AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction
AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction: Sportiko gives AS Roma a 45% chance of winning, Atalanta 29% and the draw 26%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AS Roma and Atalanta played out a 1–1 draw at the Stadio Olimpico in Serie A Matchday 33, with both goals arriving in the first half. Nikola Krstović broke the deadlock in the 12th minute, only for Mario Hermoso to level matters on the stroke of half-time, ensuring the teams went in level at the break.
Both managers made sweeping changes at the interval, with Atalanta introducing Kolašinac, Scalvini, and De Ketelaere, while Roma responded with further alterations midway through the second half. Despite Roma controlling the ball — finishing with 53% possession and 19 total shots to Atalanta's eight — the hosts were unable to find a winner, with their expected goals figure of 1.07 reflecting a degree of wastefulness in front of goal. Our pre-match AI model had Roma as the most likely winners at 45%, and while the hosts did exert the greater pressure, a point was ultimately all they could secure.
Yellow cards for Éderson, Niccolò Pisilli, and Berat Djimsiti added some late needle, but the stalemate leaves both sides with questions heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
Match Stats
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 68 (62%) | 2 |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy F | 7.3 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 37 (35%) | – |
| 19 Zeki Çelik M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (41%) | 3 |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 1 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 7.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (48%) | – |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 60 (57%) | – |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 6.9 | 30' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 2 Devyne Rensch M | 6.9 | 78' | – | 1 | – | 44 (36%) | – |
| 12 Konstantinos Tsimikas D | 6.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 78 Robinio Vaz F | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 20 Lorenzo Venturino F | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (19%) | – |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 6.6 | 30' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 8 Neil El Aynaoui M | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | – | 43 (41%) | – |
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (24%) | – |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 70 (63%) | 3 |
| 13 Éderson M | 7.3 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 52 (43%) | 2 |
| 19 Berat Djimsiti D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (38%) | 4 |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 7.0 | 45' | – | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 3 |
| 3 Odilon Kossounou D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (40%) | 1 |
| 47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D | 6.9 | 36' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 6.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (14%) | – |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 69 Honest Ahanor D | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova M | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | – |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 2 |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Atalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep 2026 | AS Roma | 2 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 1 - 0 | AS Roma |
| 12 May 2025 | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | AS Roma |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | M. Svilar | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 22 | M. Hermoso | D |
| 19 | Z. Celik | M |
| 8 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 2 | D. Rensch | M |
| 18 | M. Soule | F |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | F |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 12 | K. Tsimikas | D |
| 97 | B. Zaragoza | F |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 24 | J. Ziolkowski | D |
| 78 | R. Vaz | F |
| 3 | Angelino | D |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 20 | L. Venturino | F |
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 42 | G. Scalvini | D |
| 19 | B. Djimsiti | D |
| 23 | S. Kolasinac | D |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | M |
| 15 | M. De Roon | M |
| 13 | Ederson | M |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 18 | G. Raspadori | F |
| 90 | N. Krstovic | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 50 | P. Pardel | G |
| 6 | Y. Musah | M |
| 47 | L. Bernasconi | D |
| 40 | R. Obric | D |
| 69 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 8 | M. Pasalic | M |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
| 5 | M. Bakker | D |
| 3 | O. Kossounou | D |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 10 | L. Samardzic | M |