HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Playoff round

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HNK Rijeka

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1 : 4

HT 1 - 1

1st leg 0-2 · Aggregate 1-6

FC Midtjylland

Away

AI прогноза FC Midtjylland или равен

28%

27%

44%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland prediction: Sportiko gives HNK Rijeka a 28% chance of winning, FC Midtjylland 44% and the draw 27%. Last updated 27 Aug 2026, 20:41.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

FC Midtjylland produced a dominant second-half display to defeat HNK Rijeka 4–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round clash, despite the hosts enjoying the greater share of possession. Daniel Adu-Adjei gave Midtjylland an early lead in the fourth minute, only for Stanley Iheanacho to level for Rijeka midway through the first half, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.

The Danish side took control after the interval, with Darío Osorio restoring their advantage in the 51st minute before Magnus Jensen extended it to 3–1 five minutes later. Both goalscorers were withdrawn shortly after, yet Midtjylland continued to press, with Gue-sung Cho wrapping up a convincing victory with a fourth goal in the 78th minute. Rijeka, despite registering 18 total shots and seven corners, could not find a way back into the contest.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Midtjylland win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved correct as the visitors advance with a commanding result.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Daniel Adu-Adjei assist: Ante Oreč

4' ⚽ 1–0

Justas Lasickas Yellow Card

13' ▮

⚽ 1–1 18'

Stanley Iheanacho assist: Kjell Wätjen

⇄ 31'

Martin Erlić ⇄ Adam Gabriel

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Kjell Wätjen ⇄ Sofus Johannesen

Niko Janković ⇄ Yusuf Kabadayi

46' ⇄

▮ 48'

Mads Bech Sørensen Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 51'

Darío Osorio assist: Denil Castillo

⚽ 1–3 56'

Magnus Jensen assist: Rasmus Kristensen

⇄ 57'

Darío Osorio ⇄ Franculino Djú

⇄ 58'

Stanley Iheanacho ⇄ Gue-sung Cho

Samuele Vignato ⇄ Ivan Ćubelić

63' ⇄

Daniel Adu-Adjei ⇄ Jakov Puljić

64' ⇄

Jakov Puljić Yellow Card

70' ▮

Ante Majstorović Yellow Card

74' ▮

⚽ 1–4 78'

Gue-sung Cho assist: Sofus Johannesen

⇄ 82'

Philip Billing ⇄ Valdemar Byskov

Branko Pavić ⇄ Amer Gojak

83' ⇄

Toni Fruk ⇄ Goran Grulović

83' ⇄

FT 1–4

HNK Rijeka

Match Stats

FC Midtjylland

45% Ball Possession 55%

Expected Goals (xG)

9 Total Shots 18

4 Shots on Goal 7

5 Shots off Goal 8

0 Blocked Shots 3

7 Shots insidebox 12

2 Shots outsidebox 6

2 Corner Kicks 7

3 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

334 Total passes 418

255 Passes accurate 326

76% Passes % 78%

goals_prevented

HNK Rijeka

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Daniel Adu-Adjei F	7.2	64'	1	–	1	6 (4%)	–
22 Ante Oreč D	6.9	89'	–	1	–	32 (25%)	3
26 Tiago Dantas M	6.9	89'	–	–	–	42 (28%)	2
8 Ivan Ćubelić M	6.7	25'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
45 Ante Majstorović D	6.3	89'	–	–	2	41 (31%)	3
21 Jakov Puljić F	6.3	25'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
19 Samuele Vignato M	6.2	64'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–
99 Aleksa Todorović G	6.2	89'	–	–	–	21 (10%)	–
7 Yusuf Kabadayi F	6.2	44'	–	–	1	8 (4%)	–
6 Branko Pavić M	6.2	83'	–	–	–	30 (28%)	1
4 Niko Janković M	6.2	45'	–	–	1	12 (9%)	1
10 Toni Fruk M	5.9	83'	–	–	2	21 (16%)	–
51 Anel Husić D	5.6	89'	–	–	1	43 (35%)	–
23 Justas Lasickas D	5.2	89'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	1
14 Amer Gojak M	—	6'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
15 Goran Grulović F	—	6'	–	–	–	–	–

FC Midtjylland

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Gue-sung Cho F	8.0	32'	1	–	2	8 (5%)	–
11 Darío Osorio M	7.9	57'	1	–	3	18 (15%)	–
18 Stanley Iheanacho F	7.5	57'	1	–	2	12 (8%)	–
21 Denil Castillo M	7.3	89'	–	1	2	26 (23%)	4
3 Magnus Jensen D	7.3	89'	1	–	2	46 (39%)	–
1 Elías Ólafsson G	7.3	89'	–	–	–	35 (16%)	–
5 Rasmus Kristensen D	7.2	89'	–	1	–	51 (42%)	3
13 Adam Gabriel D	7.0	58'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	3
27 Sofus Johannesen M	7.0	44'	–	1	–	14 (12%)	1
22 Mads Bech Sørensen D	6.9	89'	–	–	1	49 (36%)	2
8 Philip Billing M	6.9	82'	–	–	2	46 (39%)	3
19 Pedro Bravo M	6.6	89'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	2
6 Martin Erlić D	6.3	31'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	–
29 Kjell Wätjen M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	–
7 Franculino Djú F	6.2	32'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
20 Valdemar Byskov M	—	7'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

FC Midtjylland или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.9%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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HNK Rijeka

WWDWD

FC Midtjylland

DWWDW

Last 1 meetings HNK Rijeka · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Midtjylland goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	9	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ HNK Rijeka goals · most likely 1–1 (12.9%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	8.7%	8.7%	4.9%	2.1%
1	5.3%	12.9%	9.7%	5.5%	2.3%
2	3.8%	6.4%	5.5%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.4%	2.4%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HNK Rijeka	Draw	FC Midtjylland
HNK Rijeka	13.9%	4.1%	2.2%
Draw	8.9%	16.4%	15.2%
FC Midtjylland	1.6%	4.6%	33.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: HNK Rijeka vs FC Midtjylland

0 HNK Rijeka Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Midtjylland Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	FC Midtjylland	2 - 0	HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H HNK Hajduk Split	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Vrbovec	W	0 - 6
12 Sep	A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H NK Osijek	W	4 - 1
31 Aug	A HNK Gorica	D	0 - 0

FC Midtjylland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Odense	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Brondby	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	A Sundby	W	0 - 7
07 Sep	H FC Nordsjaelland	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	A Aarhus	W	0 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Midtjylland

Formation: 4-5-1 Coach: Mike Tullberg

1 Ólafsson

22 Sørensen

6 Erlić

3 Jensen

5 Kristensen

29 Wätjen

21 Castillo

19 Bravo

8 Billing

11 Osorio

18 Iheanacho

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elías Ólafsson	G
5	Rasmus Kristensen	D
3	Magnus Jensen	D
6	Martin Erlić	D
22	Mads Bech Sørensen	D
11	Darío Osorio	M
8	Philip Billing	M
19	Pedro Bravo	M
21	Denil Castillo	M
29	Kjell Wätjen	M
18	Stanley Iheanacho	F

Substitutes

13	Adam Gabriel	D
25	Nordin Bakker	G
15	Beni Junior	D
34	Abdou Aziz Ndiaye	D
20	Valdemar Byskov	M
27	Sofus Johannesen	M
10	Gue-sung Cho	F
7	Franculino Djú	F
90	Friday Etim	F
14	Edward Chilufya	F
38	Julius Emefile	M

HNK Rijeka

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Matjaz Kek

99 Todorović

23 Lasickas

51 Husić

45 Majstorović

22 Oreč

6 Pavić

26 Dantas

4 Janković

10 Fruk

19 Vignato

18 Adu-Adjei

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Aleksa Todorović	G
22	Ante Oreč	D
45	Ante Majstorović	D
51	Anel Husić	D
23	Justas Lasickas	D
26	Tiago Dantas	M
6	Branko Pavić	M
19	Samuele Vignato	M
10	Toni Fruk	M
4	Niko Janković	M
18	Daniel Adu-Adjei	F

Substitutes

1	Vito Kovač	G
13	Igor Vekić	G
3	Moreno Živković	D
34	Mladen Devetak	D
5	Alfonso Barco	M
7	Yusuf Kabadayi	F
11	Gabriel Rukavina	F
8	Ivan Ćubelić	M
14	Amer Gojak	M
15	Goran Grulović	F
77	Ante Matej Jurić	F
21	Jakov Puljić	F