Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction

League Cup League Cup · Round of 32
FT
Post on X
Stamford Bridge, London
AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Chelsea
61%
23%
16%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 61% chance of winning, Leeds 16% and the draw 23%. Last updated 9 Sep 2026, 21:10.

Premium прогнози

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 70%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 70%
Premium членовете имаха тези прогнози преди началото на мача. Виж Premium анализите

Timeline

0–1 23'
Tarik Muharemović assist: Harry Wilson
Reggie Watson ⇄ Reece James
45'
Malo Gusto ⇄ Morgan Rogers
45'
Jamie Gittens ⇄ Cole Palmer
45'
Estêvão ⇄ Pedro Neto
45'
Reggie Watson Yellow Card
45+1'
HT 0–1
0–2 48'
Brenden Aaronson assist: Lukas Nmecha
Cole Palmer Penalty
53' 1–2
Cole Palmer assist: Morgan Rogers
55' 2–2
Pedro Neto assist: Morgan Rogers
60' 3–2
Danny Welbeck assist: Morgan Rogers
65' 4–2
66'
Daniel James ⇄ Anton Stach
66'
Lukas Nmecha ⇄ Dominic Calvert-Lewin
67'
Brenden Aaronson ⇄ Noah Okafor
67'
Sean Longstaff ⇄ Ao Tanaka
4–3 75'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin assist: Noah Okafor
Levi Colwill ⇄ Wesley Fofana
76'
78'
Melvin Bard ⇄ Gabriel Gudmundsson
Valentín Barco
80' 5–3
Yellow Card
82'
Danny Welbeck assist: Valentín Barco
90+4' 6–3
FT 6–3
Chelsea

Match Stats

Leeds
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 9
9 Shots insidebox 15
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
480 Total passes 489
389 Passes accurate 400
10 Free Kicks 6
Chelsea
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Valentín Barco M 8.8 90' 1 1 4 58 (51%) 7
18 Danny Welbeck F 8.8 90' 2 3 16 (11%)
10 Cole Palmer M 8.2 44' 2 5 20 (17%) 1
17 Morgan Rogers M 8.1 44' 3 25 (17%) 1
7 Pedro Neto F 7.8 44' 1 1 15 (8%) 1
34 Josh Acheampong D 6.6 90' 50 (46%) 3
11 Jamie Gittens M 6.5 46' 2 15 (14%)
6 Levi Colwill D 6.4 76' 52 (48%) 1
5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.2 90' 48 (44%) 1
31 Reggie Watson M 6.2 46' 29 (27%) 2
29 Josep Chavarría D 6.1 90' 41 (32%) 3
24 Reece James D 6.0 44' 1 27 (24%) 1
3 Wesley Fofana D 5.9 14' 7 (4%)
41 Estêvão M 5.9 46' 15 (13%) 1
39 Mike Penders G 5.8 90' 31 (11%)
27 Malo Gusto D 5.4 46' 29 (20%)
Leeds
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Tarik Muharemović D 7.8 90' 1 3 74 (67%)
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F 7.6 24' 1 1 9 (8%)
11 Brenden Aaronson M 7.1 67' 1 3 23 (18%)
19 Noah Okafor F 6.8 23' 1 10 (10%)
15 Jaka Bijol D 6.6 90' 1 62 (55%) 1
14 Lukas Nmecha F 6.6 66' 1 11 (5%)
10 Harry Wilson M 6.5 90' 1 32 (27%)
26 Melvin Bard M 6.4 78' 47 (41%) 3
8 Sean Longstaff M 6.3 67' 1 28 (27%) 3
18 Anton Stach M 6.2 24' 2 16 (12%) 1
4 Ethan Ampadu M 6.1 90' 58 (49%) 3
7 Daniel James M 6.0 66' 1 12 (7%) 1
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson D 5.7 12' 1 5 (3%)
22 Ao Tanaka M 5.7 23' 4 8 (5%)
16 Michael Zetterer G 5.6 90' 43 (32%)
24 James Justin D 5.5 90' 1 42 (27%) 6
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Отключи пълния AI анализ за Chelsea vs Leeds

  • Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
  • AI задълбочен анализ на мача
  • Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Chelsea
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Chelsea
LDWLW
Leeds
DWLDD
Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Chelsea
D. Welbeck 3 gls
Leeds

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Leeds

1 Chelsea Wins
1 Draws
1 Leeds Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 Feb 2026 Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
03 Dec 2025 Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
04 Mar 2023 Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
See all 8 meetings — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Brentford L 3 - 0
12 Sep H Hull City D 2 - 2
09 Sep H Leeds W 6 - 3
06 Sep A Arsenal L 2 - 1
30 Aug H Brighton W 4 - 3

Leeds — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Crystal Palace D 0 - 0
14 Sep H Newcastle W 4 - 1
09 Sep A Chelsea L 6 - 3
05 Sep A Brighton D 1 - 1
30 Aug H Brentford D 1 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Chelsea

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Xabi Alonso
39 Penders
6 Colwill
5 Lacroix
34 Acheampong
29 Chavarría
4 Barco
31 Watson
27 Gusto
11 Bynoe-Gittens
41 Estêvão
18 Welbeck

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Penders G
34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 L. Colwill D
27 M. Gusto D
31 R. Watson M
4 V. Barco M
29 Pep Chavarría D
41 Estêvão M
11 J. Bynoe-Gittens M
18 D. Welbeck F

Substitutes

23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda M
17 M. Rogers M
3 W. Fofana D
21 J. Hato D
24 R. James D
9 João Pedro F
1 E. Martínez G
7 Pedro Neto F
10 C. Palmer M

Leeds

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Farke
16 Zetterer
5 Muharemović
15 Bijol
24 Justin
26 Bard
8 Longstaff
4 Ampadu
7 James
11 Aaronson
10 Wilson
14 Nmecha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Zetterer G
24 J. Justin D
15 J. Bijol D
5 T. Muharemović D
7 D. James M
4 E. Ampadu M
8 S. Longstaff M
26 M. Bard M
10 H. Wilson M
11 B. Aaronson M
14 L. Nmecha F

Substitutes

2 J. Bogle D
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
30 N. Elvedi D
3 G. Gudmundsson D
19 N. Okafor F
18 A. Stach M
22 A. Tanaka M
1 J. Trafford G
23 J. Bahoya F

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