FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

SC Freiburg

Away

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

AI прогноза FC St. Pauli или равен

37%

32%

31%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC St. Pauli a 37% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 31% and the draw 32%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

FC St. Pauli или равен

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FC St. Pauli

DWDLL

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings FC St. Pauli · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

FC St. Pauli will host SC Freiburg in a crucial Bundesliga clash on March 22, 2026. St. Pauli has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which could be exploited by Freiburg's efficient attack, led by their top scorer, who averages 0.5 goals per game. Freiburg, currently positioned in the upper half of the table, boasts a solid away record, winning 60% of their matches on the road. The outcome may hinge on St. Pauli's ability to contain Freiburg's pace and creativity in the midfield, while also needing to capitalize on set-piece opportunities to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	16	14	6	2
1	15	13	6	2
2	8	7	3	1
3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ FC St. Pauli goals · most likely 0–0 (15.6%)

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Players in form

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

SC Freiburg

I. Matanović 11 gls

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Head to Head: FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg

1 FC St. Pauli Wins

0 Draws

2 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Nov 2025	SC Freiburg	2 - 1	FC St. Pauli
15 Feb 2025	FC St. Pauli	0 - 1	SC Freiburg
28 Sep 2024	SC Freiburg	0 - 3	FC St. Pauli

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FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Energie Cottbus	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H VfL Wolfsburg	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Rot-Weiß Essen	L	2 - 0

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	+86	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	+36	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	+19	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	+22	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	+13	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	+21	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31	26

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.