Lillestrom vs Torreense Prediction
Lillestrom vs Torreense prediction: Sportiko gives Lillestrom a 55% chance of winning, Torreense 20% and the draw 25%. Last updated 17 Sep 2026, 20:56.
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Match Report
Torreense claimed a famous 2-1 victory away at Lillestrom in the opening round of the UEFA Europa League league stage, despite the Norwegian side dominating large portions of the contest. Alejandro Alfaro broke the deadlock on 23 minutes to give the Portuguese visitors a half-time lead, and Manu Pozo doubled the advantage just four minutes after the restart to put Torreense firmly in control.
Lillestrom pushed hard to get back into the match, enjoying 67% possession and registering 23 total shots, but struggled to convert their dominance into clear chances. T. Lehne Olsen pulled one back on 79 minutes to set up a tense finale, though Torreense held firm. The home side's task was made harder when Nuha Jatta was shown a red card on 85 minutes, effectively ending any realistic hope of an equaliser.
A flurry of yellow cards — five in total across both sides — added to a feisty atmosphere in the second half. Our pre-match AI model had favoured a Lillestrom win at 55%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Torreense showed clinical efficiency to secure all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lillestrom
Match Stats
Lillestrom
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 T. Lehne Olsen F | 7.4 | 30' | 1 | – | 3 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 20 Vá F | 7.4 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 22 (19%) | 2 |
| 2 Lars Ranger D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 58 (50%) | 2 |
| 5 S. Foss D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 112 (103%) | – |
| 11 F. Elkær D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (53%) | – |
| 28 R. Gabrielsen D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 102 (94%) | 2 |
| 22 Daniel Bassi F | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 21 Filip Ottosson M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 56 (52%) | – |
| 26 Y. Paintsil F | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 8 Fredrik Gulbrandsen F | 6.2 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 18 K. Krygård M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 12 P. Dahlberg G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | – |
| 17 Eric Kitolano M | 6.0 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 16 Henrik Melland M | 5.9 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 14 Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim M | 5.9 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 32 (26%) | 3 |
| 29 Y. Ibrahimaj M | 5.5 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 21 (12%) | 1 |
Torreense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Alejandro Alfaro M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 2 |
| 23 Javi Vázquez D | 7.8 | 87' | – | 1 | – | 21 (15%) | 1 |
| 11 Manu Pozo M | 7.7 | 65' | 1 | – | 3 | 14 (11%) | 2 |
| 2 Stopira D | 7.1 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 22 David Bruno D | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 31 Adriel G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (13%) | – |
| 3 Juan María Alcedo D | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 6 A. Oudrhiri M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (25%) | – |
| 7 D. Jean M | 6.7 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
| 17 M. Drammeh F | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 33 Joao Marques M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 2 |
| 26 André Simões M | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 27 Malik Abubakari F | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 4 | 20 (13%) | 2 |
| 4 Volnei Feltes D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (17%) | 1 |
| 5 M. Diadie D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (22%) | 1 |
| 21 Nuha Jatta M | 5.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 83: Torreense leads 1-2. Win probability: 87.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.8%.
Late goal makes it 1-2! Torreense win probability: 84.3%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 25.9%.
Min 75: Torreense leads 0-2. Win probability: 96.4%. Comeback chance: 3.6%.
Torreense now leads 0-2 with 85.2% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.5%.
Half-time: 0-1. Torreense leads. Win probability: 57%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.4%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lillestrom vs Torreense
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Lillestrom — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Viking | L | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | H Torreense | L | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Valerenga | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Brann | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Fredrikstad | L | 1 - 4 |
Torreense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | A Lillestrom | W | 1 - 2 |
| 11 Sep | H Leixoes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Benfica B | W | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Vizela | L | 0 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | A Lusitânia Lourosa | D | 2 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Lillestrom
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: H. Ødegaard
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | P. Dahlberg | G |
| 2 | L. Ranger | D |
| 5 | S. Foss | D |
| 28 | R. Gabrielsen | D |
| 11 | F. Elkær | D |
| 29 | Y. Ibrahimaj | M |
| 21 | F. Ottosson | M |
| 14 | G. Nyheim | M |
| 26 | Y. Paintsil | F |
| 8 | F. Gulbrandsen | F |
| 20 | Vá | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | D. Bassi | F |
| 1 | S. Hagerup | G |
| 17 | E. Kitolano | M |
| 47 | S. Kristiansen | D |
| 18 | K. Krygård | M |
| 16 | H. Melland | M |
| 15 | G. Nordh | F |
| 10 | T. Lehne Olsen | F |
| 3 | S. Ottesen | D |
| 25 | S. Akanji | F |
Torreense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Luís Tralhão
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Adriel | G |
| 22 | David Bruno | D |
| 5 | M. Diadie | D |
| 4 | Volnei Feltes | D |
| 23 | Javi Vázquez | D |
| 6 | A. Oudrhiri | M |
| 8 | Alejandro Alfaro | M |
| 11 | Manu Pozo | M |
| 33 | João Marques | M |
| 7 | D. Jean | M |
| 27 | M. Abubakari | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Stopira | D |
| 26 | André Simões | M |
| 45 | J. Mutombo | D |
| 21 | Nuha Jatta | M |
| 53 | Rodrigo Guerreiro | D |
| 17 | M. Drammeh | F |
| 19 | K. Zoabi | F |
| 44 | S. Henriksen | G |
| 3 | Juan María Alcedo | D |
| 86 | Gustavo Sousa Alhinho Alves Rijo | M |
| 75 | Marco André Moura Silva | M |
| 47 | A. Baradji | F |