Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction
Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction: Sportiko gives Union Berlin a 51% chance of winning, VfL Wolfsburg 20% and the draw 29%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Wolfsburg made their dominance count in Bundesliga Matchday 30, claiming a 1–2 victory away at Union Berlin. Patrick Wimmer broke the deadlock in the 11th minute, and the visitors carried that lead into half-time, backed by a performance that would ultimately produce 25 total shots to Union's five and an expected goals figure of 1.79 against just 0.19 for the hosts.
Union Berlin drew level almost immediately after the restart, with Dženan Pejčinović equalising on 46 minutes to give the home side hope. However, despite a flurry of substitutions from both benches in the final quarter, it was Wolfsburg who settled the contest — Oliver Burke finding the winner on 85 minutes to seal all three points. Union were unable to respond in the closing stages despite late changes that included Christian Eriksen entering the fray.
The result was a tough outcome for Union Berlin, who had controlled just 46% of possession and managed only four corners to Wolfsburg's eleven. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Union Berlin win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved wide of the mark.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Union Berlin
Match Stats
Union Berlin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Christopher Trimmel M | 8.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 52 (41%) | 1 |
| 7 Oliver Burke F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 14 Leopold Querfeld D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (63%) | – |
| 4 Diogo Leite D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 65 (52%) | 1 |
| 19 Janik Haberer M | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 13 András Schäfer M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | 2 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 23 Andrej Ilić F | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 13 (6%) | – |
| 10 Ilyas Ansah F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 4 | 8 (4%) | 3 |
| 6 Aljoscha Kemlein M | 6.6 | 75' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | – |
| 21 Tim Skarke M | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | – |
| 1 Frederik Rønnow G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | – |
| 39 Derrick Köhn D | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 8 (4%) | – |
| 15 Tom Rothe M | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | – |
| 9 Livan Burcu F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 5 Danilho Doekhi D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 57 (44%) | – |
| 8 Rani Khedira M | 6.0 | 87' | – | – | 2 | 18 (13%) | – |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Patrick Wimmer F | 8.3 | 71' | 1 | – | 1 | 31 (20%) | 2 |
| 1 Kamil Grabara G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (12%) | – |
| 21 Joakim Mæhle M | 7.5 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 33 (27%) | 4 |
| 5 Vinícius Souza M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | 4 |
| 6 Jeanuël Belocian D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (42%) | 4 |
| 3 Denis Vavro D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (37%) | – |
| 24 Christian Eriksen M | 6.9 | 86' | – | 1 | 1 | 38 (29%) | – |
| 27 Maximilian Arnold M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 4 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (34%) | 2 |
| 9 Mohamed Amoura F | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 25 Aaron Zehnter M | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 30 (20%) | 1 |
| 11 Adam Daghim F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 31 Yannick Gerhardt M | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.2 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 7 Kento Shiogai F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 15 Moritz Jenz D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
Отключи пълния AI анализ за Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg
- Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
- AI задълбочен анализ на мача
- Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
- Pick types you choose
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMost likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
T. Skarke
2 gls
No scorer data.
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Union Berlin | 1 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 23 Nov 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 - 0 | Union Berlin |
Union Berlin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Bayern München | L | 7 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H FC Schalke 04 | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | H Eintracht Frankfurt | D | 3 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Eintracht Braunschweig | W | 2 - 4 |
VfL Wolfsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H SV Darmstadt 98 | W | 5 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A FC St. Pauli | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Energie Cottbus | D | 4 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A Karlsruher SC | W | 2 - 5 |
| 24 Aug | A Altglienicke | D | 3 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
VfL Wolfsburg
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Dieter Hecking
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Grabara | G |
| 6 | J. Belocian | D |
| 3 | D. Vavro | D |
| 4 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 21 | J. Maehle | M |
| 24 | C. Eriksen | M |
| 5 | Vini Souza | M |
| 25 | A. Zehnter | M |
| 39 | P. Wimmer | F |
| 9 | M. Amoura | F |
| 17 | D. Pejcinovic | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | P. Pervan | G |
| 27 | M. Arnold | M |
| 31 | Y. Gerhardt | M |
| 15 | M. Jenz | D |
| 26 | S. Kumbedi | D |
| 10 | L. Majer | M |
| 18 | J. Adjetey | D |
| 11 | A. Daghim | F |
| 7 | K. Shiogai | F |
Union Berlin
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Marie-Louise Eta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Ronnow | G |
| 5 | D. Doekhi | D |
| 14 | L. Querfeld | D |
| 4 | D. Leite | D |
| 28 | C. Trimmel | M |
| 8 | R. Khedira | M |
| 6 | A. Kemlein | M |
| 15 | T. Rothe | M |
| 7 | O. Burke | F |
| 23 | A. Ilic | F |
| 10 | I. Ansah | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | C. Klaus | G |
| 33 | A. Kral | M |
| 18 | J. Juranovic | D |
| 21 | T. Skarke | M |
| 13 | A. Schafer | M |
| 19 | J. Haberer | M |
| 34 | S. Nsoki | D |
| 39 | D. Kohn | D |
| 9 | L. Burcu | F |