Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split Прогноза
Прогноза за Lincoln Red Imps FC срещу HNK Hajduk Split: Sportiko дава на Lincoln Red Imps FC 14% вероятност за победа, на HNK Hajduk Split 65% и 21% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 5 Nov 2026, 19:42.
Match Report
Lincoln Red Imps produced one of the shocks of the UEFA Europa Conference League's league stage, defeating HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 in Gibraltar despite being outplayed for large stretches of the contest. The first half passed without a goal, though the tempo was feisty, with Christian Rutjens picking up a yellow card on the half-hour mark.
Hajduk dominated possession at 65% and registered 15 total shots to Lincoln's five, yet their profligacy proved costly. The decisive moment arrived in the 89th minute when Dennis Hadžikadunić turned the ball into his own net, handing the hosts an unlikely lead they would not relinquish. It was a cruel conclusion for the Croatian side, whose expected goals figure of 1.36 — against Lincoln's 0.16 — underlined just how comprehensively they had controlled the chances without converting them. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Hajduk win as the most likely outcome at 65%, a call that ultimately proved wrong.
Discipline was a theme throughout, with seven yellow cards distributed across both sides. Late bookings for Mathieu Acapandié and Nano in stoppage time reflected the frustration that had built on the Hajduk bench, as Lincoln claimed a famous and barely deserved victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Match Stats
Lincoln Red Imps FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 J. Hankins G | 7.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 40 (20%) | – |
| 8 Mandi M | 7.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 3 |
| 6 B. Lopes D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 18 (13%) | – |
| 3 Christian Rutjens D | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 19 (7%) | 2 |
| 66 Julliani Eersteling D | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | – | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 18 Toni García M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 10 Álex Mula F | 6.5 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | 2 |
| 5 Seamus Maughan D | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | – | 29 (16%) | 4 |
| 22 G. Torrilla M | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 21 Nano D | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | 4 |
| 11 Alvaro Romero M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32 Facundo Alvarez M | 6.3 | 31' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 9 Kike Gómez F | 6.2 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 15 (7%) | – |
| 44 Manuel Toledano F | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 23 Joe M | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 19 Yussef Flalhi Idrissi F | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
HNK Hajduk Split
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 K. Fayad M | 7.6 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 9 |
| 22 Mathieu Acapandié D | 7.3 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 60 (52%) | 3 |
| 10 Marko Livaja F | 7.2 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 23 Marin Šotiček M | 7.0 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 7 Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba M | 7.0 | 86' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 5 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 50 (38%) | 1 |
| 33 Toni Silić G | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 1 |
| 20 Alberto del Moral M | 6.9 | 92' | – | – | – | 47 (40%) | – |
| 15 Dario Marešić D | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 6 Dennis Hadžikadunić D | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 61 (57%) | – |
| 77 Carlos Martín F | 6.5 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 32 Šimun Hrgović D | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | 1 |
| 9 Dalisson de Almeida M | 6.5 | 75' | – | – | 3 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 11 Michele Šego F | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 8 (2%) | 2 |
| 16 Anđelo Šutalo M | — | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 26 Adam Huram M | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
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At a glance
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Late goal makes it 1-0! Lincoln Red Imps FC win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 67%. Late goal chance: 36.7%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 45.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Lincoln Red Imps FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H HNK Hajduk Split | W | 1 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | H Twente | L | 1 - 4 |
| 15 Oct | A Brann | L | 2 - 1 |
| 27 Aug | A Larne | W | 0 - 3 |
| 20 Aug | H Larne | L | 0 - 2 |
HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A NK Osijek | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Nov | A Lincoln Red Imps FC | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H HNK Gorica | W | 5 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | A Istra 1961 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | A FC Thun | W | 0 - 1 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jaylan Hankins | G |
| 66 | Julliani Eersteling | D |
| 5 | Gabri Garcia | D |
| 6 | Bernardo Lopes | D |
| 3 | Christian Rutjens | D |
| 21 | Nano | D |
| 18 | Toni García | M |
| 22 | Graeme Torrilla | M |
| 8 | Mandi | M |
| 44 | Manuel Toledano | F |
| 9 | Kike Gómez | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Nauzet Garcia | G |
| 27 | Mark Hamm | G |
| 2 | Ethan Jolley | D |
| 19 | Yussef Flalhi Idrissi | F |
| 20 | Ethan Britto | D |
| 4 | Nico Pinto | M |
| 10 | Álex Mula | F |
| 11 | Alvaro Romero | M |
| 23 | Joe | M |
| 7 | Lee Casciaro | F |
| 32 | Facundo Alvarez | M |
HNK Hajduk Split
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Toni Silić | G |
| 22 | Mathieu Acapandié | D |
| 6 | Dennis Hadžikadunić | D |
| 5 | Alec Van Hoorenbeeck | D |
| 32 | Šimun Hrgović | D |
| 20 | Alberto del Moral | M |
| 8 | Khalil Fayad | M |
| 7 | Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba | M |
| 9 | Dalisson de Almeida | M |
| 23 | Marin Šotiček | M |
| 11 | Michele Šego | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Dante Stipica | G |
| 99 | Davyd Fesyuk | G |
| 3 | Roko Gabrić | D |
| 14 | Ron Raçi | D |
| 15 | Dario Marešić | D |
| 17 | Dario Melnjak | D |
| 38 | Luka Hodak | D |
| 16 | Anđelo Šutalo | M |
| 19 | Etnik Brruti | M |
| 26 | Adam Huram | M |
| 77 | Carlos Martín | F |
| 10 | Marko Livaja | F |