Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Прогноза
Прогноза за Real Madrid срещу RB Leipzig: Sportiko дава на Real Madrid 75% вероятност за победа, на RB Leipzig 10% и 15% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 21 Oct 2026, 20:55.
Match Report
Real Madrid secured a comfortable 4–1 victory over RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League league stage, despite the visitors dominating possession with 65% and generating an xG of 2.92 compared to Madrid's 1.46. The only goal of the first half came just before the break, with Bernardo Silva opening the scoring in the 43rd minute to give the hosts a slender advantage at half-time.
Leipzig responded quickly after the restart through Arda Güler in the 52nd minute to level the contest, but Madrid regained control as the second half progressed. Kylian Mbappé restored the lead in the 83rd minute, and late strikes from Tidiam Gomis and Yan Diomande in the 85th and 87th minutes sealed an emphatic scoreline in the closing stages.
Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Real Madrid win as the most likely outcome at 75%, a call that proved accurate. Despite being second-best in terms of possession and shot volume, Madrid's clinical finishing proved the decisive factor on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Real Madrid
Match Stats
Real Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Kylian Mbappé F | 8.4 | 88' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 35 (31%) | – |
| 15 Arda Güler M | 8.2 | 78' | 1 | – | 3 | 58 (54%) | – |
| 20 Bernardo Silva M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 81 (76%) | – |
| 1 Thibaut Courtois G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | – |
| 25 Yan Diomande F | 7.6 | 20' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 8 Federico Valverde D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 90 (79%) | 4 |
| 4 Dean Huijsen D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 101 (96%) | – |
| 5 Jude Bellingham M | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 54 (47%) | – |
| 6 Eduardo Camavinga M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 72 (66%) | 4 |
| 22 Antonio Rüdiger D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (71%) | 1 |
| 18 Álvaro Carreras D | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 3 |
| 9 Endrick F | 6.6 | 2' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Marc Cucurella D | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 19 Carlos Espí F | 6.6 | 2' | – | – | 1 | 1 | – |
| 21 Brahim Díaz M | 6.5 | 12' | – | 1 | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 7 Vinícius Júnior M | 6.1 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 35 (29%) | 2 |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Tidiam Gomis F | 7.2 | 17' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 26 Maarten Vandevoordt G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (23%) | – |
| 21 Neil El Aynaoui M | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 37 (36%) | – |
| 23 Castello Lukeba D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | 1 |
| 7 Antonio Nusa M | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 22 David Raum D | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 2 |
| 17 Ridle Baku D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 38 (34%) | 2 |
| 40 Rômulo F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 13 Nicolas Seiwald M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (47%) | 1 |
| 4 Willi Orbán D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 1 |
| 14 Christoph Baumgartner M | 6.1 | 12' | – | 1 | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 28 Christopher Nkunku M | 6.0 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 35 Max Finkgräfe D | 5.9 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 3 |
| 30 Andrija Maksimović M | 5.9 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 10 Brajan Gruda M | 5.8 | 63' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | – |
| 20 Rocco Reitz M | 5.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Kylian Mbappé
4 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar 2024 | Real Madrid | 1 - 1 | RB Leipzig |
| 13 Feb 2024 | RB Leipzig | 0 - 1 | Real Madrid |
| 25 Oct 2022 | RB Leipzig | 3 - 2 | Real Madrid |
Real Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Valencia | W | 0 - 3 |
| 04 Nov | A AEK Athens FC | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Racing Santander | W | 0 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Barcelona | W | 1 - 2 |
| 21 Oct | H RB Leipzig | W | 4 - 1 |
RB Leipzig — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H FC Augsburg | W | 5 - 2 |
| 04 Nov | H Manchester City | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Schalke 04 | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | A Rot-Weiß Essen | W | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H SV Elversberg | W | 4 - 0 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Vandevoordt | G |
| 17 | R. Baku | D |
| 4 | W. Orbán | D |
| 23 | C. Lukeba | D |
| 22 | D. Raum | D |
| 13 | N. Seiwald | M |
| 21 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 10 | B. Gruda | M |
| 28 | C. Nkunku | M |
| 7 | A. Nusa | M |
| 40 | Rômulo | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | C. Baumgartner | M |
| 3 | M. Estève | D |
| 35 | Max Finkgräfe | D |
| 27 | T. Gomis | F |
| 39 | B. Henrichs | D |
| 16 | L. Klostermann | D |
| 2 | A. Koné | D |
| 30 | A. MaksimoviÄ | M |
| 1 | Ø. Nyland | G |
| 20 | R. Reitz | M |
| 11 | J. Bakayoko | F |
| 6 | E. Banzuzi | M |
Real Madrid
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: José Mourinho
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Courtois | G |
| 8 | F. Valverde | D |
| 22 | A. Rüdiger | D |
| 4 | D. Huijsen | D |
| 18 | Álvaro Fernández | D |
| 6 | E. Camavinga | M |
| 20 | Bernardo Silva | M |
| 15 | A. Güler | M |
| 5 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 7 | Vinícius Júnior | M |
| 10 | Kylian Mbappé | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | T. Alexander-Arnold | D |
| 21 | Brahim Díaz | M |
| 25 | Y. Diomande | F |
| 24 | D. Dumfries | D |
| 17 | Marc Cucurella | D |
| 3 | Éder Militão | D |
| 9 | Endrick | F |
| 19 | Carlos Espí | F |
| 16 | I. Konaté | D |
| 13 | A. Lunin | G |
| 27 | Thiago Pitarch | M |
| 14 | A. Tchouaméni | M |