Getafe vs FC Lugano Прогноза

FT
Post on X
AI прогноза Getafe или равен
40%
28%
33%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Getafe срещу FC Lugano: Sportiko дава на Getafe 40% вероятност за победа, на FC Lugano 33% и 28% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 22 Oct 2026, 18:40.

Match Report

Getafe suffered a stunning 5-2 home defeat to FC Lugano in their UEFA Europa Conference League league stage opener, with the Swiss side inflicting damage at a remarkable pace. Ivan Azón opened the scoring in the second minute, only for Lugano to respond immediately through Albian Ajeti a minute later. Yanis Cimignani then put the visitors ahead in the seventh minute, and Ajeti added a second before half-time to give Lugano a commanding 3-1 lead at the break.

Getafe made four substitutions at the interval in an attempt to shift the momentum, but Uran Bislimi extended Lugano's advantage five minutes into the second half. Borja Mayoral pulled one back for the hosts in the 74th minute, offering brief hope, before Kevin Behrens sealed the result deep into stoppage time to complete a remarkable away performance.

The scoreline defied the underlying numbers — Getafe dominated possession at 57% and registered 22 total shots to Lugano's eight — making the result all the more extraordinary. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Getafe win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved emphatically wrong on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ivan Azón
2' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 3'
Albian Ajeti assist: Daniel Dos Santos
⚽ 1–2 7'
Yanis Cimignani
▮ 13'
Yanis Cimignani Yellow Card
▮ 20'
Uran Bislimi Yellow Card
Borja Mayoral Yellow Card
23' ▮
⚽ 1–3 26'
Albian Ajeti assist: Dereck Moncada
HT 1–3
Alberto Risco ⇄ Nemanja Gudelj
46' ⇄
Davinchi ⇄ Johan Mojica
46' ⇄
Abdelkabir Abqar ⇄ Ramón Terrats
46' ⇄
Kiko Femenia ⇄ Martín Satriano
46' ⇄
⚽ 1–4 50'
Uran Bislimi assist: Mattia Zanotti
▮ 57'
Dereck Moncada Yellow Card
⇄ 59'
Dereck Moncada ⇄ Elias Pihlström
⇄ 59'
Yanis Cimignani ⇄ Martim Marques
Ivan Azón ⇄ Enes Ünal
66' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Albian Ajeti ⇄ Kevin Behrens
▮ 70'
Lars Lukas Mai Yellow Card
▮ 73'
Mattia Zanotti Yellow Card
Borja Mayoral
74' ⚽ 2–4
⇄ 75'
Daniel Dos Santos ⇄ Bekhruz Karimov
⇄ 75'
Mattia Zanotti ⇄ Ezgjan Alioski
⚽ 2–5 90+2'
Kevin Behrens
FT 2–5
Getafe

Match Stats

FC Lugano
57% Ball Possession 43%
2.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 5
12 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 6
12 Shots outsidebox 2
12 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
433 Total passes 339
366 Passes accurate 278
85% Passes % 82%
0.19 goals_prevented 0.19
Getafe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Borja Mayoral F 7.3 82' 1 – 1 22 (16%) 1
21 Andrés García M 7.2 82' – – 2 45 (37%) –
20 Ivan Azón F 7.2 66' 1 – 4 8 (5%) –
22 Johan Mojica D 6.9 37' – – – 31 (24%) –
11 Ramón Terrats M 6.9 37' – – 1 20 (18%) –
2 Djené M 6.9 82' – – – 60 (56%) –
28 Alberto Risco M 6.7 45' – – – 13 (10%) 1
10 Martín Satriano F 6.6 37' – – 4 10 (9%) –
8 Nemanja Gudelj M 6.6 37' – – 2 29 (26%) –
26 Jean Ives Valou D 6.5 82' – – 1 59 (52%) 1
16 Francho Serrano M 6.5 82' – – 1 41 (36%) –
19 Enes Ünal F 6.3 16' – – 1 2 (1%) –
5 Abdelkabir Abqar D 6.3 45' – – – 19 (19%) –
17 Kiko Femenia D 6.2 45' – – – 41 (37%) –
3 Davinchi D 5.6 45' – – 2 15 (11%) –
13 David Soria G 4.9 82' – – – 18 (9%) –
FC Lugano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Albian Ajeti F 8.2 66' 2 – 3 10 (8%) 1
27 Daniel Dos Santos M 7.5 75' – 1 – 16 (15%) 1
25 Uran Bislimi M 7.3 82' 1 – 1 49 (42%) 1
46 Mattia Zanotti M 7.2 75' – 1 – 15 (11%) –
21 Yanis Cimignani M 7.2 59' 1 – 1 29 (24%) 1
17 Lars Lukas Mai D 7.0 82' – – – 58 (52%) 2
30 Dereck Moncada F 6.6 59' – 1 1 6 (5%) –
16 David von Ballmoos G 6.5 82' – – – 36 (27%) –
91 Kevin Behrens F 6.5 16' – – – 3 (1%) –
8 Anto Grgić M 6.3 82' – – – 39 (33%) 1
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D 6.2 82' – – – 30 (22%) 1
24 Elias Pihlström F 6.2 23' – – – 1 –
3 Hannes Delcroix D 6.0 82' – – – 43 (37%) –
26 Martim Marques D 6.0 23' – – – 2 –
2 Bekhruz Karimov D — 7' – – – 2 (1%) –
7 Ezgjan Alioski D — 7' – – – – –
Premium

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Getafe или равен
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Getafe
LWWLL
FC Lugano
WWWWW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Getafe

No scorer data.

FC Lugano
K. Behrens 7 gls
Y. Cimignani 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Getafe vs FC Lugano

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Getafe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Brighton L 0 - 1
01 Nov H Sevilla W 3 - 1
29 Oct A Lebrijana W 2 - 3
25 Oct A Athletic Club L 4 - 0
22 Oct H FC Lugano L 2 - 5

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Kauno Žalgiris W 3 - 0
01 Nov H FC Basel 1893 W 2 - 1
25 Oct A FC Thun W 2 - 3
22 Oct A Getafe W 2 - 5
18 Oct A Pully Football W 0 - 4

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Getafe

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
13 Soria
3 Davinchi
26 Valou
5 Abqar
17 Femenía
28 Risco
16 Serrano
2 Djené
21 García
20 Azón
9 Mayoral

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 David Soria G
17 Kiko Femenía D
5 Abdel Abqar D
26 Jean Ives Valou D
3 Davinchi D
21 Andrés García M
2 Djené M
16 Francho Serrano M
28 Alberto Risco M
9 Borja Mayoral F
20 Ivan Azón F

Substitutes

22 Johan Mojica D
8 Nemanja Gudelj M
11 Ramón Terrats M
10 Martín Satriano F
19 Enes Ünal F
1 Jiří Letáček G
35 Diego Ferrer G
4 Saba Sazonov D
15 Sebastián Boselli D
6 Mario Martín M

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
16 Ballmoos
3 Delcroix
17 Mai
6 Papadopoulos
21 Cimignani
27 Santos
8 Grgić
25 Bislimi
46 Zanotti
9 Ajeti
30 Moncada

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 David von Ballmoos G
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D
17 Lars Lukas Mai D
3 Hannes Delcroix D
46 Mattia Zanotti M
25 Uran Bislimi M
8 Anto Grgić M
27 Daniel Dos Santos M
21 Yanis Cimignani M
30 Dereck Moncada F
9 Albian Ajeti F

Substitutes

26 Martim Marques D
24 Elias Pihlström F
91 Kevin Behrens F
2 Bekhruz Karimov D
7 Ezgjan Alioski D
28 Felix Gebhardt G
99 Diego Mina G
4 Damian Kelvin D
14 Ahmed Kendouci M
22 Beckham Castro F

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