Genoa vs Como Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Post on X

Como

Away

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Como

17%

20%

63%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Genoa vs Como prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 17% chance of winning, Como 63% and the draw 20%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Como claimed a comfortable 2-0 victory at Genoa in Serie A's 34th round, with the visitors proving clinical despite an evenly contested afternoon. Anastasios Douvikas broke the deadlock as early as the 10th minute, giving Como an advantage they would never relinquish. The xG figures — 0.59 for Genoa against 1.06 for Como — reflected a match where the away side made better use of their opportunities, with shots on goal finishing at just 1-2 in Como's favour.

The second half followed a similar pattern, with Assane Diao doubling the lead on 68 minutes to effectively seal the three points. Genoa's afternoon was further complicated by a flurry of yellow cards, with Diego Carlos, Diao, Junior Messias and Marc-Oliver Kempf all booked across the 90 minutes. Both sides made five substitutions as the game wound down, though Genoa could find no way back into the contest.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved correct. The result keeps Como's European ambitions alive heading into the final weeks of the campaign.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 10'

Anastasios Douvikas assist: Lucas Da Cunha

▮ 37'

Diego Carlos Yellow Card

▮ 39'

Assane Diao Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Justin Bijlow ⇄ Nicola Leali

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Nico Paz ⇄ Maxence Caqueret

Sebastian Otoa ⇄ Junior Messias

57' ⇄

⇄ 57'

Diego Carlos ⇄ Marc-Oliver Kempf

⚽ 0–2 68'

Assane Diao assist: Maxence Caqueret

Jeff Ekhator ⇄ Lorenzo Colombo

70' ⇄

Alexsandro Amorim ⇄ Ruslan Malinovskyi

70' ⇄

Stefano Sabelli

81' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Anastasios Douvikas ⇄ Álvaro Morata

⇄ 81'

Assane Diao ⇄ Ignace Van der Brempt

Junior Messias Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Marc-Oliver Kempf Yellow Card

⇄ 90+4'

Martin Baturina ⇄ Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn

FT 0–2

Genoa

Match Stats

Como

50% Ball Possession 50%

0.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06

9 Total Shots 8

1 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 2

4 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 1

2 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 3

12 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 1

459 Total passes 455

377 Passes accurate 387

82% Passes % 85%

0.04 goals_prevented 0.04

Genoa

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Vitinha F	7.3	90'	–	–	1	14 (11%)	2
4 Alexsandro Amorim M	7.2	70'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	2
22 Johan Vásquez M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	4
10 Junior Messias F	7.0	33'	–	–	2	20 (15%)	1
27 Alessandro Marcandalli D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	3
21 Jeff Ekhator F	6.9	70'	–	–	–	11 (5%)	1
29 Lorenzo Colombo F	6.7	20'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
70 Maxwel Cornet F	6.7	9'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
5 Leo Østigård D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	61 (52%)	1
32 Morten Frendrup M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	44 (39%)	1
34 Sebastian Otoa D	6.5	57'	–	–	1	48 (41%)	3
16 Justin Bijlow G	6.3	45'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	–
17 Ruslan Malinovskyi M	6.3	20'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	1
1 Nicola Leali G	6.3	45'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
77 Mikael Ellertsson M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	18 (11%)	1
20 Stefano Sabelli M	6.2	81'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	3

Como

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Anastasios Douvikas F	7.6	81'	1	–	1	4 (3%)	1
1 Jean Butez G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	44 (31%)	1
33 Lucas Da Cunha M	7.5	90'	–	1	–	63 (58%)	2
14 Jacobo Ramón D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	51 (47%)	2
3 Álex Valle D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	2
20 Martin Baturina M	7.0	89'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	3
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D	7.0	33'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
28 Ivan Smolčić D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	–
7 Álvaro Morata F	6.9	9'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	2
77 Ignace Van der Brempt D	6.9	9'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
38 Assane Diao M	6.7	81'	1	–	1	20 (16%)	2
34 Diego Carlos D	6.7	57'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	–
23 Máximo Perrone M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	68 (63%)	1
6 Maxence Caqueret M	6.5	45'	–	1	1	11 (9%)	1
10 Nico Paz M	6.3	45'	–	–	2	22 (17%)	–
19 Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Como

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Genoa

LWDLL

Como

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A matchup, Genoa hosts Como at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa, traditionally strong at home, has a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per match this season. Como, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing just 0.8 points per away game. With Genoa's attacking trio contributing significantly to their goal tally, they will look to exploit Como's vulnerabilities in defense. Expect a competitive match, but Genoa's home advantage and superior form could tilt the balance in their favor.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Como goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	9	10	7	4	2
1	4	9	10	7	4	2
2	2	5	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–2 (10.1%)

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

Como

M. Baturina 2 gls

Assane Diao 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Como

0 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

2 Como Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Sep 2026	Genoa	1 - 4	Como
15 Sep 2025	Como	1 - 1	Genoa
27 Apr 2025	Como	1 - 0	Genoa

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Como — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Frosinone	L	2 - 0
14 Sep	H Parma	W	2 - 1
10 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	4 - 1
04 Sep	A Genoa	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Napoli	W	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Genoa

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Daniele De Rossi

16 Bijlow

34 Otoa

5 Ostigard

27 Marcandalli

22 Vasquez

77 Ellertsson

4 Amorim

32 Frendrup

20 Sabelli

9 Vitinha

21 Ekhator

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	J. Bijlow	G
27	A. Marcandalli	D
5	L. Ostigard	D
34	S. Otoa	D
20	S. Sabelli	M
32	M. Frendrup	M
4	Amorim	M
77	M. E. Ellertsson	M
22	J. Vasquez	M
21	J. Ekhator	F
9	Vitinha	F

Substitutes

1	N. Leali	G
39	D. Sommariva	G
29	L. Colombo	F
74	M. Doucoure	-
70	M. Cornet	F
17	R. Malinovskyi	M
3	A. Martin	D
10	Junior Messias	F
73	P. Masini	M
14	J. Onana	M
80	J. Grossi	M
13	N. Zatterstrom	D
78	D. Ndulue	F
99	W. L. Ouedraogo	D

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fabregas

1 Butez

3 Valle

34 Carlos

14 Ramon

28 Smolcic

33 Cunha

23 Perrone

20 Baturina

10 Paz

38 Diao

11 Douvikas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Butez	G
28	I. Smolcic	D
14	J. Ramon	D
34	Diego Carlos	D
3	A. Valle	D
23	M. Perrone	M
33	L. Da Cunha	M
38	A. Diao	M
10	N. Paz	M
20	M. Baturina	M
11	A. Douvikas	F

Substitutes

22	M. Vigorito	G
44	N. Cavlina	G
21	N. Tornqvist	G
7	A. Morata	F
17	J. Rodriguez	F
2	M. O. Kempf	D
18	A. Moreno	D
5	E. Goldaniga	D
6	M. Caqueret	M
19	N. Kuhn	F
77	I. Van der Brempt	D
15	A. Lahdo	M