Paris FC vs Lille Prediction
Paris FC vs Lille prediction: Sportiko gives Paris FC a 23% chance of winning, Lille 51% and the draw 27%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Lille secured a narrow but important 1–0 victory at Paris FC in Ligue 1 Matchday 31, with the decisive moment arriving as early as the 26th minute when Matías Fernández-Pardo converted a penalty to give the visitors a lead they would not relinquish. The goal came shortly after Paris FC's Moustapha Mbow had been cautioned, and Lille headed into the break with their advantage intact.
Paris FC dominated possession at 53% and generated the better expected goals figure of 1.71 against Lille's 1.06, yet they managed only four shots on target and were unable to find an equaliser. The hosts' task grew considerably harder in the 85th minute when Pierre Lees-Melou was dismissed after picking up two yellow cards in quick succession, leaving Paris FC to see out the final stages with ten men.
The result was tight throughout, with seven Lille corners reflecting their threat from wide areas, and a flurry of late bookings adding to the tension. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lille win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved correct.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Paris FC
Match Stats
Paris FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Rudy Matondo M | 7.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (19%) | 3 |
| 35 Kevin Trapp G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (12%) | – |
| 93 Jonathan Ikoné M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 1 |
| 42 Diego Coppola D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (41%) | 2 |
| 33 Pierre Lees Melou M | 6.7 | 85' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | 4 |
| 21 Maxime López M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 27 Moses Simon M | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
| 24 Luca Koleosho F | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 17 Adama Camara D | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 1 |
| 5 Moustapha Mbow D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (50%) | 2 |
| 36 Ciro Immobile F | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 19 Nhoa Sangui D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 2 |
| 10 Ilan Kebbal M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 23 (21%) | – |
| 7 Alimami Gory F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 18 Marshall Munetsi M | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 14 Hamari Traoré D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Lille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aïssa Mandi D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (60%) | – |
| 21 Benjamin André M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (55%) | 4 |
| 3 Nathan Ngoy D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | – |
| 17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (47%) | 3 |
| 15 Romain Perraud D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 27 Félix Correia M | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | – | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 12 Thomas Meunier D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (46%) | 1 |
| 1 Berke Özer G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (21%) | – |
| 9 Olivier Giroud F | 6.9 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 28 Gaëtan Perrin F | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 46 (39%) | 3 |
| 8 Ethan Mbappé M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (44%) | 2 |
| 7 Matías Fernández-Pardo F | 6.6 | 83' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (7%) | – |
Отключи пълния AI анализ за Paris FC vs Lille
- Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
- AI задълбочен анализ на мача
- Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
- Pick types you choose
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Sinayoko
4 gls
Tiago Santos
2 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris FC vs Lille
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Lille | 4 - 2 | Paris FC |
Paris FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Strasbourg | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Lyon | D | 0 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Marseille | W | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Nice | W | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | A Estac Troyes | D | 0 - 0 |
Lille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | A Toulouse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Paris Saint Germain | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Ozer | G |
| 12 | T. Meunier | D |
| 3 | N. Ngoy | D |
| 23 | A. Mandi | D |
| 15 | R. Perraud | D |
| 21 | B. Andre | M |
| 32 | A. Bouaddi | M |
| 17 | N. Mukau | M |
| 10 | H. Haraldsson | M |
| 27 | F. Correia | M |
| 7 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | A. Bodart | G |
| 9 | O. Giroud | F |
| 11 | O. Sahraoui | F |
| 4 | Alexsandro | D |
| 8 | E. Mbappe | M |
| 18 | C. Mbemba | D |
| 24 | C. Verdonk | D |
| 28 | G. Perrin | F |
| 22 | T. Santos | D |
Paris FC
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Antoine Kombouare
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | K. Trapp | G |
| 17 | A. Camara | D |
| 42 | D. Coppola | D |
| 5 | M. Mbow | D |
| 19 | N. Sangui | D |
| 33 | P. Lees-Melou | M |
| 21 | M. Lopez | M |
| 93 | J. Ikone | M |
| 18 | M. Munetsi | M |
| 27 | M. Simon | M |
| 36 | C. Immobile | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | O. Nkambadio | G |
| 31 | S. Chergui | D |
| 10 | I. Kebbal | M |
| 14 | H. Traore | D |
| 7 | A. Gory | F |
| 9 | W. Geubbels | F |
| 6 | Otavio | D |
| 24 | L. Koleosho | F |
| 23 | R. Matondo | M |