Lens vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Post on X

Metz

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

AI прогноза Lens печели

79%

16%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lens vs Metz prediction: Sportiko gives Lens a 79% chance of winning, Metz 4% and the draw 16%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Lens печели

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Lens

LDWLL

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Lens · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on March 8, 2026, Lens will host Metz at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens has been strong at home, boasting a solid record with a high goal-scoring rate, averaging 2.1 goals per match. Conversely, Metz struggles on the road, with a poor away form that typically sees them concede over 1.5 goals per game. Historically, Lens has dominated this fixture, winning 60% of their last encounters with Metz. Expect Lens to leverage their home advantage, while Metz will need to tighten their defense to avoid another heavy defeat.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

45%

Draw

16%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3
1	20	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Lens goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Lens

O. Édouard 12 gls

W. Saïd 12 gls

F. Thauvin 11 gls

Metz

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Lens vs Metz

0 Lens Wins

0 Draws

3 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Oct 2025	Metz	2 - 0	Lens
12 Apr 2024	Metz	2 - 1	Lens
16 Sep 2023	Lens	0 - 1	Metz

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.