Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Post on X

Sevilla

Away

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

AI прогноза Villarreal to win or draw

71%

19%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Villarreal vs Sevilla prediction: Sportiko gives Villarreal a 71% chance of winning, Sevilla 10% and the draw 19%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Villarreal took an early lead through Gerard Moreno in the 13th minute, but Sevilla hit back quickly with Georges Mikautadze levelling just seven minutes later. The visitors then fell behind again as Oso put Villarreal back in front on 36 minutes, only for Kike Salas to equalise right on the stroke of half-time, sending both sides into the break level at 2–2 in a breathless first half.

The second half proved more measured until Akor Adams struck on 72 minutes to give Sevilla the lead for the first time in the match, a goal that ultimately proved the decisive moment. Despite Villarreal enjoying 63% of possession and earning six corners, they managed only six total shots compared to Sevilla's 13, reflecting how the away side posed the greater threat throughout.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as most likely at 71%, a call that did not materialise. Sevilla held on through a tense closing period, which saw yellow cards for Ayoze Pérez, Renato Veiga and José Ángel Carmona, to claim all three points on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Gerard Moreno assist: Georges Mikautadze

13' ⚽ 1–0

Georges Mikautadze assist: Alberto Moleiro

20' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 36'

Oso assist: Lucien Agoumé

⚽ 2–2 45'

Kike Salas assist: Rubén Vargas

HT 2–2

Pape Gueye ⇄ Thomas Partey

60' ⇄

Nicolas Pépé ⇄ Tajon Buchanan

60' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Rubén Vargas ⇄ Juanlu Sánchez

Dani Parejo ⇄ Santi Comesaña

70' ⇄

Georges Mikautadze ⇄ Ayoze Pérez

70' ⇄

⚽ 2–3 72'

Akor Adams assist: Djibril Sow

⇄ 72'

Neal Maupay ⇄ Alexis Sánchez

Ayoze Pérez Yellow Card

81' ▮

⇄ 86'

Djibril Sow ⇄ Nemanja Gudelj

⇄ 86'

Akor Adams ⇄ Andres Castrin

Renato Veiga Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

▮ 90+3'

José Ángel Carmona Yellow Card

FT 2–3

Villarreal

Match Stats

Sevilla

63% Ball Possession 37%

0.83 Expected Goals (xG) 0.87

6 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Goal 5

1 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 7

2 Shots outsidebox 6

6 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 3

11 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

553 Total passes 326

499 Passes accurate 276

90% Passes % 85%

-0.32 goals_prevented -0.32

Villarreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Gerard Moreno F	7.9	90'	1	–	1	38 (34%)	–
10 Dani Parejo M	7.5	70'	–	–	–	54 (49%)	3
20 Alberto Moleiro M	7.2	90'	–	1	1	45 (39%)	1
9 Georges Mikautadze F	7.2	70'	1	1	1	18 (16%)	–
3 Alexander Freeman D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	72 (65%)	5
18 Pape Gueye M	6.9	60'	–	–	1	35 (29%)	1
12 Renato Veiga D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	88 (81%)	1
19 Nicolas Pépé M	6.5	60'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	–
14 Santi Comesaña M	6.5	20'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
22 Ayoze Pérez F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
17 Tajon Buchanan F	6.3	30'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
6 Pau Navarro D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	56 (53%)	–
25 Arnau Tenas G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	–
24 Alfonso Pedraza D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	1
16 Thomas Partey M	5.5	30'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	–

Sevilla

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
36 Oso D	7.6	90'	1	–	2	13 (11%)	3
20 Djibril Sow M	7.5	86'	–	1	1	41 (39%)	4
1 Odysseas Vlachodimos G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	21 (15%)	–
2 José Ángel Carmona D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	2
4 Kike Salas D	7.2	90'	1	–	2	40 (35%)	2
9 Akor Adams F	7.2	86'	1	–	1	14 (10%)	1
18 Lucien Agoumé M	7.2	90'	–	1	–	31 (26%)	4
10 Alexis Sánchez F	7.0	19'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	2
11 Rubén Vargas M	6.9	67'	–	1	–	31 (26%)	2
16 Juanlu Sánchez M	6.9	23'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
6 Nemanja Gudelj M	6.6	10'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
32 Andres Castrin D	6.6	10'	–	–	–	–	–
17 Neal Maupay F	6.3	71'	–	–	1	16 (14%)	–
3 César Azpilicueta D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	42 (38%)	1
12 Gabriel Suazo D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Villarreal to win or draw

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Villarreal

WWLLL

Sevilla

LWWDL

Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash on May 13, 2026, Villarreal will host Sevilla in a match crucial for both teams' aspirations. Villarreal has shown a strong home form, winning 60% of their matches at Estadio de la Cerámica this season, with a solid offensive output averaging 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, Sevilla's away performance has been inconsistent, but they remain resilient, particularly in defensive setups, allowing only 1.2 goals per match on the road. The tactical battle will likely revolve around Villarreal's ability to break down Sevilla's organized defense, while Sevilla will look to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. This match could be pivotal for both clubs in their quest for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sevilla goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	4	1
1	14	9	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Villarreal goals · most likely 2–0 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

Sevilla

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Sevilla

3 Villarreal Wins

0 Draws

0 Sevilla Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Sep 2025	Sevilla	1 - 2	Villarreal
25 May 2025	Villarreal	4 - 2	Sevilla
23 Aug 2024	Sevilla	1 - 2	Villarreal

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Marcelino

25 Tenas

24 Pedraza

12 Veiga

6 Navarro

3 Freeman

20 Moleiro

18 Gueye

10 Parejo

19 Pepe

9 Mikautadze

7 Moreno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	A. Tenas	G
3	A. Freeman	D
6	P. Navarro	D
12	R. Veiga	D
24	A. Pedraza	D
19	N. Pepe	M
10	D. Parejo	M
18	P. Gueye	M
20	A. Moleiro	M
7	G. Moreno	F
9	G. Mikautadze	F

Substitutes

1	Luiz Junior	G
14	S. Comesana	M
2	L. Costa	D
23	S. Cardona	D
5	W. Kambwala	D
15	S. Mourino	D
16	T. Partey	M
22	A. Perez	F
11	A. Gonzalez	F
17	T. Buchanan	F
4	R. Marin	D
21	T. Oluwaseyi	F

Sevilla

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

1 Vlachodimos

36 Oso

12 Suazo

4 Salas

3 Azpilicueta

2 Carmona

20 Sow

18 Agoume

11 Vargas

17 Maupay

9 Adams

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	O. Vlachodimos	G
2	J. A. Carmona	D
3	C. Azpilicueta	D
4	K. Salas	D
12	G. Suazo	D
36	Oso	D
11	R. Vargas	M
18	L. Agoume	M
20	D. Sow	M
9	A. Adams	F
17	N. Maupay	F

Substitutes

13	O. Nyland	G
10	A. Sanchez	F
6	N. Gudelj	M
21	C. Ejuke	F
5	T. Nianzou	D
15	F. Cardoso	D
24	A. Januzaj	M
8	Joan Jordan	M
19	B. Mendy	M
14	Peque	F
16	J. Sanchez	M
32	Castrin	D