |
| 17 | M. Balde | F |
| 33 | H. Makalou | M |
| 14 | R. Labeau Lascary | F |
| 99 | P. Mboup | F |
| 12 | L. Zogbe | D |
| 29 | S. Diop | F |
| 39 | A. Lassus | M |