FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

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FSV Mainz 05

Away

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за FSV Mainz 05

18%

25%

57%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction: Sportiko gives FC St. Pauli a 18% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 57% and the draw 25%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за FSV Mainz 05

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FC St. Pauli

DWDLL

FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings FC St. Pauli · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

FC St. Pauli hosts FSV Mainz 05 in a crucial Bundesliga clash on May 2, 2026. St. Pauli has struggled for consistency this season, sitting in the lower half of the table, while Mainz has shown resilience, currently positioned in mid-table. St. Pauli will rely on their home advantage, where they typically perform better, having a solid home record compared to their struggles on the road. Mainz's offensive capabilities, particularly their leading scorer, will be pivotal in exploiting St. Pauli's defensive vulnerabilities. This match could significantly impact both teams' aspirations as they approach the final stretch of the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FSV Mainz 05 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	15	12	6	3	1
1	7	12	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FC St. Pauli goals · most likely 0–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05

0 FC St. Pauli Wins

1 Draws

2 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Dec 2025	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 0	FC St. Pauli
22 Feb 2025	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 0	FC St. Pauli
05 Oct 2024	FC St. Pauli	0 - 3	FSV Mainz 05

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FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Energie Cottbus	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H VfL Wolfsburg	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Rot-Weiß Essen	L	2 - 0

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0