Lecce vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

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Juventus

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Juventus

15%

24%

61%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lecce vs Juventus prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 15% chance of winning, Juventus 61% and the draw 24%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Juventus secured a hard-fought 1–0 victory at Lecce, with Dušan Vlahović settling the contest in the opening minute with a clinical early strike. The goal gave the visitors an immediate platform, and they held their lead into half-time despite Lecce enjoying the lion's share of possession.

The second half proved more turbulent, with two VAR interventions cancelling goals from Vlahović and Pierre Kalulu within minutes of each other, keeping the scoreline tight. Lecce dominated territorially — finishing with 65% possession, seven corners, and an expected goals figure of 2.29 compared to Juventus's 0.88 — yet lacked the cutting edge to convert that pressure into an equaliser. Both sides made multiple substitutions as the game opened up, and yellow cards for Francisco Conceição and Gaby Jean added further tension in the closing stages.

Ultimately, Juventus's early efficiency proved decisive, as they absorbed Lecce's pressure and ground out the three points. The result was in line with our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Juventus win as the most likely outcome at 61%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 1'

Dušan Vlahović assist: Andrea Cambiaso

HT 0–1

🖵 49'

Dušan Vlahović Goal cancelled

🖵 61'

Pierre Kalulu Goal cancelled

Oumar Ngom ⇄ Gaby Jean

62' ⇄

Danilo Veiga ⇄ Þórir Jóhann Helgason

70' ⇄

Walid Cheddira ⇄ Francesco Camarda

76' ⇄

Lameck Banda ⇄ Konan N'Dri

76' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Dušan Vlahović ⇄ Emil Holm

▮ 80'

Francisco Conceição Yellow Card

Gaby Jean Yellow Card

82' ▮

⇄ 83'

Andrea Cambiaso ⇄ Jonathan David

⇄ 83'

Kenan Yıldız ⇄ Jérémie Boga

⇄ 83'

Francisco Conceição ⇄ Edon Zhegrova

⇄ 86'

Weston McKennie ⇄ Federico Gatti

FT 0–1

Lecce

Match Stats

Juventus

35% Ball Possession 65%

0.88 Expected Goals (xG) 2.29

8 Total Shots 15

3 Shots on Goal 6

5 Shots off Goal 7

0 Blocked Shots 2

6 Shots insidebox 14

2 Shots outsidebox 1

1 Corner Kicks 7

2 Offsides 6

7 Fouls 18

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 3

270 Total passes 500

197 Passes accurate 431

73% Passes % 86%

0.64 goals_prevented 0.64

Lecce

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Wladimiro Falcone G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	32 (16%)	–
18 Gaby Jean D	7.5	28'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	1
5 Jamil Siebert D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	32 (25%)	3
44 Tiago Gabriel D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	39 (33%)	2
20 Ylber Ramadani M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	29 (22%)	5
19 Lameck Banda M	6.9	76'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	1
14 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M	6.9	20'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	1
17 Danilo Veiga D	6.6	70'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	3
29 Lassana Coulibaly M	6.6	90'	–	–	1	19 (17%)	1
25 Antonino Gallo D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	2
99 Walid Cheddira F	6.5	75'	–	–	2	6 (4%)	–
11 Konan N'Dri F	6.5	14'	–	–	1	–	–
79 Oumar Ngom M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	–
22 Francesco Camarda F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
50 Santiago Pierotti M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	21 (17%)	1

Juventus

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Michele Di Gregorio G	8.2	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	–
5 Manuel Locatelli M	7.7	90'	–	–	–	70 (58%)	4
6 Lloyd Kelly D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	67 (61%)	1
27 Andrea Cambiaso D	7.3	83'	–	1	1	40 (37%)	3
9 Dušan Vlahović F	7.3	77'	1	–	6	11 (8%)	–
3 Bremer D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	52 (45%)	3
7 Francisco Conceição M	7.2	83'	–	–	1	30 (26%)	5
10 Kenan Yıldız M	7.0	83'	–	–	1	42 (37%)	8
22 Weston McKennie M	6.9	86'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	1
8 T. Koopmeiners M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	3
15 Pierre Kalulu D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	53 (45%)	4
2 Emil Holm D	6.7	13'	–	–	1	6 (3%)	1
11 Edon Zhegrova F	6.7	13'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	–
13 Jérémie Boga F	6.6	13'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
4 Federico Gatti D	6.6	10'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
30 Jonathan David F	6.5	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Juventus

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Lecce

LWLLW

Juventus

WWLDW

Last 3 meetings Lecce · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on May 10, 2026, Lecce will host Juventus at their home ground. Lecce, known for a solid defensive structure, has struggled against top-tier teams, having secured only 2 wins in their last 10 matches against Juventus. Juventus, historically dominant, has the edge with an impressive away record, winning 7 of their last 8 encounters with Lecce. Key players to watch include Lecce's forward who has been their top scorer this season, and Juventus' veteran striker, who is essential for maintaining their title challenge. Overall, Juventus enters this match as the favorite, but Lecce's home advantage could play a crucial role.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Juventus goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	16	13	7	3	1
1	6	11	9	5	2	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 0–1 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Juventus

E. Zhegrova 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Juventus

0 Lecce Wins

2 Draws

1 Juventus Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Jan 2026	Juventus	1 - 1	Lecce
12 Apr 2025	Juventus	2 - 1	Lecce
01 Dec 2024	Lecce	1 - 1	Juventus

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Juventus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 0
17 Sep	H NEC Nijmegen	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Sassuolo	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	H AC Milan	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Parma	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Juventus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Luciano Spalletti

16 Gregorio

27 Cambiaso

6 Kelly

3 Bremer

15 Kalulu

8 Koopmeiners

5 Locatelli

10 Yildiz

22 McKennie

7 Conceicao

9 Vlahovic

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	M. Di Gregorio	G
15	P. Kalulu	D
3	Bremer	D
6	L. Kelly	D
27	A. Cambiaso	D
5	M. Locatelli	M
8	T. Koopmeiners	M
7	F. Conceicao	M
22	W. McKennie	M
10	K. Yildiz	M
9	D. Vlahovic	F

Substitutes

1	M. Perin	G
23	C. Pinsoglio	G
30	J. David	F
4	F. Gatti	D
21	F. Miretti	M
17	V. Adzic	M
18	F. Kostic	M
13	J. Boga	F
20	L. Openda	F
19	K. Thuram	M
11	E. Zhegrova	F
2	E. Holm	D

Lecce

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco

30 Falcone

25 Gallo

44 Gabriel

5 Siebert

17 Veiga

79 Ngom

20 Ramadani

19 Banda

29 Coulibaly

50 Pierotti

99 Cheddira

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	W. Falcone	G
17	D. Veiga	D
5	J. Siebert	D
44	Tiago Gabriel	D
25	A. Gallo	D
20	Y. Ramadani	M
79	O. Ngom	M
50	S. Pierotti	M
29	L. Coulibaly	M
19	L. Banda	M
99	W. Cheddira	F

Substitutes

1	C. Fruchtl	G
32	J. Samooja	G
14	T. J. Helgason	M
36	F. Marchwinski	M
16	O. Gandelman	M
6	A. Sala	M
28	O. Gorter	M
22	F. Camarda	F
3	C. Ndaba	D
11	K. Ndri	F
18	G. Jean	D
9	N. Stulic	F
80	N. Kovac	M
13	M. Perez	D